One, since they're not data driven, at least as far
as the inflation data are concerned, it is hard for observers to know where they're going next.
«
As the inflation data was as expected..., yields are down a touch across the curve,» said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.
Not exact matches
As investors digested
inflation data and news of geopolitical turmoil, stocks ended up down after swaying back and forth Wednesday.
And they're going to pass them onto you and me
as consumers, and that will push some of the
inflation data higher, with some bond - yield reaction to it.
Gold prices rose on Monday
as the dollar slipped, but gains are expected to be capped ahead of
inflation data from the U.S. this week.
U.K. PMI services
data also came in lower than expected
as a national election has derailed investment decisions and higher
inflation has hit households, Reuters reported.
«
As well, yesterday's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting was less dovish than expected as the Fed kept its policy forecasts unchanged despite clear deceleration in inflation and a couple of bad data points yesterday.&raqu
As well, yesterday's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting was less dovish than expected
as the Fed kept its policy forecasts unchanged despite clear deceleration in inflation and a couple of bad data points yesterday.&raqu
as the Fed kept its policy forecasts unchanged despite clear deceleration in
inflation and a couple of bad
data points yesterday.»
Indeed, this trend was backed up by
data showing China «s imports rose for the first time in nearly two years in August
as firms restocked and wholesale
inflation expectations rose.
Indeed, the broader
inflation trends shown in Friday's
data confirm recent signs of a more sure - footed recovery in the world's second - biggest economy, allowing authorities to resist any fresh monetary easing
as they move to curb an unsustainable build up of credit in the financial system.
Sterling has fallen on weaker - than - expected
inflation and retail sales
data and comments from BOE Governor Mark Carney on Thursday, which traders interpreted
as the BOE's being less committed to raising rates in May due to recent «mixed»
data.
However, altering the minimum wage every year based on average wages or realized
inflation rates is difficult in practice,
as there is a lag in collecting that
data.
With a background
as an investment banker rather than
as an economist rooted in a particular analytical framework, Powell will lead «a more
data - driven Fed, which at the current juncture means a more dovish Fed,» until and if
inflation recovers, said Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance.
As we've noted before, this increase in high - deductible plans is affecting
inflation data and causing patients to notice the increased costs of drugs.
April 13 -
Inflation data earlier this week that showed price pressures increasing were unsurprising, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said on Friday
as he downplayed the significance for monetary policy.
Euro zone
inflation unexpectedly slipped in April
as prices of services increased at a slower pace,
data showed on Thursday.
However, the softness in economic
data, particularly
as it relates to
inflation, coupled with market expectations that the first Fed rate hike won't happen until well into 2016 have inspired at least a momentary burst in high - yield confidence.
LONDON, April 30 - Government bond yields in the euro area nudged higher on Monday
as focus turned to preliminary
inflation data from Germany and Italy, two of the bloc's biggest economies.
U.S.
data on Monday showed that consumer prices accelerated in the year to March, with a measure of underlying
inflation surging to near the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target
as last year's weak readings dropped out of the calculation.
China's uneven economic recovery signals a looming dilemma for policymakers
as official
data released at the weekend showed
inflation at a 10 - month high in February while factory output and consumer spending were weaker than forecast.
Gold ticked lower on Friday
as the market shrugged off slightly weaker U.S.
inflation and consumer spending
data.
This
data shouldn't change the Fed's interest - rate strategy,
as a rising labor force participation rate will put a lid on
inflation regardless of how it's done, but it should lower our confidence that the Fed can solve the problem of a bifurcated workforce, in which a large chunk of workers are getting left behind, simply through interest rate policy.
Egypt's urban consumer
inflation jumped for a third straight month in June
as consumer demand spiked during Ramadan, official
data showed on Sunday.
In more recent applications, forward guidance has become more explicitly outcome - or
data - based, with some central banks identifying thresholds such
as specific rates of
inflation or unemployment which, if crossed, would prompt a reconsideration of their policy track.
Not only have you missed your 2 %
inflation target every quarter since 2012q2, but
as the figure shows (using revised
data on yr / yr PCE core
inflation) you're missing it on the downside by a greater margin over time.
The Federal Reserve uses core
inflation data, which excludes volatile industries such
as food and energy prices.
U.S. stock index futures indicated a lower open on Friday
as traders digested the release of key
inflation data.
These asset classes were chosen
as samples of the broader
inflation - resistant asset universe because they have long histories of reliable
data.
The U.S. Treasuries yield curve flattened
as the GDP
data renewed bets that the Federal Reserve would continue hiking rates to keep
inflation in check.
