In my mind, I continue to be baffled by the AGW mainstream's position when Pielke Sr.'s position (i.e., Yes, there is significant
anthropogenic impact on climate, but it is due to more than just GHG) intuitively makes so much sense.
Scientific groups have issued numerous statements supporting the consensus, and numerous surveys (including one released this week) continue to show that over 95 percent of those working in the field see evidence of
an anthropogenic impact on climate.
However, model complexity is necessary to quantify
the anthropogenic impact on climate via the aerosol direct and indirect effects.
However
the anthropogenic impact on the climate is regarded as most important driver of the climate warming in 20th century -LSB-...].
Its main goal is to stabilize hothouse emissions in the air at the level that would pose no danger of
anthropogenic impact on the climate.
We know, for example, from the work of Santer et al. that the warming trend in the tropical Atlantic can not be explained without
anthropogenic impacts on the climate.
[Response: Not all of the papers criticized by us in this piece express skepticism regarding
anthropogenic impacts on climate (e.g. the Fan et al paper).
[Response: There is evidence that the enhanced continental winter warming in the Northern Hemisphere, which has resulted at least in part from a recent trend towards the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), may in fact also represent a response to
anthropogenic impacts on climate.
In conclusion, we have shown that the effect of natural oscillations is critical for proper assessment of
anthropogenic impacts on the climate system.
«Lately, along with mitigation of
anthropogenic impacts on the climate system by reducing emissions of greenhouse gases, the world community places increasing emphasis on the economy and public adaptation to adverse effects of climate change, including analysis and prediction of emerging challenges and threats.»
Not exact matches
To inform its Earth system models, the
climate modeling community has a long history of using integrated assessment models — frameworks for describing humanity's
impact on Earth, including the source of global greenhouse gases, land use and land cover change, and other resource - related drivers of
anthropogenic climate change.
More work needs to be done to quantify the
impact of
anthropogenic soluble iron
on ocean ecosystems and
climate.»
[Response: You may also be interested in the article by Richard Feely and colleagues,
Impact of Anthropogenic CO2 on the CaCO3 System in the Oceans arguing that quite apart from any climate impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
Impact of
Anthropogenic CO2
on the CaCO3 System in the Oceans arguing that quite apart from any
climate impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct
impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's oceans.
Moreover, Shindell et al. found that
anthropogenic ozone depletion (via chlorofluorocarbon emissions) may have reduced the
impact of UV variability
on the
climate, and may have even offset it entirely.
Impact of
anthropogenic climate change
on wildfire across western US forests.
I am a marine biologist and fish ecologist, with particular interests in bioacoustics (including
impacts of
anthropogenic noise
on marine ecosystems), fish behaviour, effects of
climate change
on marine fisheries, and innovative management approaches.
Anthropogenic climate change is expected to have an
impact on these types of events: warm temperature extremes and heavy precipitation extremes have -LSB-...]
[Response: You may also be interested in the article by Richard Feely and colleagues,
Impact of Anthropogenic CO2 on the CaCO3 System in the Oceans arguing that quite apart from any climate impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
Impact of
Anthropogenic CO2
on the CaCO3 System in the Oceans arguing that quite apart from any
climate impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
impact from atmospheric CO2, there is a much more direct
impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's o
impact from the dissolution of CO2 in the world's oceans.
Our findings support a previous study suggesting that the
impact of
anthropogenic climate warming
on Arctic sea ice became detectable from the early 1990s onwards (19).
Perhaps some
on this site are eagerly, impatiently, and prematurely anticipating the eventual emergence of a * real *
CLIMATE signal that heralds an unquestioned anthropogenic impact on *** clima
CLIMATE signal that heralds an unquestioned
anthropogenic impact on ***
climateclimate ***.
«The climatic forcings resulting from such solar — terrestrial links may have had a significant
impact on climate prior to the onset of
anthropogenic warming».
Thomas Lee Elifritz (# 70), you quote the authors: «The climatic forcings resulting from such solar — terrestrial links may have had a significant
impact on climate prior to the onset of
anthropogenic warming».
Carefully qualified statements
on the probability that
climate change is real and
anthropogenic, along with possible potential
impacts — also carefully qualified and filled with jargon — are lost
on the general public, who would find even the simplified approach of RealClimate overwhelming.
These results, while confirming that
anthropogenic - added
climate forcing might have progressively played a dominant role in
climate change during the last century, also suggested that the solar
impact on climate change during the same period is signficantly stronger than what some theoretical models have predicted.»
In essence Tung & Zhou are dining at the denialist's last - chance saloon by invoking a 60 - year natural cycle (their cycle of choice being AMO) resulting in a reduced
anthropogenic influence
on climate, although they make sure to not directly challenge
climate sensitivity by asserting that their findings will
impact on assessment of net
anthropogenic forcing and leave
climate sensitivity estimates unchallenged.
The consensus in
climate science is that recent
climate change is overwhelmingly identified as
anthropogenic in cause, and furthermore (as per AAR5
on Impacts) there is a consensus that climate change will have significant impacts that while a value judgement can quite reasonably be described as «dangerous&
Impacts) there is a consensus that
climate change will have significant
impacts that while a value judgement can quite reasonably be described as «dangerous&
impacts that while a value judgement can quite reasonably be described as «dangerous».
