In terms of climate change model predictions, there is a high degree of uncertainty in both regions as to what comes next in
an anthropogenic climate change scenario.
In the particular simulation shown above, the frequency of the strongest (category 5) hurricanes roughly triples in
the anthropogenic climate change scenario relative to the control.
Not exact matches
Unlike the
scenarios developed by the IPCC and reported in Nakicenovic et al. (2000), which examined possible global futures and associated greenhouse - related emissions in the absence of measures designed to limit
anthropogenic climate change, RCP4.5 is a stabilization
scenario and assumes that
climate policies, in this instance the introduction of a set of global greenhouse gas emissions prices, are invoked to achieve the goal of limiting emissions and radiative forcing.
Those who support the theory of
anthropogenic global warming (AGW), now known as
anthropogenic climate change so that recent cooling can be included in their
scenario, always deny that the sun has anything to do with recent global temperature movements.
Consider an alternative universe where the scientists provided a range of
scenarios to consider and included natural
climate variability in the mix, and recommended that suite of policy options be developed to help reduce societal vulnerability to future
climate change, both of the natural and
anthropogenic variety.
We'd driving the models with the GHG concentrations, and using carbon cycle models within the
climate models to simulate the natural carbon fluxes (atmosphere - land and atmosphere - ocean), which themselves are affected by the simulated
climate change, and the residual needed to balance the carbon budget then indicates the
anthropogenic emissions that would give the prescribed
scenario of CO2 rise.
More significant perhaps is the legacy of nuclear power for future generations, particularly if the worst case
scenarios of
anthropogenic climate change play out, where society will be vulnerable and incohesive and possibly less able to cope with the technical challenge of maintaining or decomissioning elderly nuclear power stations or dealing with the build up of waste.
Projections of
climate change are uncertain, firstly because they are primarily dependent on
scenarios of future
anthropogenic and natural forcings that are uncertain, secondly because of incomplete understanding and imprecise models of the
climate system and finally because of the existence of internal
climate variability.
Now, I don't believe that
anthropogenic climate change is an issue of first - order importance since its effects on human life even in the worst - case
scenarios are mediated by severe poverty, but suppose that it was and the environmental Cassandra's were right.
For the purposes of this report, a
climate scenario refers to a plausible future
climate that has been constructed for explicit use in investigating the potential consequences of
anthropogenic climate change.
Topics include:
Climate Forcing Agents and their Efficacy;
Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks;
Anthropogenic Climate Change; Extreme Events; Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions; Global Temperature Limits and Mitigation
Scenarios; and Geoengineering.
«Scientists were quick to declare the results of the Turner et al paper, which covered 1 per cent of the Antarctic continent, did not negate a long - term warming because of man - made
climate change... «Climate model projections forced with medium emission scenarios indicate the emergence of a large anthropogenic regional warming signal, comparable in magnitude to the late - 20th - century peninsula warming, during the latter part of the current century,» the Turner research concluded.
climate change... «
Climate model projections forced with medium emission scenarios indicate the emergence of a large anthropogenic regional warming signal, comparable in magnitude to the late - 20th - century peninsula warming, during the latter part of the current century,» the Turner research concluded.
Climate model projections forced with medium emission
scenarios indicate the emergence of a large
anthropogenic regional warming signal, comparable in magnitude to the late - 20th - century peninsula warming, during the latter part of the current century,» the Turner research concluded.»
Can we «falsify» these
scenarios for the timescale of interest based upon our background knowledge of natural plus
anthropogenic climate change?
The goal of PAGES» LandCover6k Working Group is to use pollen, archaeological and historical data to provide information on past land cover and land use
change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate fo
change that can be used to evaluate and improve
Anthropogenic Land - Cover
Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate fo
Change (ALCC)
scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a
climate forcing.
Because all 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change scenarios — except Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 (RCP2.6), which leads to the total radiative forcing of greenhouse gases of 2.6 W m − 2 in 2100 — imply that cumulative carbon emission will exceed 1,000 Gt in the twenty - first century, our results suggest that
anthropogenic interference will make the initiation of the next ice age impossible over a time period comparable to the duration of previous glacial cycles.»
Regarding predictions / projections /
scenarios, not being able to better predict how
anthropogenic emissions will evolve in time is not really a problem for understanding
climate change.