The possibility of an increase in the prime rate offered by lenders comes
as household debt levels sit near record highs.
Why would we expect any different outcome in the United States
as the household debt sector (the main sector that rose and drove the U.S. bull market of the 80s and 90s and also continued adding to the debt as the housing market took off from 2003 to 2007) is still in the process of deleveraging since 2007?
Not exact matches
Debt levels for the average Canadian
household are moving down (perhaps we've been taking those warnings from the Bank of Canada to heart), and
as a result there's been «modest» growth in consumer spending, said Ferley.
YELLOWKNIFE, Northwest Territories, May 1 (Reuters)- Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said on Tuesday there is good reason to believe the central bank can manage the risks of Canada's high
household debt, even
as he signaled that interest rate hikes will continue, increasing the cost of that
debt.
TORONTO, May 1 - The Canadian dollar fell to a four - week low against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday before paring its decline,
as Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said the outlook for the domestic economy is good despite the overhang of high
household debt.
YELLOWKNIFE, Northwest Territories, May 1 - Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said on Tuesday there is good reason to believe the central bank can manage the risks of Canada's high
household debt, even
as he signaled that interest rate hikes will continue, increasing the cost of that
debt.
Here are three off the top of my head: Record levels of
household debt threaten future spending, too many of our companies need a weaker currency to be competitive, and international energy companies are giving up on Canada
as a place to invest.
Wages are growing only about
as fast
as inflation, exports could be stronger, and
household debt is a major vulnerability.
YELLOWKNIFE, Northwest Territories, May 1 - Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said on Tuesday that the view of the Canadian economy is quite good despite record levels of
household debt, and he was confident the central bank can manage the risk of that
debt even
as interest rates rise.
And
as organizations such
as the IMF and the OECD have constantly warned, high
household debt renders the country far more vulnerable to economic shocks.
• Credit card delinquency rates remain low, at only 0.87 per cent of total outstanding balances
as of April 2016, while credit card
debt only makes up five per cent of total
household debt in Canada.
As a licensed insolvency trustee firm, our practice is on the front lines of Canada's
household debt binge and the bad personal finance habits that ensnare so many people.
Mortgages aren't the only
debt Canadians are saddled with, however, and the rates on credit cards, car loans, and home equity lines of credit could tick up
as well, further increasing a
household's overall carrying costs.
As everyone knows by now, Canadian
households are carrying record
debt burdens.
«We continue to see the
household sector
as accident - prone, with a complacency toward
debt which could prove disruptive to the economy,» wrote HSBC Canada's chief economist recently.
Meanwhile, he is seriously worried about the side effects of low rates, repeatedly citing
household debt as the biggest domestic risk to Canada.
Yet,
as a country, we are probably more vulnerable than we were a decade ago because we failed to take seriously the most important lesson of the crisis: the dangers of housing mania and the perils of
household debt.
In an interview, Tal agrees the data that is made public, such
as home sales, starts, prices and
household debt is useful, but says is not sufficient for Canadians or policy - makers to make decisions that are fully - informed.
U.S. consumers continued to pay down
debt in the first quarter of 2013
as household wealth rose above its pre-recession peak.
Consumer purchases have been slowing down in recent months
as households face higher costs for borrowing, stricter mortgage rules and large
debt loads.
By contrast, its GPI performance declined over the same period
as the booming province experienced growing wealth disparity, increased
household debt, more greenhouse gas emissions and a spike in problem gambling, among other things.
«That should be viewed
as a positive development by the (Bank of Canada), though progress on reducing the «key vulnerability» of elevated
household debt will likely be very slow,» RBC economist Josh Nye wrote in a research note.
The International Monetary Fund is the latest voice to suggest high
household debt will act
as a drag on economic growth in the years ahead.
Despite the increase in
debt,
households continued to get richer in the third quarter
as their net worth gained 2.2 per cent on the back of a strong stock market.
The central bank has concerns about the ability of
households to keep paying down their high levels of
debt when interest rates continue their rise,
as is widely expected over the coming months.
For several years, policy - makers have been introducing new regulations, such
as restrictions on mortgage credit, to curb the build - up of
household debt.
RBC economist Laura Cooper said in a note to clients that the most likely scenario is that
as housing moderates, the pace of
household debt accumulation will also ease.
