There are plenty of
article on climate modeling on this site — explaining what they are, what they are used for, why you can't get a perfect model and how they are evaluated and how we decide what they are (and are not) useful for.
I was interviewed recently for a news
article on climate model tuning, which said:... nearly every model has been calibrated precisely to the 20th century climate records — otherwise it would have ended up in the trash.
Not exact matches
I can read any peer - reviewed
article I like
on modern
climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some
models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend
climate modelling as a skilled craft.
Lessee... for example, we have this
article archived at the Fraser Institue from 1999
on the exaggerated predictions of
climate models in Arctic regions, by Baliunas & Soon:
This last
article presents IDRA's major findings in the classroom level indicators, focusing
on the program
model, classroom
climate, curriculum and instruction, teacher expectations, and program articulation.
I can read any peer - reviewed
article I like
on modern
climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some
models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend
climate modelling as a skilled craft.
I keep re-reading Von Storch's
articles on what
climate models are, and so
on, but also keep
on coming out with the idea that Mann did just what Von Storch says shold be done.
(Full disclosure, I spoke to him a couple of times for this
article and I'm working
on tuning description paper for the US
climate modeling centers).
Show in the above figure (Figure 2d from the
article) is the D'Arrigo et al tree - ring based NH reconstruction (blue) along with the
climate model (NCAR CSM 1.4) simulated NH mean temperatures (red) and the «simulated tree - ring» NH temperature series based
on driving the biological growth
model with the
climate model simulated temperatures (green).
A while ago Eli pointed to a 2005
article by Thomas Knutson and Robert Tulyea
on hurricane
modeling as an example of fine
climate snark
Based
on the peer review comments exposed in this
article, I ran a
model which showed
climate modelers to be children allowed to play with big computers.
The
climate model output (CMIP5) that will contribute to the 5th Assessment Report of the International Panel on Climate Change (AR5 IPCC) are available and have been evaluated in several journal ar
climate model output (CMIP5) that will contribute to the 5th Assessment Report of the International Panel
on Climate Change (AR5 IPCC) are available and have been evaluated in several journal ar
Climate Change (AR5 IPCC) are available and have been evaluated in several journal
articles.
Reblogged this
on gottadobetterthanthis and commented: — Down into the tedious weeds, but exceptionally good
article showing that there is no value whatsoever in
climate models.
We have three excellent participants joining this discussion: Bart van den Hurk of KNMI in The Netherlands who is actively involved in the KNMI scenario's, Jason Evans from the University of Newcastle, Australia, who is coordinator of Coordinated Regional
Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and Roger Pielke Sr. who through his research articles and his weblog Climate Science is well known for his outspoken views on climate mod
Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and Roger Pielke Sr. who through his research
articles and his weblog
Climate Science is well known for his outspoken views on climate mod
Climate Science is well known for his outspoken views
on climate mod
climate modelling.
After all, Professor Judith Curry complained that she had been misattributed not just for this week's
article (she claims she never said
climate models were «deeply flawed» despite the
article attributing this comment to her), but for the Mail
on Sunday
article last year where he also quoted her.
«After all, Professor Judith Curry complained that she had been mis - attributed not just for this week's
article (she claims she never said
climate models were «deeply flawed» despite the
article attributing this comment to her), but for the Mail
on Sunday
article last year where he also quoted her.
He rewrote Wikipedia's
articles on global warming,
on the greenhouse effect,
on the instrumental temperature record,
on the urban heat island,
on climate models,
on global cooling.
Graham Readfearn comments
on the piece in an
article in The Guardian, noting that Evans's theory had arose from a series of over 11 blog posts he had
on his wife's blog (JoNova) where Evans claims to have found fundamental problems with
climate models.
Hang
on... we've been told for years by apparent top
climate scientists to expect less snowfalls,
climate models predict warmer winters, ex-politicians claiming ice - free polar caps, hand - wringing news
articles of children who would never experience snowfalls,
on and
on... but now we're expected to believe exactly the opposite because that's what's happening now.
Dan Kahan of Yale University and four colleagues have just published an
article in Annals of the AAPS titled: Geoengineering and
Climate Change Polarization Testing a Two - Channel Model of Science Communication that investigates the effect on study participants» attitudes to climate change after reading an article about geoengin
Climate Change Polarization Testing a Two - Channel
Model of Science Communication that investigates the effect
on study participants» attitudes to
climate change after reading an article about geoengin
climate change after reading an
article about geoengineering.
Take a look at Kerr's
article of today's Science (
Climate Change Hot Spots Mapped Across the United States) to understand why it important to know that the
models are poor (or rubbish, as you say)
on a local scale.
When even genuine
climate scientists can not get a short
article published, that tries make other
climate scientists aware of data that might have a slightly negative effect
on AGW theory (as in the CO2 warming might not be as bad as predicted by
climate models), well, you know for certain that
climate science is no - longer functioning as a science.