The capitalization factor is a reflection of what rate of return a reasonable purchaser would expect on the investment, as well
as a measure of the risk that the expected earnings will not be achieved.
«I have never thought of volatility
as a measure of risk.
The effectiveness of the return / drawdown ratio
as a measure of risk - adjusted return is best illustrated by the example referenced at the beginning of this article (Investments A and B).
While this ETF uses beta scores to assess volatility and give investors exposure to a lower - risk portfolio of stocks, beta has its own limitations
as a measure of risk.
It is an additional and complimentary lens to volatility
as a measure of risk.
One of the biggest shortcomings in financial models is the reliance on standard deviation (SD)
as a measure of risk.
Alpha is a measurement of risk - adjusted return which uses Beta
as the measure of risk.
Charlie Munger points out: «Using [a stock's] volatility
as a measure of risk is nuts.
It is used
as a measure of risk in the bond market.
Accordingly, insurers view each traffic violation
as a measure of your risk profile.
Insurance companies see your credit score
as a measure of your risk.
Not exact matches
The banking system was hyper - competitive and quick to take
risks in pursuit
of profits; policymakers aggressively pushed homeownership through
measures such
as tax breaks for mortgage interest payments; and weak recourse laws let mortgage defaulters off the hook.
Constituent companies are chosen based on their score on two sets
of measures: a quantitative assessment consisting
of their return on equity, balance sheet accruals ratio and financial leverage ratio; and a qualitative score derived from management's responses to a survey about such topics
as corporate governance,
risk and crisis management, customer relationships and tax strategies.
Tens
of thousands
of jobs would be at
risk as supply chains are torn apart and retaliatory protectionist
measures crimp growth in both countries.
That information — augmented by advocacy efforts from such Addyi supporters
as the National Organization for Women and National Consumers League — turned the tide, and the FDA's joint meeting
of the Bone, Reproductive and Urologic Drugs Advisory Committee voted 18 to 6 to support approval for HSDD treatment, contingent on Sprout consenting to
risk - mitigation
measures like warnings and restrictions to prevent misuse.
Though all
measures of inflation were coming down
as summer turned to fall and the economy clearly was slowing following a July brush with $ 4 - a-gallon gasoline, the FOMC decided to hold the fed funds rate at 2 %, concluding that «the downside
risks to growth and the upside
risks to inflation are both
of significant concern to the committee.»
Political
risk consulting company Eurasia Group says that other
measures the Trump administration may soon roll out could include blocking Chinese cloud services companies from establishing data centres in the U.S.; a renewed emphasis on restricting sales
of Chinese telecommunications equipment to major U.S. operators; and prohibiting Chinese acquisitions
of U.S. firms in sectors such
as artificial intelligence, automation, robotics, semiconductors and biotechnology.
A key
risk measure in money markets known
as the Libor - OIS spread has risen to levels not seen since worries mounted in 2011 and 2012 over the debt troubles
of European countries Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain.
This has been the situation in Canada for the past seven years,
as reflected in increasing levels
of household indebtedness and elevated house prices — although,
as I'll discuss later, regulatory
measures have been used to mitigate the resulting financial system
risks (Chart 2).3
It represents the difference between a fund's actual returns and its expected performance, given its level
of risk as measured by beta (see definition
of Beta).
Beta is a
measure of the volatility, or systematic
risk,
of a security or a portfolio, in comparison to the market
as a whole.
If the external shocks seemed to pose financial stability
risks, macroprudential
measures might be introduced
as a complement or backstop to existing regulations and oversight
of domestic financial systems.
Our long - term forecasts are based on our assessment
of current valuation
measures, economic growth and inflation prospects,
as well
as historical
risk premiums.
As always, the strongest prospective market return /
risk profile is associated with a material retreat in valuations followed by an early improvement in broad
measures of market internals.
A shift in investor
risk - preferences,
as revealed by a subtle (and eventually profound) deterioration
of observable market internals and
risk measures.
The
measures, known
as «red flag laws» or extreme
risk protection orders, have shown evidence
of reducing suicides in Connecticut, where the first such law was passed in 1999, and in recent years have also been passed in California, Washington and Oregon.
The annualized percentage difference between a fund's actual returns and its expected performance given its level
of market
risk,
as measured by beta.
But for good
measure, and given the
risk of appeal, Justice Macintosh went on to give his reasons denying Burnaby's application and for supporting the NEB's reasoning in its Ruling No. 40 concluding (at para 80) that «under both... paramountcy and interjurisdictional immunity... Burnaby is precluded from seeking to apply its bylaws so
as to impede or block any steps Trans Mountain must take in order to safely prepare and locate the Expansion Project.»