On the
household -
debt - to - disposable - income ratio, some experts see it
as just one number out of many and insist that consideration must be given to the composition of the
debt, such
as how much of it is high risk.
They also fear that at such elevated levels, many Canadian
households would be unable to withstand a financial shock such
as a loss of income, or a sudden spike in interest rates that raised
debt services charges.
Speaking in Montreal on Thursday, central bank governor Stephen Poloz called
household debt a major risk to the Canadian economy, suggesting the fear of stoking more borrowing
as one reason he has not been even more dovish on interest rate policy.
As prices have kept rising, Canadians have eagerly taken on mortgages, and
household debt levels have soared to record levels.
Poloz said there is good reason to believe the central bank can manage the risks of Canada's high
household debt, even
as he signaled that interest rate hikes will continue, increasing the cost of that
debt.
Poloz's approach to now had been a series of gentle nudges; raising housing prices and record
household debt as concerns, but at the same time accepting that buyers and their lenders likely knew what they were doing.
Statistics Canada reported the key ratio crept lower
as total
household credit market
debt, which includes consumer credit, mortgage and non-mortgage loans, increased 1.1 per cent in the fourth quarter to $ 2.13 trillion.
«That should be viewed
as a positive development by the Bank of Canada, though progress on reducing the «key vulnerability» of elevated
household debt will likely be very slow.»
[5] We used consumer - reported data from the Federal Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances and revolving credit card balance data from Experian
as of June 2017 to estimate revolving
debt based on
household income.
Meanwhile, the total
household debt service ratio, measured
as total obligated payments of principal and interest
as a proportion of
household disposable income for both mortgage and non-mortgage
debt, remained flat at 13.8 per cent in the fourth quarter.
Statistics Canada said Thursday
household credit market
debt as a proportion of
household disposable income was 170.4 per cent in the fourth quarter.
I am in the bottom right box, in which a cut in the U.S. fiscal deficit will cause no change in the U.S. trade deficit because it will be matched by a decline in
household savings
as unemployment rises,
as consumer
debt rises, or both.
At that time, the main data sources on consumer
debt consisted of loan - level data sets on specific categories of loans, such
as mortgages,
as well
as aggregated data on
household sector
debt from the Board of Governors» Flow of Funds statistical release.
The bubbling interest comes
as regulators grow increasingly worried about
debt levels and the capacity of ordinary
households to pay back big loans on expensive houses.
As a result, the
household debt - to - income ratio has risen, although if account is taken of the increased balances held in offset accounts the rise is less pronounced (Graph 10).
For example, an important question regarding recent
household deleveraging has been to what extent the decline in aggregate
household debt was attributable to delinquent
debt charge - offs
as opposed to active
debt paydowns by consumers.
Indeed, the strong growth of investor housing loans has driven the growth in
household debt (
as a share of disposable incomes) over recent years and contributed to a rise in both housing prices and dwelling construction.
However, in comparison to
households that only hold owner - occupier
debt, there is evidence that investors tend to accumulate higher savings in the form of other assets (such
as paying ahead of schedule on a loan for their own home,
as well
as accumulating equities, bank accounts and other financial instruments).
In addition, broad measures of saving have remained positive, and
household wealth — assets such
as stocks and homes, less
debt — is on the rise.
Yes, of course it can, if the
household savings rate declines, but
as China's economy slows and
as concerns about
debt rise, it seems to me a tad optimistic to assume that the
household savings rate will decline sharply.
Updated
as of January 2018, the most recent U.S. Student Loan
debt statistics are outlined showing 44 million Americans now hold over $ 1.48 Trillion in Student Debt, the second largest source of household d
debt statistics are outlined showing 44 million Americans now hold over $ 1.48 Trillion in Student
Debt, the second largest source of household d
Debt, the second largest source of
household debtdebt.
But closing down unnecessary capacity can pay for itself, even if unemployed workers are temporarily put on the government payroll (causing
debt to rise, but usually by less than it had before), but only temporarily
as Beijing takes other measures to boost
household income through wealth transfers from the state and so to boost consumption, a form of demand which is likely to be more labor intensive than the demand created in the process of over-capacity.
As of June 2017, the average credit card
debt for these
households is $ 10,955.