«Regarded as one of the world's most productive marine environments, the Bering Sea is widely thought to be rapidly warming and losing sea ice... Results show that, rather than declining, mean
annual sea ice extent in the Bering Sea has exhibited no significant change over the satellite sea ice record (1979 — 2009).
Average
annual sea ice extent in both polar regions was low in 2016.
When averaging daily data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, and noting that there was an unanticipated sensor transition during the year, the estimated average
annual sea ice extent in the Arctic was approximately 3.92 million square miles, the smallest annual average in the record.
Not exact matches
Substantial reductions in the
extent of Arctic
sea ice since 1978 (2.7 ± 0.6 percent per decade in the
annual average, 7.4 ± 2.4 percent per decade for summer), increases in permafrost temperatures and reductions in glacial
extent globally and in Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets have also been observed in recent decades.
The
annual average
extent of Arctic
sea ice is currently declining at about half a million square kilometres per decade — equivalent to about twice the area of the UK.
In Antarctica, this year's record low
annual sea ice minimum of 815,000 square miles (2.11 million square kilometers) was 71,000 square miles (184,000 square kilometers) below the previous lowest minimum
extent in the satellite record, which occurred in 1997.
The area of the Arctic Ocean covered by
sea ice in September, when the
annual minimum occurs, was the sixth lowest
extent in the satellite record, going back to 1979.
Current predictions [5], [6] suggest that trends in
sea ice extent will alter in the second half of this century and that the
annual average
sea ice extent will diminish by 33 %; most of this retreat is expected to occur in winter and spring [5], [6], with attendant risks for emperor penguins.
On September 10, Arctic
sea ice reached its annual minimum extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007 as the second smallest extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice reached its
annual minimum
extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007 as the second smallest
extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
On August 31, the Antarctic
sea ice reached its
annual maximum
extent at 7.12 million square miles.
We have just passed the
annual maximum in Arctic
sea ice extent which always occurs sometime in March.
After that, the
sea ice will begin its course towards its
annual minimum of both
extent and volume in mid-September.
I have often used quadratic fits of
annual minimum Arctic
sea ice extent to forecast the future value.
This marks the beginning of the ritual of the
annual sea ice watch that includes predictions of the
extent and rank of this year's
sea ice minimum, as well as discussion about the timing of its eventual demise.
If you plot the average Arctic
Sea Ice extent for 20 years, the you should also plot the monthly maximum and minimum values on the same figure so that we can get some perspective on where the 2007 and 2008 data falls in the context of
annual variability, or examine for trends.
Published trends in peer - reviewed articles on Antarctic
sea ice extent (all on
annual average
extent):
ScienceDaily (Oct. 3, 2008)-- Arctic
sea ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and Ice Data Center.&raq
ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its
annual cycle of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and
Ice Data Center.&raq
Ice Data Center.»
In March 2017, the
annual maximum
extent of Arctic
sea ice hit a record low for the third straight year, according to the US National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice hit a record low for the third straight year, according to the US National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Centre.
Ice around Iceland (the number of weeks when ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic sea ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
Ice around Iceland (the number of weeks when
ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic sea ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic
sea ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
ice extent / area, at least with the
annual maximum.
In both the Arctic and the Antarctic «natural causes» (the seasons) are responsible for the seasonal decrease / increase in
sea ice extent, which are, of course, much larger than the average
annual change.
The paper actually talks about total snowfall, not
extent and it does point out that it is autumn
sea ice extent that is the important factor, whereas Willis has looked at total
annual sea ice area and snow
extent as opposed to total fall.
Tagged
annual summer minimum, arctic
sea ice, Beaufort Sea, body condition, Cherry, Chukchi, declining sea ice, Eastern Beaufort, good news, heavy sea ice, Hudson Bay, ice - free Arctic, litter size, loss of summer ice, Pilfold, polar bear, record low, Regehr, ringed seals, Rode, sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer ice minimum, summer sea ice, thick spring
sea ice, Beaufort
Sea, body condition, Cherry, Chukchi, declining sea ice, Eastern Beaufort, good news, heavy sea ice, Hudson Bay, ice - free Arctic, litter size, loss of summer ice, Pilfold, polar bear, record low, Regehr, ringed seals, Rode, sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer ice minimum, summer sea ice, thick spring
Sea, body condition, Cherry, Chukchi, declining
sea ice, Eastern Beaufort, good news, heavy sea ice, Hudson Bay, ice - free Arctic, litter size, loss of summer ice, Pilfold, polar bear, record low, Regehr, ringed seals, Rode, sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer ice minimum, summer sea ice, thick spring
sea ice, Eastern Beaufort, good news, heavy
sea ice, Hudson Bay, ice - free Arctic, litter size, loss of summer ice, Pilfold, polar bear, record low, Regehr, ringed seals, Rode, sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer ice minimum, summer sea ice, thick spring
sea ice, Hudson Bay,
ice - free Arctic, litter size, loss of summer
ice, Pilfold, polar bear, record low, Regehr, ringed seals, Rode,
sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer ice minimum, summer sea ice, thick spring
sea ice extent, Southern Beaufort, Stirling, summer
ice minimum, summer
sea ice, thick spring
sea ice, thick spring
ice
After an unusually cool summer in the northernmost latitudes, Arctic
sea ice appears to have reached its
annual minimum
extent on September 13, 2013.
