Ocean warming is occurring in concert with the acidification of ocean waters (e.g. Doney et al. 2009), as well
as changes in ocean circulation (e.g. Bakun et al. 2009).
Looking at shifts in Manley's winter temperatures from year to year, he says, gives a good reading of important natural cycles that influence climate, such
as changes in ocean circulation like the North Atlantic Oscillation.
Not exact matches
World weather patterns will also start to
change,
as a frigid Antarctic continent and the icy
ocean currents that surround it play an important role
in global atmospheric and oceanic
circulation.
In the North Atlantic, more heat has been retained at deep levels
as a result of
changes to both the
ocean and atmospheric
circulations, which have led to the winter atmosphere extracting less heat from the
ocean.
They will look for evidence of temperature
changes caused by
ocean circulation patterns
in both the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific
Oceans, which drive precipitation
in Tibet
as well
as the Indian monsoons.
As a result, the frigid flow plays a critical role in regulating circulation, temperature, and availability of oxygen and nutrients throughout the world's oceans, and serves as both a barometer for climate change and a factor that can contribute to that chang
As a result, the frigid flow plays a critical role
in regulating
circulation, temperature, and availability of oxygen and nutrients throughout the world's
oceans, and serves
as both a barometer for climate change and a factor that can contribute to that chang
as both a barometer for climate
change and a factor that can contribute to that
change.
However, Khazendar and Scheuchl said, researchers need more information on the shape of the bedrock and seafloor beneath the ice,
as well
as more data on
ocean circulation and temperatures, to be able to better project how much ice these glaciers will contribute to the
ocean in a
changing climate.
Dynamical effects (
changes in the winds and
ocean circulation) can have just
as large an impact, locally
as the radiative forcing from greenhouse gases.
«The Greenland ice sheet
as a whole is shrinking, melting and reducing
in size
as the result of globally
changing air and
ocean temperatures and associated
changes in circulation patterns
in both the
ocean and atmosphere,» Muenchow said.
Suppose also that — DESPITE THIS STABILIZING MECHANISM some
as - yet unknown
ocean circulation cycle operates that is the sole cause of the Holocene centennial scale fluctuations, and that this cycle has reversed and is operating today, yielding a temperature
change that happens to mimic what models give
in response to radiative forcing
changes.
The 8.2 kyr event qualifies
as an abrupt
change by almost any definition (except that adopted by the NRC panel on the subject curiously) and was most likely tied to the catastrophic final draining of paleo - lake Agassiz and subsequent
changes in the North Atlantic
ocean circulation (see a summary of some of our recent research on the topic).
Quick recovery is consistent with the Southern
Ocean - centric picture of the global overturning circulation (Fig. 4; Talley, 2013), as the Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation (SMOC), driven by AABW formation, responds to change in the vertical stability of the ocean column near Antarctica (Sect. 3.7) and the ocean mixed layer and sea ice have limited thermal ine
Ocean - centric picture of the global overturning
circulation (Fig. 4; Talley, 2013),
as the Southern
Ocean meridional overturning circulation (SMOC), driven by AABW formation, responds to change in the vertical stability of the ocean column near Antarctica (Sect. 3.7) and the ocean mixed layer and sea ice have limited thermal ine
Ocean meridional overturning
circulation (SMOC), driven by AABW formation, responds to
change in the vertical stability of the
ocean column near Antarctica (Sect. 3.7) and the ocean mixed layer and sea ice have limited thermal ine
ocean column near Antarctica (Sect. 3.7) and the
ocean mixed layer and sea ice have limited thermal ine
ocean mixed layer and sea ice have limited thermal inertia.
«
Changes in ocean circulation have been proposed
as a trigger mechanism for the large coupled climate and carbon cycle perturbations at the Paleocene - Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ca. 55 Ma).
In the paper Gray makes many extravagant claims about how supposed changes in the THC accounted for various 20th century climate changes («I judge our present global ocean circulation conditions to be similar to that of the period of the early 1940s when the globe had shown great warming since 1910, and there was concern as to whether this 1910 - 1940 global warming would continu
In the paper Gray makes many extravagant claims about how supposed
changes in the THC accounted for various 20th century climate changes («I judge our present global ocean circulation conditions to be similar to that of the period of the early 1940s when the globe had shown great warming since 1910, and there was concern as to whether this 1910 - 1940 global warming would continu
in the THC accounted for various 20th century climate
changes («I judge our present global
ocean circulation conditions to be similar to that of the period of the early 1940s when the globe had shown great warming since 1910, and there was concern
as to whether this 1910 - 1940 global warming would continue.
