That was a major motivation to predict a significant positive shift in
arctic ice extent for this September.
Not exact matches
For other indicators — glacial retreat, sea level,
arctic ice extent, etc. — the data is equally noisy, and it is difficult having a sensible discussion without the inevitable cherry - picking on both sides of the argument.
I would expect, with global warming, with the
ice melting earlier, this date would move forward
for the high latitudes, and should also cause the date of minimun
arctic ice extent to move foward also.
-- The Minimum Sea
Ice Extent in the arctic was lower in 1990 than in 2006 — ie the arctic ice summer (September) minimum has been more - or-less stable for 16 yea
Ice Extent in the
arctic was lower in 1990 than in 2006 — ie the
arctic ice summer (September) minimum has been more - or-less stable for 16 yea
ice summer (September) minimum has been more - or-less stable
for 16 years.
With 19 responses
for the Pan-
Arctic Outlook (plus 6 regional Outlook contributions), the June Sea
Ice Outlook projects a September 2012
arctic sea
extent median value of 4.4 million square kilometers, with quartiles of 4.3 and 4.7 million square kilometers (Figure 1).
Klazes (Public), 3.6 (95 % confidence interval of + / - 0.9), Statistical September
extent is predicted using an estimated minimum value of the PIOMAS
arctic sea
ice volume and a simple model
for volume -
extent relationship.
As reported at Science Daily, in a new paper in Quaternary Science Reviews they report their findings: that the present
extent of sea
ice in the
arctic is at its lowest
for at least several thousand years.
There is also considerable observational evidence that
arctic sea
ice extent over the last few decades is much lower than it has been
for at least a century prior to modern times.
I have downloaded the HADISST
ice data and computed sea
ice extent for both the
arctic and antarctic (based on 15 % concentration to be consistent with NSIDC data from the satellite era).
If you agree with me that 4 years is too short term to be meaningful
for a trend of
arctic sea
ice extent then why are you bothering me with it?
Now, since 2007, at the height of the global warming scare tactics about
arctic sea
ice, the antarctic sea
ice extents anomaly CONTINUOUSLY exceeds 1.25 Mkm ^ 2
for 3 years straight now, and is larger than 1.5 Mkm ^ 2 so often
for such long times that it is not even newsworthy on a skeptic site.
The July Outlook
for arctic sea
ice extent in September 2010 shows some notable adjustments from the June Outlook, with both downward and upward revisions from last month.
Distributions of Outlook estimates
for September 2010
arctic sea
ice extent based on May data.
The June Outlook
for arctic sea
ice in September 2010 shows reasonable arguments
for either a modest increase or decrease in September 2010 sea
ice extent compared to the last two years (5.4 million square kilometers in 2009 and 4.7 million square kilometers in 2008).
Anyone ever seen the
arctic ice extent completely flat - line
for 4 days in December before?
Distributions of Outlook estimates
for September 2010
arctic sea
ice extent based on July data.
With 19 responses
for the pan-
arctic (and 7
for the regional outlook), including several new contributors, the June Sea
Ice Outlook projects a September 2011
arctic sea
extent median value of 4.7 million square kilometers (Figure 1).
The outlook
for the pan-
arctic sea
ice extent in September 2008, based on July data, indicates a continuation of dramatic
arctic sea
ice loss.
Can't find a recent item on
arctic sea
ice but hoped it might be worth pointing out Peng et al Sensitivity Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Trends and Statistical Projections Using Satellite Data http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/2/230/htm «The most persistently probable curve - fit model from all the methods examined appears to be Gompertz, even if it is not the best of the subset for all analyzed perio
ice but hoped it might be worth pointing out Peng et al Sensitivity Analysis of
Arctic Sea
Ice Extent Trends and Statistical Projections Using Satellite Data http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/2/230/htm «The most persistently probable curve - fit model from all the methods examined appears to be Gompertz, even if it is not the best of the subset for all analyzed perio
Ice Extent Trends and Statistical Projections Using Satellite Data http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/2/230/htm «The most persistently probable curve - fit model from all the methods examined appears to be Gompertz, even if it is not the best of the subset
for all analyzed periods.
