Sentences with phrase «as climate model»

If that is your argument then there is surely nothing to worry about as no climate model has ever predicted that winter will become warmer than summer.
Together, it is our goal to provide the best description of the middle Pliocene global warming, using perspectives from marine and terrestrial data as well as climate model simulations.
Economic model predictions are as inaccurate as climate model predictions.
To characterize observational uncertainty, four atmospheric reanalyses are used as climate model surrogates and two gridded observational data sets are used as downscaling target data.
Scaling the results from both theory as well as climate model projections suggest, then, that roughly 3 % of hurricane rainfall today can be reasonably attributed to manmade global warming.
«In light of the above findings, it appears that sea ice cover in the Bohai Sea is not quite as sensitive to CO2 - induced global warming as climate model projections / theory suggest it should be.
So, Koonin's guesses are exactly as valid as climate model projections?
Does that count as a climate model?
It provides additional climate information that was not available during the previous regional assessment in 2007 and draws heavily on the PCIC province - wide analysis, Climate Overview 2007 as well as climate model projections prepared for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report.
Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential depends on many factors such as climate model and emission scenario used for climate change projection.
And the evidence of change has mounted as climate records have grown longer, as our understanding of the climate system has improved and as climate models have become ever more reliable.
If global warming causes strong storms to grow even more fierce, as some climate models predict, that could trigger a self - feeding cycle that unleashes still more heat - trapping CO2 into the atmosphere.
For the next fiscal year, the Administration today requested only $ 68 million in DOE funding for exascale science, which includes everything from hardware development, novel mathematical methods, and scientific applications, such as climate modeling software programs.
The panel reported that the world is warming throughout the lower atmosphere, as climate models had predicted, and acknowledged «clear evidence of human influences on the climate system.»
Because the Northern Hemisphere has more landmass, it is heating up faster than the Southern Hemisphere, and, as some climate models have suggested, this could push the thermal equator northward, and along with it those key rain belts.
The team doesn't directly attribute the die - offs to climate change, but if extreme drought episodes become more frequent in the tropics — as climate models predict they will — the lions could suffer, Packer says.
He analyzed over 1.5 billion votes cast in over 4,800 electoral contests held in 19 countries between 1925 and 2011, and coupled it with meteorological data as well as climate models.
«As climate models are being developed, we are beginning to get more accurate information about the impacts of climate change to severe weather incidents in areas like Finland,» says meteorologist Pauli Jokinen from Finnish Meteorological Institute.
An adjustment is necessary because as climate models are continually evaluated against observations evidence has become emerged that the strength of their aerosol - cloud interactions are too strong (i.e. the models» «aerosol indirect effect» is larger than inferred from observations).
As climate models become increasingly complex, it becomes extremely challenging to reduce uncertainty.
As useful as climate models are useful (ala Gavin Schimdt) even if they too lack perfection.
Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
As climate models had now proven the existence of climate change, the organization's next focus will be on a different vantage point: «What do we do about it [and] how can we find solutions for the climate we will be living with?»
The 650 MB of storage you can place on each CD at the time was huge in terms of numerical data such as climate models.
The surface was warming much as the climate modelling predicted but until they could begin to confirm what was happening in the oceans, they didn't have enough of the pieces of the jigsaw puzzle.
The default position being taken as the climate models are true seems to rest on the «it is just physics» as some commenters here are fond of saying (e.g., M. Tobis).
The most obvious being Antarctic sea ice has not declined as all climate models predicted, but sea ice has now reached record extent.
The GCM models referred to as climate models are actually weather models only capable of predicting weather about two weeks into the future and as we are aware from our weather forecasts temperature predictions...
But as climate models improved, those fears dissipated.
Global warming's crystal ball is clearing as climate models improve, and scientists now predict that some regions will see a month's less rain and snow by 2100.
As climate models are imperfect, a model evaluation is needed to be aware of their capabilities and limitations.
And the evidence of change has mounted as climate records have grown longer, as our understanding of the climate system has improved and as climate models have become ever more reliable.
As climate models become increasingly relevant to policy makers, they are being criticized for not undergoing a formal verification and validation (V&V) process analogous to that used in engineering and regulatory applications.
As the climate models become increasingly policy relevant, it is critically important to address the public need for high - quality models for decision making and to establish public confidence in these models.
Climate, as a purely closed, idealized system, assuming completely constant boundary conditions, is too complex to model in a time - step fashion by grid methods over the proposed time intervals, as all climate models of which I have ever heard do.
In particular, it is crucial to distinguish between mathematical models (e.g. the Black - Scholes model), and iterative models, such as climate models.
I guess his predictions are as good as the climate models.
This, as climate models suggest, and what seems to have been happening in the climate system, is to produce a more energetic hydrological cycle, resulting in more extreme weather conditions — more severe droughts, more sever floods.
If global warming were affecting sea ice (as climate models predict), then Arctic sea ice should be declining in a less jerky manner, and Antarctic sea ice should not be as steady as it is.
the dirty little secret is that there is still no way to test the IPCC climate models for their feedback behavior,... The very fact that the 20 + climate models the IPCC tracks still span just as wide a range of feedbacks as climate models did 20 years ago is evidence by itself that the climate community still can't demonstrate what the real cloud feedbacks in the climate system are....
«These conclusions have potential implications for the coming decades, as climate models predict greater aridity in the region,» the authors wrote.
Because Arrhenius did the calculations with a pen an paper and got the same answer as the climate models.
It is misleading to consider only the atmosphere and ocean, as the climate models do, and ignore the other reservoirs.
Hansen's model of 1980 is no longer relevant as climate models have improved considerably in the past 28 years.
One of the referees for the paper commented: «it is a stunning result that such a simple analysis yields the same results as the climate models
I bet it would be just as accurate as the climate models.
So, long before all the politically driven institutions, or climate research budgets, and all the rest, Manabe and Wetherald identified what others have subsequently confirmed, as far as climate models can confirm.
As long as climate models continue failing, over the next five - plus years there should be some blowback from real scientists and people hurt by hysterical climate policies.
For example, all estimates of government revenue and outgo depend on some sort of economic model, which superficially have the same weaknesses as climate models: validation issues, adjustable parameters, some key processes (convection, precipitation, human behavior) can't be reliably modeled.
Christy proceeds to make a similar statement to one we've seen before, that the temperature of the lower troposphere (TLT) is not warming as fast as climate models predict it should:
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