Today, scientists fear not so much global warming
as changes in atmospheric circulation.
Not exact matches
Countless additional forces — melting ice sheets, shifts
in precipitation,
changes in atmospheric and oceanic
circulation, to name a few — will influence the process
as well.
That would cover seasonal
changes in climate, lakes and
atmospheric circulation vital to understanding Titan
as a whole.
World weather patterns will also start to
change,
as a frigid Antarctic continent and the icy ocean currents that surround it play an important role
in global
atmospheric and oceanic
circulation.
«
As a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.&raqu
As a result, some
atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate
change predictions
as shown in our study.&raqu
as shown
in our study.»
In the North Atlantic, more heat has been retained at deep levels
as a result of
changes to both the ocean and
atmospheric circulations, which have led to the winter atmosphere extracting less heat from the ocean.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts with
atmospheric circulation patterns, such
as Arctic sea ice loss,
changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
There are strong competing effects such
as changes in the large - scale
atmospheric circulation, sea surface temperature
changes like El Niño and La Niña and the dynamics of westerly storm tracks that all interact at the mid-latitudes,» said Stanford co-author Matthew Winnick who contributed to the study with fellow doctoral student Daniel Ibarra.
As discussed
in the Climate chapter, large - scale
atmospheric circulation patterns connected to
changes in sea - surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations
in precipitation and temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
Changes in Hadley
circulation affects convection and thus
atmospheric moisture content and cloud cover which may
in turn affect net solar heating
as well
as the transfer of heat from Earth to space.
As the planet warms from the buildup of greenhouse gases, there may be a
change in the
atmospheric circulations near the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
Changes in Southern Ocean circulation resulting from changes in Southern Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified as the dominant cause of atmospheric CO2 changes (9,
Changes in Southern Ocean
circulation resulting from
changes in Southern Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified as the dominant cause of atmospheric CO2 changes (9,
changes in Southern Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified
as the dominant cause of
atmospheric CO2
changes (9,
changes (9,10,25).
In models at least, this kind of response would be most directly related to increases in stratification due to surface warming, as I understand it, and not directly to the kind of change in atmospheric circulation discussed in Dian's pape
In models at least, this kind of response would be most directly related to increases
in stratification due to surface warming, as I understand it, and not directly to the kind of change in atmospheric circulation discussed in Dian's pape
in stratification due to surface warming,
as I understand it, and not directly to the kind of
change in atmospheric circulation discussed in Dian's pape
in atmospheric circulation discussed
in Dian's pape
in Dian's paper.
Many feedbacks, such
as changes in atmospheric moisture, cloudiness, and
atmospheric circulation should be similar for most forcings.
All climate models tell us that it is the Arctic sea ice cover that declines first, and that Antarctic ice extent falls only later, and may even (
as observed) temporarily increase
in response to
changing patterns of
atmospheric circulation.
Other forcings, including the growth and decay of massive Northern Hemisphere continental ice sheets,
changes in atmospheric dust, and
changes in the ocean
circulation, are not likely to have the same kind of effect
in a future warming scenario
as they did at glacial times.
Everything else that might try to alter that base level simply results
in atmospheric circulation changes (atmosphere includes oceans for this purpose) that adjust the rate of conversion between kinetic and potential energy so
as to keep the base level of system energy content stable.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage including the fact that oceans are now warmer, and regional ocean
circulation cycles such
as La Nina / El Nino patterns
in the Pacific which affect upper
atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate
change.
And that event of climate
change led to ocean surface warming, sea level rise, and increases
in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations
as changing ocean
circulation delivered gases to the atmosphere.
Current global multi-decadal predictions are unable to skillfully simulate regional forcing by major
atmospheric circulation features such
as from El Niño and La Niña and the South Asian monsoon, much less
changes in the statistics of these climate features.
Precipitation
changes might be significant
in particular localities, especially where precipitation is affected by
atmospheric circulation changes,
as seems recently to have been the case with southern Scandinavian glaciers (Oerlemans, 1999).
Sea ice with its strong seasonal and interannual variability (Fig. 1) is a very critical component of the Arctic system that responds sensitively to
changes in atmospheric circulation, incoming radiation,
atmospheric and oceanic heat fluxes,
as well
as the hydrological cycle1, 2.
It is not clear that the world is warming post the 1998/2001 climate shift — that involved a climatically significant step
change in albedo
as a response to abrupt
changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
Mazarella tells us that if we look at climate
change as a part of a holistic process, we see that included
in this single unit are
changes in «
atmospheric circulation» and «like a torque,» variations
in atmospheric circulation can
in and of themselves cause «the Earth's rotation to decelerate which
in turn causes a decrease
in sea temperature.»
