Using a model of water flow into the lake, the researchers found that 60 % of this decline was caused by climate changes, such
as change in precipitation and temperature, and that the remaining 40 % of the decline could be attributed to water resources development, such as diverting water for irrigation that would otherwise flow into the lake.
(Such
as changes in precipitation, and changes in growing season length.)
Broadening the concept of radiative forcing in this way allows consideration of climate variables that may have more direct societal impacts, such
as changes in precipitation.
Not exact matches
Climatic variability like
precipitation changes or increase
in extreme events such
as storms and tropical cyclones is known to significantly modify the Earth's surface.
Climate
change is likely to influence rainfall patterns
in the Sierra Nevada
as well
as the amount of dust that makes its way into the atmosphere, so the hope is that a better understanding of how aerosols affect
precipitation will help water managers
in the future.
According to research
in the September Nature Climate
Change,
precipitation patterns
in the area have increased, which may help larger glaciers such
as this one stick around a while longer.
Countless additional forces — melting ice sheets, shifts
in precipitation,
changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, to name a few — will influence the process
as well.
«Furthermore, our work focuses on increases / decreases
in temperatures, but similar analyses are needed to estimate consensus
changes in other meteorological variables such
as precipitation.
Climate model results have long suggested that we would see increased
precipitation in the tropics
as a result of climate
change.
The certainty of the forecasts is particularly important
as warming leads to shifts from temperate to subtropical drylands, which leads to
changes in precipitation and soil moisture, which
in turn has profound effects on ecological services, provided to humanity, including the viability of certain temperate agricultural systems.
Starting
in the 3rd year of his 5 - year degree at the University of Vigo, Ourense,
in Spain, Añel spent 4 hours a week
in Luis Gimeno's Group of Atmospheric and Ocean Physics at the university's Department of Applied Physics, computing climate
change quantifiers using simple parameters such
as precipitation and air temperature.
When the answer to that question is no, then the greenhouse gases are implicated
as the culprit
in changing how
precipitation is falling worldwide.
But it is a complicated picture: the effect that extra atmospheric CO2 has
in these kind of experimental setups might not reflect its effects
in the real world, where other factors — such
as elevated heat, or
changes in precipitation — come into play.
In their review, the authors classified studies examining the projected changes in temperature and precipitation as «direct threat» researc
In their review, the authors classified studies examining the projected
changes in temperature and precipitation as «direct threat» researc
in temperature and
precipitation as «direct threat» research.
In some areas, particularly in Eurasia, climate change — as measured by changes in temperature and precipitation from 21,000 years ago until now — also seems to have influenced extinction rate
In some areas, particularly
in Eurasia, climate change — as measured by changes in temperature and precipitation from 21,000 years ago until now — also seems to have influenced extinction rate
in Eurasia, climate
change —
as measured by
changes in temperature and precipitation from 21,000 years ago until now — also seems to have influenced extinction rate
in temperature and
precipitation from 21,000 years ago until now — also seems to have influenced extinction rates.
«Some fungal outbreaks over the past couple of decades, such
as Dothistroma needle blight, could likely have been anticipated by tracking how temperature and
precipitation were
changing together,» said Mahony, who has worked
as a forester
in British Columbia for 10 years and has witnessed the impacts of climate
change on the ground.
As climate
change raises summer temperatures around the world, increases
in precipitation could offset drought risk
in some regions.
They will look for evidence of temperature
changes caused by ocean circulation patterns
in both the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific Oceans, which drive
precipitation in Tibet
as well
as the Indian monsoons.
This is due to the slow
changes in ocean currents which affect climate parameters such
as air temperature and
precipitation.
For example, westerly wind and air temperature can cause a 7 - ounce
change in average chick weights,
as compared to 3.5 - ounce
change caused by wind speed and
precipitation.
Changes in precipitation and temperatures are likely to reduce habitat suitability for some tree species, including iconic species such
as American beech, eastern hemlock, eastern white pine, red spruce, and sugar maple.
But beyond the increased amount of
precipitation, Wehner adds, «this study more generally increases our understanding of how the various processes
in extreme storms can
change as the overall climate warms.»
The westerlies
in the Northern Hemisphere, which increased from the 1960s to the 1990s but which have since returned to about normal
as part of NAO and NAM
changes, alter the flow from oceans to continents and are a major cause of the observed
changes in winter storm tracks and related patterns of
precipitation and temperature anomalies, especially over Europe.
Increasing evidence suggests that urban heat island effects extend to
changes in precipitation, clouds and DTR, with these detectable
as a «weekend effect» owing to lower pollution and other effects during weekends.
