«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications
on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus
on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST
anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying
atmospheric circulation.»»
It is well established that large - scale modes of the extratropical SH
atmospheric circulation have strong impacts
on Antarctic sea ice (e.g. Yuan and Li 2008; Stammerjohn et al. 2008; Holland and Raphael 2006; Liu et al. 2004; Kwok and Comiso 2002; Yuan and Martinson 2000) and
on continental temperature
anomalies (e.g. Marshall 2007; van den Broeke and van Lipzig 2004; Schneider et al. 2004; Kwok and Comiso 2002; Turner 2004; Bromwich et al. 2004; Thompson and Solomon 2002).