The first is
climate inertia —
on very many levels, from fossil lock - in emissions (decades), ocean - atmospheric temperature inertia (yet more decades), Earth system temperature inertia (centuries to millennia) to ecological
climate impact inertia (
impacts becoming worse over time under a constant stress)-- all this to illustrate
anthropogenic climate change, although already manifesting itself, is still very much an escalating problem for the future.
Let me know when you can acknowledge the scientific
on the
impact of CO2 - induced,
anthropogenic climate change.
When this is done, the results tell the full story of the
on - going consistent
impacts of
anthropogenic climate change.
More Scientific Evidence For CO2's Dubious
Climate Impact Emerges Image Source: Robertson and Chilingar, 2017 According to the most basic precepts of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), variations in CO2 concentrations exert significant control on sea surface temperatures, glaciers, sea levels, and generalized climate dynamics (i.e., precipitation pat
Climate Impact Emerges Image Source: Robertson and Chilingar, 2017 According to the most basic precepts of
anthropogenic global warming (AGW), variations in CO2 concentrations exert significant control
on sea surface temperatures, glaciers, sea levels, and generalized
climate dynamics (i.e., precipitation pat
climate dynamics (i.e., precipitation patterns).
Observational records show that
anthropogenic - influenced
climate change has already had a profound
impact on global and U.S. warm season
climate over the past 30 years, and there is increasing contrast between geographic regions that are climatologically wet and dry - the hypothesis that the «wet gets wetter, dry gets drier» is seen in a new paper by Chang et al..
The British medical journal The Lancet, known for its tobacco Prohibitionist and anti-Israel views, created a commission
on Health and
Climate Change to promote, as if it were science, the view that «to avoid the risk of potentially catastrophic climate change impacts requires total anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to be kept below 2900 billion tonnes by the end of the century» — not a calculation that physicians, biologists, and the like are particularly qualified to
Climate Change to promote, as if it were science, the view that «to avoid the risk of potentially catastrophic
climate change impacts requires total anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to be kept below 2900 billion tonnes by the end of the century» — not a calculation that physicians, biologists, and the like are particularly qualified to
climate change
impacts requires total
anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to be kept below 2900 billion tonnes by the end of the century» — not a calculation that physicians, biologists, and the like are particularly qualified to make.)
The
impacts of
climate change and sea level rise tend to be intensified by direct
anthropogenic modifications (e.g. river control structures, coastal embankments, and upstream reservoirs)
on the delta plain.
The
impact of
anthropogenic land use and land cover change
on regional
climate extremes.
Therefore, it can be concluded that
anthropogenic climate change so far has not had a significant
impact on losses from natural disasters.
The relative magnitudes of the
climate impacts induced by the naturally - occurring NAO and by
anthropogenic factors will depend
on the time horizon (e.g., next few decades vs. end of the twenty - first century), time - scale (interannual vs. multi-decadal), and parameter (temperature vs. precipitation) of interest (e.g., Deser et al. 2012).
Posmentier, 2001: The
impact of
anthropogenic CO2 emission
on climate: unresolved Problems (in Russian), Proceedings of the Russian Geographical Society 133 (1).
Of course this is totally dependent
on how «better» is measured, but there is one fundamental, over-riding sense in which I think it isn't better - that we are likely facing potentially catastrophic
impacts from
anthropogenic climate change and we have little prospect of averting that within timescales that would make a significant difference.
It appears that the message from the AGW believers regarding solar
impact on our
climate is slowly shifting from «it is insignificant, limited to the measurable direct
impact from changes in solar irradiation» to «well, it could be a cause of natural variation but is still much less significant than
anthropogenic factors (i.e. CO2)»
Once this is done, it is found that solar
impact on climate is severely underestimated by the traditional models by a large factor while that the
anthropogenic component has been overestimated by at least 2 - 3 times.
So the argument we made was, since Paris is voluntary, we had already agreed under the Framework Convention
on Climate Change (which we're a party to), that we would reduce our emissions to a level that wouldn't cause dangerous
anthropogenic impacts.
These results suggest that there is a strong
impact of
anthropogenic climate change
on growing season length.
Systems: In recent decades, changes in
climate (including both
anthropogenic and natural changes) have caused
impacts on natural and human systems
on all continents and oceans.
The red line shows
climate model simulations of global surface temperature change produced using the sum of the
impacts on temperature from natural (b, c, d) and
anthropogenic factors (e).
The first step in being truly objective is to openly acknowledge the large degree of uncertainty which exists today
on the relative importance of natural and
anthropogenic climate forcing components and, hence,
on the validity of any long - term projections of future
impact of
anthropogenic factors.
The term «enforcers of the
climate consensus» is a bitter and resentful way to refer to competent and productive
climate scientists, in particular those who care enough about the current and future
impact of
anthropogenic climate change
on Earth's ecosystems and
on humanity.
By incorporating a range of volcanic futures into a coupled model, it is shown that volcanic forcing has quantifiable
impacts on the time at which
anthropogenic signatures emerge across various
climate metrics.
For in order to gauge the possible
impacts of
anthropogenic greenhouse gases
on the present or future
climate, we must first know the natural variations
on which our own activities are imposed.
Under the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change, developed and developing countries collaborate and come together to mitigate and adapt to climate impacts resulting from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emi
Climate Change, developed and developing countries collaborate and come together to mitigate and adapt to
climate impacts resulting from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emi
climate impacts resulting from
anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
Furthermore, this variability is not adequately simulated in the current generation of coupled
climate models used to study the
impact of
anthropogenic influences
on climate [Gregory et al., 2004; Barnett et al. 2005; Church et al. 2005; and Hansen et al., 2005].