That requires considerable sensitivity research with state - of -
the art numerical weather prediction (and climate) models... This hand - waving theory may not hold up when a rigorous scientific hypothesis is tested, yet McKibben does not provide a citation or reference aside from Masters» quotations, which are not peer - reviewed in the slightest.»
«It's impressive, considering that current state - of - the -
art numerical weather models, such as NOA's Global Forecast System, or the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts» operational model, are only skillful up to one to two weeks in advance,» says paper co-author Cory Baggett, a postdoctoral researcher in the Barnes and Maloney labs.
Armed with their model, the researchers want to identify and understand deficiencies in state - of - the -
art numerical weather models that prevent them from predicting weather on these subseasonal time scales.