The variability of daily temperature over the U.S. is much larger than
the anthropogenic warming signal at the time scales of local weather.
Obviously there is natural variability, and some of it is cyclic, but
the anthropogenic warming signal is very clear.
«I agree with Santer et al that «[m] inimal warming over a single decade does not disprove the existence of a slowly - evolving
anthropogenic warming signal.»
Guy Callendar was pretty sure he'd detected
an anthropogenic warming signal in 1938.
While there is, of course, some statistical likelihood that we are entering a period of cooling, I would remind us that a) even a stuck (analog) clock is right twice a day and b) even if we do enter a period of cooling, my take on our current understanding (which may eventually prove incorrect) is that
the anthropogenic warming signal will make such cooling less pronounced than it would otherwise be.