According to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC, Sept. 20 report), the annual sea ice minimum extent was reached on Sept. 13, 20
Ice Data Center (NSIDC, Sept. 20 report), the
annual sea ice minimum extent was reached on Sept. 13, 20
ice minimum
extent was reached on Sept. 13, 2013.
Figure 8: NSIDC
annual NH
sea ice extent and polynomial fit (red) vs. the GFDL
annual NH
sea ice extent model and polynomial fit (blue) from 1979 through 2011.
Annual Antarctic
sea ice extent (total area of at least 15 %
ice concentration) for selected years since 1979.
Here is the rate of change in
sea ice extent filtered with 182 day gaussian to remove the
annual cycle.
Annual average Arctic
sea ice extent was the flavour du jour in certain quarters not so very long ago.
The criterion adopted here for having sufficiently removed the short term variability in order to get a stable estimation of the turning point (minimum
sea -
ice extent) of the
annual cycle, was that there shall be only one change of direction.
Resources [1] The NH
sea -
ice extent data are provided by NSIDC as daily anomalies form an average cycle plus the
annual cycle which has been subtracted.
There is a clear non linear nature to the variation in the timing of the
annual minimum in Arctic
sea -
ice extent from NSIDC.
So an increased GHG effect should manifest in the polar regions in a decrease in winter
sea ice extent and a smaller increase in summer
sea ice extent relative to the winter maximum
extent (ie a smaller
annual range in
sea ice extent).
After reaching its
annual peak
extent at the end of winter, Arctic
sea ice contracts as temperatures rise through spring and summer.
Figure 4: Arctic
sea ice reached its lowest
annual extent — the absolute minimum — on September 15, 2007.
I wonder if the Fourier method of harmonics breakdown would have any practical use in analyzing the
annual Arctic
sea ice extent cycle and its (future) deviations.
The bright white central mass shows the perennial
sea ice, which is just the multi-year
ice that has survived at least one summer, while the larger light blue area shows the full
extent of the winter
sea ice including the average
annual sea ice during the 2012 months of November, December and January.
What the report says about
sea ice and climate change: Since the early 1980s,
annual average Arctic
sea ice has decreased in
extent between 3.5 percent and 4.1 percent per decade, become 4.3 to 7.5 feet (1.3 and 2.3 meters) thinner.
The
annual Arctic
sea ice extent decreased over the period 1979 — 2012 by between 3.5 and 4.1 % per decade.
Satellite data since 1978 show that
annual average arctic
sea ice extent has shrunk by 2.7 [2.1 to 3.3] % per decade, with larger decreases in summer of 7.4 [5.0 to 9.8] % per decade.
«Based on a new analysis of passive microwave satellite data, we demonstrate that the
annual mean
extent of Antarctic
sea ice has increased at a statistically significant rate of 0.97 % dec - 1 since the late 1970s.»
Arctic
sea ice reached its maximum
annual extent on March 21, and the amount measured was the fifth - lowest level ever recorded.
NOAA@NSIDC is pleased to announce that the Google Earth animation for the maximum
annual Arctic
sea ice extent has been updated.
I think Crispwell was referring to the Antarctic
sea ice which is growing a slightly larger
annual extent which is a little odd when you consider the globe is warming.
The Arctic
sea ice extent undergoes a pronounced
annual cycle, with maximum
extent of about 14 M sq km in March.
An anthropogenic signal is detected in Arctic
Sea Ice Extent (SIE) with all ensembles for the
annual time series and also for September and March separately.
Arctic
sea ice extent in September, the seasonal low point in the
annual cycle, has been declining at a rate of 13.4 percent per decade.
There is very high confidence that CMIP5 models realistically simulate the
annual cycle of Arctic
sea -
ice extent, and there is high confidence that they realistically simulate the trend in Arctic
sea -
ice extent over the past decades.
> «But just don't go and say «There is very high confidence that climate models realistically simulate the
annual cycle of Arctic
sea ice extent».
I think that the statement you highlight — «There is very high confidence that climate models realistically simulate the
annual cycle of Arctic
sea ice extent, and there is high confidence that they realistically simulate the trend in Arctic
sea ice extent over the past decades» — is correct as stated.
There is very high confidence that CMIP5 models realistically simulate the
annual cycle of Arctic
sea -
ice extent