As the 2014 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change report notes, models predict that increasing temperature ought to cause greater
precipitation extremes
in both directions — both drought and flooding, though there are likely more areas of heavy
precipitation.
At local scales and over shorter periods, annual streamflow responds to seasonal
changes in climate variables (e.g., temperature,
precipitation) and related processes such
as evapotranspiration.
Daniel Swain and colleagues model how the frequency of these rapid, year - to - year transitions from extreme dry to wet conditions — which they dub «
precipitation whiplash events» — may
change in California's future
as a consequence of man - made warming.
As discussed
in the Climate chapter, large - scale atmospheric circulation patterns connected to
changes in sea - surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations
in precipitation and temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
Direct effects are impacts to trees that arise directly
in response to
changes in temperature and
precipitation; indirect effects are secondary impacts, such
as increased number of fires associated with warming temperatures, which then affect trees and forests.
Global climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, showing temperature and
precipitation trends for two different future scenarios,
as described
in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC 2014a).
Since joining UW
in 1972, Houze has built a career on
changing and improving how the community understands areas such
as tropical meteorology,
precipitation processes, and cloud dynamics.
Unlike some areas of the country, like the Southwest, climate models differ on how overall
precipitation in the region might
change as temperatures rise.
In our new expanded report, «Meltdown,» we have analyzed the role of elevation in the percentage change of winter precipitation falling as rai
In our new expanded report, «Meltdown,» we have analyzed the role of elevation
in the percentage change of winter precipitation falling as rai
in the percentage
change of winter
precipitation falling
as rain.
In terms of economic impact, changes in temperature and precipitation patterns may result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
In terms of economic impact,
changes in temperature and precipitation patterns may result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
in temperature and
precipitation patterns may result
in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such
as high - value - added agriculture.
Climate
change encompasses both increases and decreases
in temperature,
as well
as shifts
in precipitation,
changing risk of certain types of severe weather events, and
changes to other features of the climate system.
Rather, it sampled how sensitive they are to climate «variability» — defined
in the study
as monthly
changes in temperature,
precipitation or water availability, and cloud cover.
Water is also strongly influenced by climate,
as changes in temperature and
precipitation consistently alter patterns of water availability and quality throughout the state.
Rising CO2 levels have been linked to the globe's average temperature rise
as well
as a host of other
changes to the climate system including sea level rise, shifts
in precipitation, ocean acidification, and an increase
in extreme heat.
Except that GHG forcing + cooling aerosol forcing results
in less
precipitation globally
in general than reduced GHG forcing that produces the same global average temperature,
as found
in «Climate
Change Methadone» elsewhere at RC.
Although there is still some disagreement
in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust
as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming
in the Arctic and stronger
precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given
in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
i.e.
changes in precipitation, vegetation, deep ocean currents, etc. are at any time
as likely to cool
as to heat.
[Response: I don't claim any particular special competence
in the vegetation response to
changing climate, but it will clearly depend on region, and it will depend crucially on
changes to
precipitation patterns
as well
as temperature or CO2 fertilization.
These shape the 4 - dimensional pattern of temperature and other
changes — the patterns of circulation, latent heating, and
precipitation will shift,
as can the cycles driven the imposed diurnal and seasonal cycles
in incident solar radiation; the texture of internal variability can also shift.
As I said, it's more of a regional and seasonally concentrated climate
change, and the most evident climate
changes are
in tropical
precipitation.
So how is it possible then,
as two new papers
in Nature by Min et al. and Pall et al. (discussed here) have done, to attribute extreme
precipitation and extreme UK floods to climate
change?
[Response:
As stated
in my article,
precipitation changes used
in the projections are taken from a high - resolution atmospheric model.
Availability of resources such
as usable water will also depend on
changing rates of
precipitation, with decreased availability
in many places but possible increases
in runoff and groundwater recharge
in some regions like the high latitudes and wet tropics.
I have noticed a few things, winter is greatly milder
in most parts of the Arctic, dominant winds have equally
changed there, rain or
precipitation patterns seem out of whack pretty much everywhere else on Earth
as well.
Regionally, the
changes in precipitation would grow dramatically,
as the subttropical jet would transport moist tropical air into the mountains; but, the strengthening of the Hadley Cell would prevent much of that moisture from forming large thunderstorm complexes outside of the higher elevations.
Percent
changes in the amount of
precipitation falling
in very heavy events (defined
as the heaviest 1 percent of events) from 1958 to 2012 show a clear national trend toward a greater amount of
precipitation being concentrated
in very heavy events.