In reality, crime scene investigators often spend seemingly inordinate amounts of time gathering and assessing evidence and then present
it as probabilities rather than the kind of definitive result expected of a court room filled with actors rather than real people.
They are continually open to revision and must be regarded
as probabilities rather than as certainties.
Not exact matches
I think he was also blind to the
probability that the world would see Sinai
rather as a precedent for surrendering Judea, Samaria, and Gaza
as well.
WORLD: Sorry once again, but science does not know everything or the quantum part would be figured out in finite terms
rather than
probabilities that's sound like we spent millions of dollars to get answers like «but teacher I was almost right, let me try some more»... and pre-big bang theories would be figured out and not quite
as fantastical and humorous
as they sound to average person.
As Real's chances piled up or, rather, as Real's missed changes piled up, I was more of the feeling not that the Barcelona net was eventually going to give way to statistical probability, but rather that one of Barcelona's world class forwards only needed a single moment to undo Real's dominanc
As Real's chances piled up or,
rather,
as Real's missed changes piled up, I was more of the feeling not that the Barcelona net was eventually going to give way to statistical probability, but rather that one of Barcelona's world class forwards only needed a single moment to undo Real's dominanc
as Real's missed changes piled up, I was more of the feeling not that the Barcelona net was eventually going to give way to statistical
probability, but
rather that one of Barcelona's world class forwards only needed a single moment to undo Real's dominance.
The implication of the new subatomic physics was that certainty was replaced by
probability, or the notion of tendencies
rather than absolutes: «we can never predict an atomic event with certainty; we can only predict the likelihood of its happening»... This directly contradicts the mechanistic model we explored above, and it implies that a subject such
as normal birth needs to be looked at
as a whole
rather than its parts...»
The criteria of immediate threat;
probability of success (
rather unproven in this case,
as it was in Kosovo at the time of the intervention), and legitimacy might make interventions which meet these tests relatively rare.
So what the Republican candidate here needs,
as Santorum and Gingrich have demonstrated, are big donors willing to make investments based on ideology
rather than actual
probability of winning.
«
Rather than trying to assess the
probability of an extreme event occurring, a group of researchers suggest viewing the event
as a given and assessing to which degree changes in the thermodynamic state (which we know has been influenced by climate change) altered the severity of the impact of the event,» notes Dorit Hammerling, section leader for statistics and data science at the Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research.
That finding gives us confidence that the
probability for developing resistance to Epimerox is
rather low, thereby enabling treatment of infections caused by multi-drug-resistant bacteria such
as MRSA.
Odds, on the other hand, are kind of (pardon the pun) odd because they tell you essentially the same thing
as probabilities but in a
rather funny and somewhat convoluted way.
The
probability of occurrence of a 700cc cranial capacity in a modern person must be
rather tiny, given that mean capacity for the species
as a whole is about 1450cc.
Because of this, the carbon budget is expressed
as the
probability of staying below a certain temperature,
rather than a guarantee that's what will happen.
We recommend buying these supplements in combination
rather than individually to get a maximum synergy effect: Any chain is only
as strong
as its weakest link and the more effective fertility nutrients you provide for your body, the better your overall fertility and thus
probability to successfully father a child.
You have to look at a concept
as inspiration,
rather than getting caught up in details that may be fantasy designer creations — not engineering
probabilities.
The camel on top is considered in the lead, and that mechanic combined with the randomness of order and movement makes the entire game of
probability very simple to visualise, but
rather interesting
as a game of chance.
BryanS, I would qualify the effort
as extremely difficult of having limited
probability of success
rather than foolish.
There's no real progress in our evaluation of climate sensitivity,
rather the demonstration that real progress will be very difficut to reach (worse even, the range should enlarge
as we include more and more parameters for evaluation of f, so more and more uncertainty because each new parameter will have its own distribution of
probability).
Additionally, if several climate properties are estimated simultaneously that are not independent, such
as S and ocean heat uptake, then combining evidence requires combining joint
probabilities rather than multiplying marginal posterior PDFs [Hegerl 2006].
Thus the alerts should not be interpreted
as an analysis of total tree cover loss area but
rather as an indication of an area that has a high
probability of having experienced tree cover loss or disturbance over time.
Tallbloke: It sounds
as though you've confused the idea of «
probability» with the idea of «
probability density» for the IPCC isn't saying that a sensitivity of 18.5 C is
as probable
as a sensitivity of 1 C but
rather that the two sensitivities have equal
probability densities.
But
as Monckton points out, catering to manage a rare event has a cost and the
probability is so low it will be cheaper and more progressive for society in general to cope
rather than «prevent»,
as if «prevention» is possible in the first place.
Similiarly, if possibility theory admits that evidence can make an event «more likely», then the requirement to be able to rank scenario classes
as more or less likely than each other leads to something that looks a lot like
probability in the end, and the debates about whether a risk justifies action should depend on how one evaluates the evidence, and one's aversion to risk,
rather than the terminology used to quantify risk (or not).
«Lindzen picks one value at the outer edge of the
probability distribution function and builds his entire argument on that (
rather improbable) value
as if it's highly certain» Okay, I see where you're coming from.
The situation
as I see it is opposite: Mainstream science acknowledges there is a large uncertainty in the net aerosol forcing, whereas Lindzen picks onevalue at the outer edge of the
probability distribution function and builds his entire argument on that (
rather improbable) value
as if it's highly certain: His argument is implicitly built on high confidence / certainty that aerosol forcing is very low.
In essence
rather than just saying we need to shift the null (which is rubbish,
as others have noted the null can be anything) he is now saying any statistical inference should be performed on the basis that we have prior information on the
probability that humans are causing some of the warming, and that information should be included in any experiments (presumably now regardless of the null being tested).
Rather, statements need to be couched
as follows: the
probability of the number being greater than 50 % is XXX, or of lying between this range is YYY etc..
As has been confirmed by the Court of Appeal (see R v Mental Health Review Tribunal (Northern Region)[2005] ECA Civ 1605) the flexibility of the civil standard lies not in «any adjustment to the degree of
probability required for an allegation to be proved...» but
rather in the fact that more serious allegations will require more cogent evidence.
The system can also handle hypothetical reasoning (eg, multiple parallel possibilities)
as well
as assigning
probabilities to outcomes
rather than rigid certainty to evaluate more complex decisions (fuzzy logic).
Changes in rates of child diagnoses from baseline to 3 months
as a function of mother's remission and subsequently mother's level of response were analyzed using a repeated measures analysis with binary response data, using generalized estimating equation (GEE) methods.27 A linear
probability model with an identity link function (
rather than a logit - link function) was used to model interactions on the additive scale28 and to model a dose - response function using rates (
rather than odds)
as the outcome measure because we considered risk differences to be a more relevant measure than odds ratios in our study.