When a model's output (value plus error bounds) already falls within the error bounds of the observations, it is a Bad Idea to try to tune a model through purely
arbitrary adjustment of parameters.
Not exact matches
While the level
of a company's stock price is
arbitrary, because it can be manipulated by firms via
adjustments in the number
of shares outstanding, it's been well - documented that individual investors are influenced by nominal prices.
What do you feel about the
arbitrary post hoc
adjustment of tropospheric temperature (which includes some stratospheric contamination) to match «Hansen's temperature data» and then using that as a comparator, is that good practise (sic.)?
Steve, In your paper you say
of the tree ring data «there was no scientific basis for such an
arbitrary adjustment».
The explained variance claimed by [Shaviv and Veizer, 2003] is the maximum achievable by optimal smoothing
of the temperature data and by making several
arbitrary adjustments to the cosmic ray data (within their large uncertainty) to line up their peaks with the temperature curve.
PP, What does imperfect data have to do with
arbitrary systematic
adjustments of data to fit the desired goal?
and «no data or computer code appears to be archived in relation to the paper» and «the sensitivity
of Shindell's TCR estimate to the aerosol forcing bias
adjustment is such that the true uncertainty
of Shindell's TCR range must be huge — so large as to make his estimate worthless» and the seemingly
arbitrary to cherry picked climate models used in Shindell's analysis.
Like the
arbitrary UHI ajustments, these sources
of error are disregarded altogether, subjected to
arbitrary adjustments without adequate experimental verifications, and generally denied as a confounding problem in the preparation
of the IPCC reports and conclusions.
Many, if not most,
of these
adjustments were done by computer algorithms, which are by design, are
arbitrary.
None
of these could have been caused by an increase in atmospheric CO2, Model projections
of warming during recent decades have greatly exceeded what has been observed, The modelling community has openly acknowledged that the ability
of existing models to simulate past climates is due to numerous
arbitrary tuning
adjustments, Observations show no statistically valid trends in flooding or drought, and no meaningful acceleration whatsoever
of pre-existing long term sea level rise (about 6 inches per century) worldwide, Current carbon dioxide levels, around 400 parts per million are still very small compared to the averages over geological history, when thousands
of parts per million prevailed, and when life flourished on land and in the oceans.
A $ 350,000 cap was enacted in 1995, which with inflation
adjustments rose to $ 445,775 before it was struck down by the state Supreme Court in 2005 as being
arbitrary and violating the equal protection provision
of the state constitution.