As I have also noted
in recent public comments, additional mechanisms have been identified by which
changes in atmospheric circulation patterns that may be a result of global warming could be affecting droughts
in the American West.
It is seen
in regime
changes in cloud, ice, ocean and
atmospheric circulation, hydrology and biology that are evident
in climate records and that are best described
as shifts
in state space on the multi-dimensional climate strange attractor at 20 to 30 year intervals.
The
changing temperature and chemistry of the Arctic Ocean and Bering Sea are likely
changing their role
in global ocean
circulation and
as carbon sinks for
atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these
changes in the global carbon budget remains unresolved.
One important feature that plays a role
in these variations is the periodic
change of
atmospheric and oceanic
circulation patterns
in the tropical Pacific region, collectively known
as El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variation»
Shows that the
changes in discharge extremes are related to the regional pluriannual rainfall variability and the associated
atmospheric circulation as well
as to tropical large - scale climatic indicators
The seasonal climate may relate to
changes in the ocean
circulation pattern prior to 4.6 Ma that resulted
in an increased temperature and
atmospheric pressure gradient between the east coast of North America and the Atlantic Ocean, but this climate phase seems to be only a temporary condition,
as underlying and overlying sediment are both consistent with drier conditions.
The large scale
atmospheric circulation «cells» shift polewards
in warmer periods (for example, interglacials compared to glacials), but remain largely constant
as they are, fundamentally, a property of the Earth's size, rotation rate, heating and
atmospheric depth, all of which
change little.
• Even without major
change in atmospheric and oceanic
circulation, local shifts
in centers of production and mixes of species
in marine and fresh waters are expected
as ecosystems are displaced geographically and
changed internally.
And
as the for the reason for this year's Arctic ice melt, NASA and university scientists have detected an ongoing reversal
in Arctic Ocean
circulation triggered by
atmospheric circulation changes that varies on decade - long time scales.
These aspects of precipitation generally exhibit large natural variability, and El Niño and
changes in atmospheric circulation patterns such
as the North Atlantic Oscillation have a substantial influence.
As atmospheric circulation changes, tropical cyclone tracks are bound to
change (and models show this), but we have low confidence now
in predicting just how they might
change.
The likelihood of abrupt
changes in the
atmospheric circulation remains unclear,
as does the potential for inducing abrupt climate
change in regions of large gradients
in surface weather.
Motivated by findings that major components of so - called cloud «feedbacks» are best understood
as rapid responses to CO2 forcing (Gregory and Webb
in J Clim 21:58 — 71, 2008), the top of atmosphere (TOA) radiative effects from forcing, and the subsequent responses to global surface temperature
changes from all «
atmospheric feedbacks» (water vapour, lapse rate, surface albedo, «surface temperature» and cloud) are examined
in detail
in a General
Circulation Model.
As such, understanding abrupt
changes in — and due to — the
atmospheric circulation remains a key topic for future research.
Regarding the hydrologic cycle, multiple factors operate, including important
changes in atmospheric circulation patterns,
as Chris Colose mentioned.
Variations
in ocean
circulation speeds account for significant instances of climate
change,
changing the hydrological cycle and altering
atmospheric circulation patterns
as well.
There are large
changes with the El Nino - Southern Oscillation and volcanoes
as well step
changes and decadal variability to do with
changes in cloud associated with
changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
I think it is really important to make that distinction - that there are a number of factors that influence the extent of Arctic sea ice, some of them of course associated with
changes in the radiative forcing from the atmosphere,
as a result of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols, but also
changes in the
atmospheric circulation and also the advection of heat into or out of the Arctic by the ocean
circulation.
Temperature
changes are one of the more obvious and easily measured
changes in climate, but
atmospheric moisture, precipitation and
atmospheric circulation also
change,
as the whole system is affected.
Three - dimensional (3D) planetary general
circulation models (GCMs) derived from the models that we use to project 21st Century
changes in Earth's climate can now be used to address outstanding questions about how Earth became and remained habitable despite wide swings
in solar radiation,
atmospheric chemistry, and other climate forcings; whether these different eras of habitability manifest themselves
in signals that might be detected from a great distance; whether and how planets such
as Mars and Venus were habitable
in the past; how common habitable exoplanets might be; and how we might best answer this question with future observations.
Their influence on the
atmospheric circulation is focused on the polar regions by the Earth's magnetic field [the opposite phase of the
changes in the Arctic and the Antarctic can be explained by the phenomenon of «solar system dissymmetry»
as a result of which fluctuations of solar constant occur].