According to my team's analysis of
data via Bloomberg, «good»
inflation can be viewed
as price increases resulting from accelerating economic activity and a strong labor market, and thus, most likely to further support rising wages and employment.
US stocks cut sharp early losses to end mostly down slightly on Thursday
as some disappointing earnings reports offset strong economic
data, while bond yields slid after a surprising drop in euro zone
inflation data.
NEW YORK (Reuters)- U.S. stocks cut sharp early losses to end mostly down slightly on Thursday
as some disappointing earnings reports offset strong economic
data, while bond yields slid after a surprising drop in euro zone
inflation data.
Europe's trading calendar this week looks set to be dominated by fresh PMI
data for the core of the Eurozone from IHS / Markit later in the week
as well
as U.K.
inflation (Tuesday) and retail sales (Thursday).
[158] Other causes include the rise in non-cash benefits
as a share of worker compensation (which aren't counted in CPS income
data), immigrants entering the labor force, statistical distortions including the use of different
inflation adjusters by the BLS and CPS, productivity gains being skewed toward less labor - intensive sectors, income shifting from labor to capital, a skill gap - driven wage disparity, productivity being falsely inflated by hidden technology - driven depreciation increases and import price measurement problems, and / or a natural period of adjustment following an income surge during aberrational postwar circumstances.
Treasury yields fall after tepid eurozone
inflation data spark German bund rally European government bonds strengthened
as inflation weakensTreasury yields retreat on Thursday by falling rates in European government bonds after eurozone
inflation data came in weaker than expected.
Dollar claws back ground after Beige Book; Canadian dollar sells off after BOC decision Bank of Canada leaves interest rates unchangedThe U.S. dollar edges slightly higher against its main rivals on Wednesday
as the British pound falls from a new post-Brexit high on disappointing
inflation data, and the Canadian dollar slips
as the Bank of Canada left rates unchanged.
The Fed is on record
as using Core PCE
data as its primary
inflation gauge.
Will the Euro retain its stability or will it move in response to major events such
as German retail sales, employment
data in Germany, Eurozone and
inflation.
Economic Reports Scorecard The economic
data released since my last update has been fairly positive but future growth and
inflation expectations,
as measured by our market indicators, have waned considerably.
The
data overall are consistent with the picture of UK
inflation trending lower in the coming months
as the impact of the pound's post-Brexit vote depreciation fade somewhat.
They obviously view the recent cyclical upturn
as being durable and the
inflation data as pointing to the need for higher rates.
Nevertheless, FED officials generally would need additional
data points to conclude the formation of a new trend (the famous saying of «3
data points form a trend»), but even slightly stronger optimism over
inflation would already serve
as a stark contrast vs. market speculation of outright deflation followed by Federal Reserve implementing negative rates, or completely ruling out rate hike for the next 10 months.
Between now and the June meeting we'll see much economic
data released, such
as two employment reports, two personal income reports, several readings on
inflation and more.
Investors were cautious after a largely weak performance on Wall Street on Thursday
as some disappointing earnings reports offset strong economic
data, while bond yields slid after a surprising slowdown in eurozone
inflation.
US stocks finished up yesterday
as traders shrugged off
data, which showed US
inflation remained stubbornly high and retail sales unexpectedly fell in January.
«While yesterday's
inflation numbers make a Fed rate rise in March more or less a done deal the prospect of additional rate rises later on in the year don't appear to be causing the same consternation in equity markets that they were a week ago,
as US markets closed higher for the fourth day in succession, despite initially opening lower in the wake of the release of the
data,» said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.
But the
data suggest that the market normally prices yields slightly above the economy's nominal growth rate, partially
as insurance against getting the
inflation forecast wrong.
Talk about a green light situation, leading up to last Friday's release of the February employment
data, the investing landscape had three forces acting
as potential headwinds to an otherwise secular bullish trend — increasing interest rates, rising
inflation and global trade tariffs.
The FTSE 100 opened in positive territory, tracking gains in the US and Asia
as investors shrugged off disappointing US
inflation and retail sales
data.
NEW YORK U.S. stocks cut sharp early losses to end mostly down slightly on Thursday
as some disappointing earnings reports offset strong economic
data, while bond yields slid after a surprising drop in euro zone
inflation data.
Our model indicates that going forward, long - term yields will likely be subject to three upward pressures: (1) Our forecasted increase in
inflation will boost nominal GDP growth; (2)
As forward guidance is replaced by a
data - dependent monetary tightening, volatility in short rates will increase; and (3)
As the impact of QE on the Treasury market fades, long - term yields will trend back to their historical link with nominal GDP growth.