Sulphate is not typically the dominant
anthropogenic aerosol component however, though many climate models treat it as such.
Not exact matches
(e) Estimated temperature response to
anthropogenic forcing, consisting of a warming
component from greenhouse gases, and a cooling
component from most
aerosols.
The top three curves show total
anthropogenic forcing assuming central values for all
components other than indirect
aerosol forcing.
``... snow pack has decreased and been observed to melt earlier in the calendar year... the observed changes in the hydrological
components... can be explained well by
anthropogenic forcing (green house gases and
aerosols) alone.»
IPCC tells us that 93 % of the past forcing was from
anthropogenic components and that all other
anthropogenic components beside CO2 (
aerosols, other GHGHs, etc.) cancelled one another out so that total
anthropogenic forcing = CO2 forcing.
(e) Estimated temperature response to
anthropogenic forcing, consisting of a warming
component from greenhouse gases, and a cooling
component from most
aerosols.
IPCC AR4 WG1 tells us that the all
anthropogenic forcing
components except CO2 (
aerosols, other GHGs, land use changes, other changes in surface albedo, etc.) have essentially cancelled one another out, so we can use the estimated radiative forcing for CO2 (1.66 W / m ^ 2) to equate with total net
anthropogenic forcing (1.6 W / m ^ 2).
The inset in Figure 2d shows the individual greenhouse gases, tropospheric
aerosols and the land surface plus snow albedo
components that combine to give the net
anthropogenic forcing.
Figure 10.4 of AR5, reproduced as Figure 2 below, shows in panel (b) estimated scaling factors for three forcing
components: natural (blue bars), GHG (green bars) and «other
anthropogenic» — largely
aerosols, ozone and land use change (yellow bars).
On the other hand, the
anthropogenic component and the
aerosol forcing, which were neglected in our study, may induce additional predictable trends.
IPCC tells us that all
anthropogenic forcing
components other than CO2 (
aerosols, other GHGs, etc.) cancelled one another out over this period, so the forcing from CO2 = total
anthropogenic forcing ~ 1.6 W / m ^ 2.
So when IPCC tells me that all
anthropogenic forcing
components other than CO2 (
aerosols, albedo, land use, other GHGs, etc.) essentially cancel one another out, I have to accept this as likely to be correct.
This tells us that over this period all other
anthropogenic forcing
components (
aerosols, other GHGs, land use changes, surface albedo changes, etc.) essentially cancelled one another out, so we can ignore your statement «we suspect that
aerosols caused cooling», as this is already compensated for by other
anthropogenic warming beside CO2.