I look at
annual coaching overachievers and
underachievers each year using second - order wins — basically the difference between what the stats think your win total should be and what it actually is — and while three years is a small sample, among the 223 FBS coaches with at least three years of head coaching experience between 2005 - 17, Martin's number is 10th - worst, with an average record 0.9 wins below expected totals.