Investigators are said to be taking a good look at Bitcoin and its underlying technology,
as a means
of measuring cryptocurrency's overall
risk to central banking and traditional financial institutions, while also assessing whether or not regulatory
measures are necessary.
As I've regularly noted in recent months, our immediate outlook is essentially flat neutral for practical purposes, though we're partial to a layer of tail - risk hedges, such as out - of - the - money index put options, given that a market decline on the order of even 5 % would almost certainly be sufficient to send our measures of market internals into a negative conditio
As I've regularly noted in recent months, our immediate outlook is essentially flat neutral for practical purposes, though we're partial to a layer
of tail -
risk hedges, such
as out - of - the - money index put options, given that a market decline on the order of even 5 % would almost certainly be sufficient to send our measures of market internals into a negative conditio
as out -
of - the - money index put options, given that a market decline on the order
of even 5 % would almost certainly be sufficient to send our
measures of market internals into a negative condition.
As the filing sums up, «If we do not complete our remediation in a timely manner or if the remediation
measures that we have implemented and intend to implement are inadequate to address our existing material weaknesses or to identify or prevent additional material weaknesses, there will continue to be an increased
risk of future material misstatements in our annual or interim financial statements.»
In their October 2009 paper entitled «
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI)
as a
measure of the residual
risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive
of future stock market volatility (such
as previous month actual volatility and VIX).
Duration, expressed
as a number
of years,
measures a bond's interest rate sensitivity: The higher the duration, the higher the interest rate
risk.
Moreover, core inflation moved ahead
of its level
of 6 months ago, and leading economic
measures continued to slip (though we don't see them
as being indicative
of recession
risk at present).
Factor exposure should be considered a source
of returns
as well
as of risk Factor biases can be
measured top - down or bottom - up The results
of the two approaches do not necessarily reconcile INTRODUCTION Factor investing has become immensely popular in recent years and assets in smart beta products
Sentiment in the options market,
as indicated by 1 - month
risk reversals (a
measure derived from the relative prices
of put and call options in the Australian dollar), has also become more bullish since mid 2004.
«Following the Asian crisis in 1998, many emerging markets significantly increased their foreign exchange reserves
as a precautionary
measure against the future
risk of destabilising capital outflows.
Alpha is a
measure of the difference between a portfolio's actual returns and its expected performance, given its level
of risk as measured by beta.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort
of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion
of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period
of internal divergence
as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst,
as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weaknes
as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling
risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more
of a factor if we observe a substantial widening
of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
One
of the victims
of this
risk - off move has been Japanese equities, which,
as measured by the TOPIX, is roughly flat for the year to date through May 1 (in local currency).
No matter what they're doing, it's our jobs
as link builders to establish the conditions that constitute a link profile that has been manipulatively obtained — that Google could therefore work to deconstruct / penalize — and make every
measure to make sure our websites — and our clients websites — don't fall under that umbrella
of risk.
Alpha The difference between a fund's actual returns versus its expected performance, given its level
of market
risk as measured by beta.
Excess Returns are the returns in excess
of the
risk - free rate or in excess
of a market
measure, such
as an index fund.
When
measures of both are hard - negative,
as they are now, investors should think carefully about their own
risk - tolerance and their ability to sustain losses without abandoning their discipline, making sure to align their investments with the actual horizon over which they will need to spend the funds.
Alpha:
Measures the difference between a portfolio's actual returns and its expected performance, given its level
of risk as measured by Beta.
Keynes outperformance did not come without commensurate
risk (that is, if you
measure risk as preforming differently to market benchmark): The tracking error was 13.9 %, reflecting high levels
of concentration.
They
measure short term
risk as the average
of the worst 1 %
of annual returns from 10,000 bootstrapping simulations that randomly draw three months
of returns at a time from 20 - year historical pool
of returns for these indexes, thereby preserving some monthly return autocorrelations and cross-correlations.
In a richly valued market, that sort
of risk control is most appropriately established using call options having a strike price situated at about the point where various trend - following
measures would turn negative — what is known in finance
as a «contingent position» because the position creates its own exit if the market deteriorates further without an interim recovery - and particularly if it deteriorates abruptly.
«When people do try to
measure investment
risk, they typically assess the historic volatility
of an investment compared to that
of the overall market (known
as beta), which derives from capital asset pricing theory.
But for now, their
risk is more likely to be
measured relative to the market
as opposed to the price
of gold.