Sentences with phrase «annually over the coming decade»

We presently estimate a nominal total return on the S&P 500 averaging 4.1 % annually over the coming decade.

Based on the valuation measures most strongly correlated with actual subsequent total returns (and those correlations are near or above 90 %), we continue to estimate that the S&P 500 will achieve zero or negative nominal total returns over horizons of 8 years or less, and only about 2 % annually over the coming decade.

Our actual expectations imply annual losses of about -2 % annually over the coming decade.

For example, if we choose to believe that long - term investors will be sustainably happy to achieve long - term returns of 3.5 % annually over the coming decade, then it follows that the S&P 500 is fairly valued here.

An investment in the S&P 500 Index at present levels is likely to achieve a nominal total return of about 4.4 % annually over the coming decade, and investors will have to tolerate a great deal of volatility in pursuit of that return.

Not exact matches

Based on our standard methodology (elaborated in numerous prior weekly comments), we presently estimate that the S&P 500 is priced to achieve an average total return over the coming decade of just 3.15 % annually.

As a result, the most historically reliable valuation measures now suggest that the S&P 500 will experience a net loss over the coming decade, while including broader (if slightly less reliable) measures results in projected S&P 500 10 - year annual nominal total returns of about 1.4 % annually (see Ockham's Razor and the Market Cycle for the arithmetic behind these estimates).

By our own estimates, we expect the nominal total return on the S&P 500 over the coming decade to average about 3.8 % annually, though with very broad cyclical fluctuations producing that overall result.

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