Not exact matches
I have no way of knowing the influence of «family
relationships» between models, but it is clear that a large part of the
apparent correlation of projected
warming rate with average surface temperature is due to more runs for some models than for others, combined with the close
relationships between certain models.
Not that this yet constitutes a trend of course, but the
relationship between
warming Pacific / Atlantic sea surface temperatures & Amazonian drought is
apparent.
Also there is no
apparent relationship between El Niño, that produces a lot of
warm air that in part is transported towards the poles, and ice melting rates historically.