As the planet warms from the buildup of greenhouse gases, there may be a
change in the atmospheric
circulations near the equatorial Pacific
Ocean.
During El Nino events the
ocean circulation changes in such a way
as to cause a large and temporary positive sea surface temperature anomaly
in the tropical Pacific.
You've got the radiative physics, the measurements of
ocean temperature and land temperature, the
changes in ocean heat content (Hint — upwards, whereas if if was just a matter of
circulation moving heat around you might expect something more simple) and of course observed predictions such
as stratospheric cooling which you don't get when warming occurs from oceanic
circulation.
So the [theoretical] errors
in the measurements are of the same order of magnitude
as the
changes being reported [at least for
ocean circulation].
A recent paper by Vecchi and Soden (preprint) published
in the journal Geophysical Research Letters has been widely touted
in the news (and some egregiously bad editorials), and the blogosphere
as suggesting that increased vertical wind shear associated with tropical
circulation changes may offset any tendencies for increased hurricane activity
in the tropical Atlantic due to warming
oceans.
Changes in Southern Ocean circulation resulting from changes in Southern Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified as the dominant cause of atmospheric CO2 changes (9,
Changes in Southern
Ocean circulation resulting from
changes in Southern Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified as the dominant cause of atmospheric CO2 changes (9,
changes in Southern
Ocean winds (23) or buoyancy fluxes (24) have been identified
as the dominant cause of atmospheric CO2
changes (9,
changes (9,10,25).
Partly this has to do with
changes in ocean circulation taking warmer water deeper and partly
as the result of the southern hemisphere having less land mass and more
ocean — where the
ocean has a higher thermal inertia, meaning that it takes longer for those waters to warm.
Changes in the Arctic affect the rest of the world, not only
in obvious ways (such
as the Arctic's contribution to sea - level rise), but through the Arctic's role
in the global climate system, its influence on
ocean circulation, and its impacts on mid-latitude weather.
Suppose also that — DESPITE THIS STABILIZING MECHANISM some
as - yet unknown
ocean circulation cycle operates that is the sole cause of the Holocene centennial scale fluctuations, and that this cycle has reversed and is operating today, yielding a temperature
change that happens to mimic what models give
in response to radiative forcing
changes.
The 8.2 kyr event qualifies
as an abrupt
change by almost any definition (except that adopted by the NRC panel on the subject curiously) and was most likely tied to the catastrophic final draining of paleo - lake Agassiz and subsequent
changes in the North Atlantic
ocean circulation (see a summary of some of our recent research on the topic).
The report also disappoints
in a more fundamental way: it fails to understand the issue of future
ocean circulation changes as an issue of risk assessment, rather than one of climate prediction.
Other forcings, including the growth and decay of massive Northern Hemisphere continental ice sheets,
changes in atmospheric dust, and
changes in the
ocean circulation, are not likely to have the same kind of effect
in a future warming scenario
as they did at glacial times.
Short - term variations
in ocean heat uptake, such
as the anomalous deep
ocean warming of late, are due to
changes in the vertical & horizontal distribution of heat
in the
ocean — mostly the wind - driven
ocean circulation.
In attempting to substantiate this internal variability hypothesis, Spencer & Braswell (2011) assumed that the change in top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy flux due to cloud cover changes from 2000 to 2010 was twice as large as the heating of the climate system through ocean circulatio
In attempting to substantiate this internal variability hypothesis, Spencer & Braswell (2011) assumed that the
change in top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy flux due to cloud cover changes from 2000 to 2010 was twice as large as the heating of the climate system through ocean circulatio
in top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy flux due to cloud cover
changes from 2000 to 2010 was twice
as large
as the heating of the climate system through
ocean circulation.
«Future
Changes in Climate,
Ocean Circulation, Ecosystems, and Biogeochemical Cycling Simulated for a Business -
as - Usual CO2 Emission Scenario until Year 4000 AD.»
This leaves all other feedbacks including
changes in ocean circulation, water vapour, clouds, and snow
as the undetermined factors
in past climate
changes.
Everything else that might try to alter that base level simply results
in atmospheric
circulation changes (atmosphere includes
oceans for this purpose) that adjust the rate of conversion between kinetic and potential energy so
as to keep the base level of system energy content stable.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage including the fact that
oceans are now warmer, and regional
ocean circulation cycles such
as La Nina / El Nino patterns
in the Pacific which affect upper atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate
change.
The
changing phases of Atlantic hurricane activity are not completely understood; but there appears to be a link to fluctuations
in the thermohaline
circulation, the global pattern of
ocean currents which
in western Europe appears
as the Gulf Stream.