According to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the arctic sea ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record behind 2011; the ice extent recorded for August 1st of 6.5 million square kilometers is the lowest in the satellite reco
Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the
arctic sea
ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record behind 2011; the ice extent recorded for August 1st of 6.5 million square kilometers is the lowest in the satellite reco
ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record behind 2011; the
ice extent recorded for August 1st of 6.5 million square kilometers is the lowest in the satellite reco
ice extent recorded
for August 1st of 6.5 million square kilometers is the lowest in the satellite record.
Distributions of Outlook estimates
for September 2012
arctic sea
ice extent for the June report (based on May data).
For his early forecast of the September 2015 sea
ice extent, Bosse used two variables: The Heat Content of the
arctic ocean northward 65 deg.
The Sea
Ice Outlook is not a formal consensus forecast or prediction for arctic sea ice extent, nor is it intended as a replacement for existing efforts or centers with operational responsibili
Ice Outlook is not a formal consensus forecast or prediction
for arctic sea
ice extent, nor is it intended as a replacement for existing efforts or centers with operational responsibili
ice extent, nor is it intended as a replacement
for existing efforts or centers with operational responsibility.
Distributions of Outlook estimates
for September 2010
arctic sea
ice extent for the July report (based on June data).
The average
arctic sea
ice monthly extent for September 2012 was the lowest observed in the satellite era at 3.6 million square kilometers, based on National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000 average of 7.0 million square kilomete
ice monthly
extent for September 2012 was the lowest observed in the satellite era at 3.6 million square kilometers, based on National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000 average of 7.0 million square kilomete
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000 average of 7.0 million square kilometers.
With 19 total responses, 14 provided a value
for the
arctic sea
ice minimum
extent for September 2008; 6 provided regional outlooks.
The May Sea
Ice Outlook report for the September 2008 sea ice extent is based on a synthesis of 19 individual outlooks from the international arctic science communi
Ice Outlook report
for the September 2008 sea
ice extent is based on a synthesis of 19 individual outlooks from the international arctic science communi
ice extent is based on a synthesis of 19 individual outlooks from the international
arctic science community.
So, yes, scientists are very much able to make a meaningful case
for such data, and they do so quite lucidly in the IPCC assessments and in the NSICD's annual
arctic ice extent reports.
I just looked at the NSIDC page and there's an historical graph
for the
extent of
arctic ice but not one
for Antarctica
ice extent?
Bosse (Citizen Scientist / Public), 4.1 (± 0.43), Statistical (Same as June) Just as in the two years before I calculate the value
for the September - minimum of the
arctic sea
ice extent of the year n (NSIDC monthly mean
for September) from the Ocean Heat Content (0... 700m depth) northward 65 ° N during JJAS of the year n - 1.
The outlook
for arctic sea
ice for September 2009, based on June data, indicates a continuation of low pan-
arctic sea
ice extent and no indication that a return to historical levels will occur.
Furthermore you use that interpretation to push the claim that temperatures
for most of the holocene were warming than now which can hardly be supported by evidence of say
arctic ice extent, glacial retreat levels etc, never mind other proxies.
We received 21 responses with a range of estimates from 4.0 to 5.0 million square kilometers
for the September 2012
arctic mean sea
ice extent (Figure 1).
With polar sea
ice [not polar
ice caps]
for about 30 years we have been fairly accurately measuring it, and in
arctic it has significantly decreased, 2007 and 2012 were lowest
ice extent during summer.
Hi iceman, Sorry
for the tardy reply, that pesky real life thing again...:) The reason there is so little excitement about the record high sea
ice extent in the antarctic (aside from it having no appealing potential victims, like polar bears) versus the record low
arctic sea
ice is probably because the southern record is only a matter of 2 % anamoly, whereas in the north we are now looking at levels over 40 % below average.
According to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC), arctic sea ice extent for June 2011 was the second lowest in the satellite data record since 19
Ice Data Center (NSIDC),
arctic sea
ice extent for June 2011 was the second lowest in the satellite data record since 19
ice extent for June 2011 was the second lowest in the satellite data record since 1979.
Again it is important to remember that the Outlook values are
for the mean
arctic September sea
ice extent as provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSID
ice extent as provided by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSID
Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
We received 21 responses
for the Pan-
Arctic report (Figure 1), with estimates in the range of just below 4.0 million square kilometers to as high as 5.4 million square kilometers
for the September
arctic mean sea
ice extent.