From a leaked draft of the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), the IPCC reports a global temperature rise of 0.89 °C ** from 1901 - 2012 and a total
anthropogenic radiation change of 2.29 W / m2.
Not exact matches
While natural global warming during the ice ages was initiated by increased solar
radiation caused by cyclic
changes to Earth's orbital parameters, there is no evident mechanism for correcting
Anthropogenic Global Warming over the next several centuries.
This is the portion of temperature
change that is imposed on the ocean - atmosphere - land system from the outside and it includes contributions from
anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gasses, aerosols, and land - use
change as well as
changes in solar
radiation and volcanic aerosols.
By Amber Bentley (Aged 11) In just 16 pages, this wonderful book covers the structure of the atmosphere, solar
radiation, the water cycle, clouds, fronts, convection, air pressure, air masses, the global atmospheric circulation, making weather observations, forecasting, synoptic charts, hurricanes, regional climate, palaeoclimates and
anthropogenic climate
change.
It is not clear how much is the actual
anthropogenic contribution to a
changed radiation budget (again, even the sign of the
anthropogenic effect is not known).
As such, it can not capture the slow - down in net
anthropogenic forcings that allows the effects of declining solar
radiation and
changes from El Nino or La Nina to dominate the 1999 — 2008 period.
Theoretical and Applied Climatology covers climate modeling, climatic
changes and climate forecasting, micro - to mesoclimate, applied meteorology as in agro - and forestmeteorology, biometeorology, building meteorology and atmospheric
radiation problems as they relate to the biosphere; effects of
anthropogenic and natural aerosols or gaseous trace constituents; hardware and software elements of meteorological measurements, including techniques of remote sensing, among other topics of current interest.
We know there are effects from land use
change and we know we have added to atmospheric backscatter of solar
radiation from particulates (sulfate aerosols, dust from agriculture...) but we are no longer certain of the net sign of
anthropogenic temperature
change.
Aerosols of
anthropogenic origin are responsible for a radiative forcing (RF) of climate
change through their interaction with
radiation, and also as a result of their interaction with clouds.
Forster et al. (2007) described four mechanisms by which volcanic forcing influences climate: RF due to aerosol —
radiation interaction; differential (vertical or horizontal) heating, producing gradients and
changes in circulation; interactions with other modes of circulation, such as El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO); and ozone depletion with its effects on stratospheric heating, which depends on
anthropogenic chlorine (stratospheric ozone would increase with a volcanic eruption under low - chlorine conditions).
These include other
anthropogenic factors such as increased industrial aerosols and ozone depletion, as well as natural
changes in solar
radiation and volcanic aerosols, and the cycle of El Niño and La Niña events.
The 2007 Fourth Assessment Report compiled by the IPCC (AR4) noted that «
changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols, land cover and solar
radiation alter the energy balance of the climate system», and concluded that «increases in
anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations is very likely to have caused most of the increases in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century».