In its discussion of specific examples, such as a catastrophic change in ocean circulation patterns, the report emphasizes predicted risks that the FAR concluded were minimal through the rest of the centur
In its discussion of specific examples, such
as a catastrophic
change in ocean circulation patterns, the report emphasizes predicted risks that the FAR concluded were minimal through the rest of the centur
in ocean circulation patterns, the report emphasizes predicted risks that the FAR concluded were minimal through the rest of the century.
The aim of the C - SIDE working group is to reconstruct
changes in sea - ice extent
in the Southern
Ocean for the past 130,000 years, reconstruct how sea - ice cover responded to global cooling as the Earth entered a glacial cycle, and to better understand how sea - ice cover may have influenced nutrient cycling, ocean productivity, air - sea gas exchange, and circulation dyna
Ocean for the past 130,000 years, reconstruct how sea - ice cover responded to global cooling
as the Earth entered a glacial cycle, and to better understand how sea - ice cover may have influenced nutrient cycling,
ocean productivity, air - sea gas exchange, and circulation dyna
ocean productivity, air - sea gas exchange, and
circulation dynamics.
The interaction of
ocean circulation, which serves
as a type of heat pump, and biological effects such
as the concentration of carbon dioxide can result
in global climate
changes on a time scale of decades.
And that event of climate
change led to
ocean surface warming, sea level rise, and increases
in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations
as changing ocean circulation delivered gases to the atmosphere.
Spencer & Braswell (2011) assumed that the
change in top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy flux due to cloud cover
changes from 2000 to 2010 was twice
as large
as the heating of the climate system through
ocean circulation.
The observed heat and salinity trends are linked to
changes in ocean circulation and other manifestations of global
change such
as oxygen and carbon system parameters (see Section 5.4).
«The authors write that «the notorious tropical bias problem
in climate simulations of global coupled general
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AM
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly
in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic
Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,...
as they describe it, «show that the bias
in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid
change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AM
Circulation (AMOC).»
Importantly, the
changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are driven by GHG - induced climate
change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result
in large yield reductions during dry periods,
as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence
in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere -
ocean general
circulation models) to generate interannual variability
in the SSTs (sea surface temperatures) of the type known to affect African rainfall,
as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable
in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
Two wind patterns
in the Indian
Ocean, known
as the Hadley
circulation and the Walker
circulation, interact with the Indo - Pacific warm pool to drive sea level
changes.
It is not clear that the world is warming post the 1998/2001 climate shift — that involved a climatically significant step
change in albedo
as a response to abrupt
changes in ocean and atmospheric
circulation.
The impact of
changes in the
ocean overturning
circulation on climate has become a hot topic today
as global temperatures rise and melting sea ice and glaciers add freshwater to the North Atlantic.
As Don Easterbrook and others note, hardly a significant length
in temperatures that can cycle over hundreds and even thousands of years, caused by either solar input
changes or
circulations within the
oceans.
The study,
in addition to being even more terrifying than last summer's draft, may act to motivate increased urgency for scientific research
in Greenland and Antarctica, especially their effects on
ocean circulation —
as well
as increased attention to the possibility of truly dire near - term global
change.
As sub-surface oxygen concentrations in the ocean everywhere reflect a balance between supply through circulation and ventilation and consumption by respiratory processes, the absolute amount of oxygen in a given location is therefore very sensitive to changes in either process, more sensitive perhaps as other physical and chemical parameter
As sub-surface oxygen concentrations
in the
ocean everywhere reflect a balance between supply through
circulation and ventilation and consumption by respiratory processes, the absolute amount of oxygen
in a given location is therefore very sensitive to
changes in either process, more sensitive perhaps
as other physical and chemical parameter
as other physical and chemical parameters.
«Feb. 25, 2008 — Predictions that the 21st century is safe from major
circulation changes in the North Atlantic
Ocean may not be
as comforting
as they seem, according to a Penn State researcher.»
It is seen
in regime
changes in cloud, ice,
ocean and atmospheric
circulation, hydrology and biology that are evident
in climate records and that are best described
as shifts
in state space on the multi-dimensional climate strange attractor at 20 to 30 year intervals.
The
changing temperature and chemistry of the Arctic
Ocean and Bering Sea are likely changing their role in global ocean circulation and as carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these changes in the global carbon budget remains unreso
Ocean and Bering Sea are likely
changing their role
in global
ocean circulation and as carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these changes in the global carbon budget remains unreso
ocean circulation and
as carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these
changes in the global carbon budget remains unresolved.