Historical trends teach us there are two simple, foundational drivers
of apartment demand — demographics and the economy.
When the apartment boom first started in 2010, conventional wisdom linked
rising apartment demand with the collapse of the for - sale housing market.
If it happened then, at the height of an artificial housing boom, we can safely
conclude apartment demand isn't negatively correlated with home sales.
Changing demographics (people are marrying later, people are having kids later, high student loan debt, baby boomers are retiring, etc.) are creating even
more apartment demand.
Of course, job growth does not translate
into apartment demand equally in every market, as several other factors influence absorption levels.
Houston was the nation's leader
for apartment demand in 4th quarter 2017 as a flurry of leasing activity following Hurricane Harvey drove up the metro's overall numbers.
Top 15 metros for
apartment demand in 2Q National absorption rose to near - record levels in 2nd quarter 2017, easily outpacing completions.
Despite a seasonal lull in 4th quarter 2017,
apartment demand remained strong for the year, keeping occupancy levels steady at 95 %.
With the glut confined to luxury apartments, however, the report documents overall «
robust apartment demand and occupancy» despite a slowdown in the pace of rent growth.
Scheduled deliveries for 2017 are up 26 % over 2016, a year that itself saw the third
highest apartment demand for any calendar year during the past three decades.
Apartment demand fell way short of the 6,972 new rental units that opened their doors in the first quarter.
In a 2017 research piece, economists from the St. Louis Fed
noted apartment demand should benefit from more young adults leaving their parents» homes, as well as from downsizing Baby Boomers.
Some cities, such as Los Angeles, San Diego, Chicago and Austin, Texas, to name a few, will continue to experience high
rental apartment demand.
The continuing strength of
apartment demand suggests stronger household formations may be lurking under the surface, particularly from Millennials / Generation Y.
It's a catchy moniker given to members of Gen Y who are living with their parents, and it's been an impediment to
apartment demand thus far.
Apartment Demand Soars in Tandem With Supply Wave With new apartment supply levels surging toward two - decade highs, occupancy rates had been expected to cool somewhat.
Axiometrics analysts attributed the weaker rental market in Chicago to slow job growth, which is
suppressing apartment demand at a time when new construction has produced a huge supply of rental units.
«Homeownership rates have, in turn, continued to fall through this segment, helping to stimulate
healthy apartment demand this cycle,» Naughton told investors during a conference call this week after AvalonBay reported an 8.6 percent increase in revenue to $ 516.2 million from the previous third quarter.
This
indicates apartment demand — driven by millennials, downsizing baby boomers, and increasing single - family home prices — is still extremely high.
Those strong structural drivers have spurred
along apartment demand and rent growth levels throughout Austin's ongoing supply wave.
«Those factors suggest the potential for strong
apartment demand once the spring leasing season gets going.»
While MPF Research
expects apartment demand to remain strong in 2017, they believe it won't quite be able to keep up with supply — resulting in a modest (70 basis point) drop in occupancy.
Multifamily development is not slowing down across the metro, as population growth and a thriving job market continue to
fuel apartment demand.
Boosted by the emergence of its urban core as a popular live - work - play destination, the city's
apartment demand remains tepid but steady, with rents up 0.5 percent year over year as of January.
Houston led the nation for
apartment demand in 4th quarter 2017, as residents displaced by Hurricane Harvey elevated leasing activity in the metro.
As payroll job growth is the most statistically significant driver
of apartment demand, this does not bode well for absorption.
As if smelling the scent of sex, the Fury's remaining three - crew members burst in
the apartment demanding their next turn with the girl.
A rebound in
apartment demand has propelled the stock prices of multifamily real estate investment trusts (REITs), making them some of the best performing companies in the market.
Apartment demand in Florida metros should remain healthy overall, though there is little room for occupancy to improve further for most metros.
Apartment demand has been better than expected in recent years, which can be explained by the impact Generation Y is having by delaying marriage and living with Mom & Dad.
That has translated to
apartment demand and pricing power.
Going into 2013's 4th quarter, the U.S. apartment sector entered a period of vulnerability — with lots of new supply scheduled to complete during what are traditionally the slowest months for
apartment demand.
Apartment demand has remained strong and will likely remain so this year.
«This shift has resulted in the need for less space and less privacy» when it comes to housing, and that bodes well for
apartment demand, says Dave Bragg, a managing director with Green Street Advisors.
Robust
apartment demand leads to healthy occupancy, stable rent growth Apartment demand surged to a near - record volume in 2nd quarter 2017, easily outpacing completions.
While this trend won't push
the apartment demand needle much higher in any one quarter, it is a powerful tailwind for the sector that should not be ignored.
As we wrote in our previous multifamily snapshot,
apartment demand rose to its highest level in 25 years in 2017, which is a generational peak.
As for geographic markets, Kamfar stressed that Bluerock wants to be in growth markets due to the 80 percent correlation between job growth and
apartment demand.