Not exact matches
Climatic variability like
precipitation changes or increase in
extreme events such
as storms and tropical cyclones is known to significantly modify the Earth's surface.
What goes up, must come down and, more and more, that water vapor is coming down in
extreme precipitation events — defined in North America
as more than 100 millimeters of rainfall (or the equivalent in snow or freezing rain) falling in 24 hours — according to new research also published February 17 in Nature that examines such
events in the Northern Hemisphere.
The 2014 National Climate Assessment predicted that many U.S. communities will see
extreme precipitation events more often
as global temperatures rise.
Daniel Swain and colleagues model how the frequency of these rapid, year - to - year transitions from
extreme dry to wet conditions — which they dub «
precipitation whiplash
events» — may change in California's future
as a consequence of man - made warming.
Also,
as discussed below,
extreme precipitation and drought
events occurred across the world.
However, combined measuring stations around the world suggest there has been a global trend towards more frequent and intense hot
extremes since the 1950s,
as well
as more heavy
precipitation events.
But all were
extreme events, both in terms of
precipitation rates and of cost, of the sort which we expect to become much more frequent given both theory and observed metrics such
as precipitable water in the atmosphere.
Heat waves,
extreme precipitation events and flooding or
extreme droughts, are also what actually cause climate damage — for instance lower agricultural productivity (
as during the extremely hot 2003 summer in Western Europe) or biodiversity decline at ecosystem levels ranging from aquatic desert systems to entire rainforest biomes.
Whether climate change is expressed
as a rise in temperatures, or
as changing
precipitation patterns — it is at the
extreme edges of the graph that the frequency of weather
events suddenly multiplies dramatically.
Maine could also see two to three times more
extreme precipitation events, defined
as four inches over 48 hours, said Wake.
More accurate and reliable
precipitation data would be invaluable, not only for the study of climate trends and variability, but also
as inputs to hydrological and ecological models and for model validation, characterization of
extreme events, and flood and drought forecasting.
Output from global circulation models indicates that climate variability will continue to be an important characteristic of the region in the future [52], but that climate change may increase the risk of
extreme climatic
events such
as multi-decade droughts and
extreme winter
precipitation [53], [54].
The report, written by 220 experts from 62 countries, finds that climate change has already contributed to changes in
extreme events — such
as heat waves, high temperatures, and heavy
precipitation — in many regions over the past 50 years.
One of the most likely byproducts of global warming is more
extreme precipitation events,
as warmer temperatures can hold more water vapor in the atmosphere.
It is instructive to compare these numbers with those characteristic of a set of the years during 1979 — 2012 with no or only one major regional
extreme event (in terms of land surface temperature and land
precipitation anomalies) in the NH midlatitudes, from late April / early May to late September / early October,
as reported yearly since 1993 in the World Meteorological Organization statements on the status of the global climate (see also ref.
It could be a simple
event such
as extreme precipitation or a tropical cyclone or a more complex sequence of a late onset of the monsoon coupled with prolonged dry spells within the rainy season.
Both also depend on aging infrastructure that has already been stressed by climate hazards including heat waves,
as well
as coastal and riverine flooding due to a combination of sea level rise, storm surge, and
extreme precipitation events.
«[Researchers] have looked at changes to climate
extremes, such
as heatwaves,
extreme precipitation events, cold nights.
Changes in temperature and
precipitation patterns increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of other
extreme weather
events, such
as floods, droughts, heat waves, and tornadoes.
More
extreme precipitation events (with 3 - hour duration) so intense than in the past they would be exceeded on average only once every 10 years are projected to occur on average three times
as often in future in Metro Vancouver and about three and a half times
as often in future in CRD.
The projections also indicate an increase in the basin - averaged
precipitation and an increase in the frequency of
extreme precipitation events over the region
as a whole.
Changing climatic variables relevant to the function and distribution of plants include increasing CO2 concentrations, increasing global temperatures, altered
precipitation patterns, and changes in the pattern of «
extreme» weather
events such
as cyclones, fires or storms.
Whilst the extent of climate change is often expressed in a single figure — global temperature — the effects of climate change (such
as temperature,
precipitation and the frequency of
extreme weather
events) will vary greatly from place to place.
Ecological surprises include rapid and abrupt changes in temperature and
precipitation, leading to an increase in
extreme events such
as floods, fires and landslides, increases in eutrophication, invasion by alien species, or rapid and sudden increases in disease (Carpenter et al., 2005).
In general, the majority of all
precipitation occurs
as isolated 1 - day
events, while most
extreme precipitation occurs over a period of several hours embedded within 2 - 5 day
events.
Nature paper
As a consequence, a 25 % to 100 % increase in
extreme dry - to - wet
precipitation events is projected, despite only modest changes in mean
precipitation.
The hope in California is that the large amounts of
precipitation usually associated with
extreme El Niño
events would lessen the impacts of the state's multi-year drought by partly refilling reservoirs and groundwater, even
as scientists caution that this might not happen to the degree needed to alter the present situation.
In the Pacific and Yukon Region of Canada, the
extreme precipitation phenomenon known
as an «atmospheric river» is one such
event that has drawn the attention of climatologists, forecasters, emergency responders and policy advisors.
Many impacts of climate change will be realised
as the result of a change in the frequency of occurrence of
extreme weather
events such
as windstorms, tornados, hail, heatwaves, gales, heavy
precipitation or
extreme temperatures over a few hours to several days.