These models, whether forecasting tools or global temperature models like Hansen's, take poorly understood descriptors of a complex system in the front end and wash them through a computer model to
create apparent certainty and precision.
Many times during this period large segments of the Protestant ministry committed themselves wholeheartedly to a single cause or movement, or to the mores of a segment of society, with
the apparent certainty that this was what the ministry required of them.
One appeal is its simplicity and
apparent certainty.
Moore continues the theme, first established in his earlier volume that Thatcher's
apparent certainties and determination concealed at times genuine fears that at any time her critics in the government and Parliament could overthrow her or constrain her natural instincts.
A second glance begins to undermine
the apparent certainty of this interpretation.