Sentences with phrase «as probability times»

Risk is defined as probability times impact of outcome.

Not exact matches

While statistical margins of error are arguably not applicable to online panels / online studies of this nature, we have assumed that the same margins of error apply as if it were a true unweighted random probability sample with a margin of error of + / - 3.7 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

While the past is no guarantee of the future, it seems to be a reasonable probability bet that firms selling the essentials of everyday life are, as a group, going to have an easier time maintaining their dividend distributions compared to companies such as, say, those involved in manufacturing automobiles.

Usually with a large program, such as PSAT, and the long time period it was in place, there is a high probability that some of the funds will not be needed and as such they «lapse».

Awareness is not tethered to the physical but relationship with the physical There is no such thing as non existence physically or conceptually Agency of time and space must be outside our subset of existence and predate singularity Our known world is configured to be appear concentric Probability of intelligent life in only 14 billion years is one out of ten to the power of 127 assuming one universe.

As a famous mathematician and philosopher once said: «There is a point at which the probability of a series of coincidences occurring within a given time period exceeds the possibility that they are, in fact, coincidences.

@Maani: «As a famous mathematician and philosopher once said: «There is a point at which the probability of a series of coincidences occurring within a given time period exceeds the possibility that they are, in fact, coincidences.

The chance of life evolving to what is it today was indeed small, but given enough time, anything can happen as long as the probability isn't 0.

For the first time on the stage of world history, we humans can envisage the possibility — some would say, the probability — of a self - inflicted, abrupt, and apocalyptic nuclear end of the drama as we have lived it till now.

Likewise, although my math background is weak, isn't Borel's law saying that as the number of trials approach infinity the distribution of results approach the individual probabilities with a probability of 1, i.e. n - > ∞ the probability that «heads» will occur 50 % of the time is 1.

I simulated the Big Ten's 55 remaining conference games 10,000 times to explore what the above probabilities mean for the conference race as a whole.

As the old saying goes, absence makes the heart grow fonder so it will come as no surprise that by the time he is fit and able to return, Gooners will expect him to be the returning messiah but in reality when he eventually returns there is a high probability that he may not be the same player and may in fact be disappointinAs the old saying goes, absence makes the heart grow fonder so it will come as no surprise that by the time he is fit and able to return, Gooners will expect him to be the returning messiah but in reality when he eventually returns there is a high probability that he may not be the same player and may in fact be disappointinas no surprise that by the time he is fit and able to return, Gooners will expect him to be the returning messiah but in reality when he eventually returns there is a high probability that he may not be the same player and may in fact be disappointing.

Clint Dempsey for one has saved their bacon by scoring four of Fulham's last six league goals at a time when forwards are non-existent at the club, while goalkeeper Mark Schwarzer and defender Brede Hangeland have kept Fulham in so many games this season, a worry seeing as clubs have been linked with the pair of them recently and without them you could rightly have concerns about the direction at which the club would be heading, which in al probability would be down.

The probability of a baby dying from a home birth is approximately twice the probability of a child dying in a car accident at any point from birth to age 25, and ten times as high as the risk of dying in a car accident between birth and age 10.

The criteria of immediate threat; probability of success (rather unproven in this case, as it was in Kosovo at the time of the intervention), and legitimacy might make interventions which meet these tests relatively rare.

In some recent research, Valerie Belu and I show that compared to regular elections (defined as elections which occur within 6 months of the end of a parliamentary term), strategically timed opportunistic elections have allowed governing parties to realize an average vote - share bonus of just under 6 percent and seat - share bonuses of 12 percent, doubling the probability that the Prime Minister survives in office -LRB-.80 versus.40).

Rail passengers face soaring ticket prices as inflation hits 3.1 per cent in July, as the Bank of England warning of the «significant probability» the rate will remain above its target for some time.

The probability distribution of molecular extension was determined as a function of time and strain rate.

Research suggests that small quakes immediately raise the risk of a large quake by as much as a thousandfold, says Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, though the probability is still only about 1 percent per day and falls rapidly with time.

In reality, crime scene investigators often spend seemingly inordinate amounts of time gathering and assessing evidence and then present it as probabilities rather than the kind of definitive result expected of a court room filled with actors rather than real people.

And it again, it brought home to me the way in which Martin Gardner was at the hub of a vast universe of brilliant, sparkling intellect — including people like Marvin Minsky [at] the M.I.T. artificial intelligence lab; and John Conway who at the time was in England and later came to Princeton and who invented so many deep and fascinating mathematical ideas, especially the Game of Life, to which Martin devoted several columns and which was an incredibly important thing in bringing new ideas to the world of computation and about the cellular automata; and Donald Knuth at Stanford, the great computer [scientist]; Perci Diaconis a statistician who is fascinated by paradoxes of probability and a great magician as well; and Ray Hyman, a psychologist who had a spent a great deal of his life debunking people such as [Uri Geller]; and James Randi, one of the great magicians of our era who also was one of the most important debunkers of pseudoscience in the world.

The changing probabilities were behaving as if time ends at the cut - off, they said, because time really does end at the cut - off.

That's because, even though quantum mechanics deals in probabilities — such as the likelihood of an electron being in one location or another — the quantum waves that give those probabilities must still evolve predictably, so that if you know a wave's shape at one moment you can predict it exactly at any future time.

Coherent temporal oscillations of excited state populations were observed by monitoring the junction's tunneling probability as a function of time.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

Treating variation in the amount of time that states mandate schoolchildren spend in PE as natural experiments, the researchers found that an additional 60 minutes per week of PE time (enough to bring states without an explicit requirement up to the amount of PE recommended by the CDC) reduces the probability that a fifth - grader is obese by 4.8 percentage points.

However, if the cellular structure of a neuron and its synapse should be visualized at the same time from two different plasmids this approach becomes problematic as it reduces the probability that neurons are transfected with both vectors.

For individuals marked as young, the survival and emigration - immigration probabilities were modelled to change after two years, by which time they were expected to have grown into independent adults (or sub-adults).

M2009 use a simplified carbon cycle and climate model to make a large ensemble of simulations in which principal uncertainties in the carbon cycle, radiative forcings, and climate response are allowed to vary, thus yielding a probability distribution for global warming as a function of time throughout the 21st century.

«The methodological frameworks were very much in their infancy at the time of Katrina in 2005,» said Noah Diffenbaugh, a Stanford climate researcher who performs climate change «attribution» studies, seeking to determine how the probability of various weather events has changed as a result of the warming of the climate.

Women in their 40s need to be more vigilant than ever about their breast screening as cancer rates start to increase at this time of life: The probability of a woman in her 40s developing the disease is 1 in 70.

In all probability, the first time that you started using dating websites you tried out the free ones as well.

Given the low probability of victory as well as the considerable time, expense, and psychological discomfort involved in waging a legal battle, it isn't surprising that private placements are rare, especially among families who lack the wealth and sophistication required to navigate the legal system successfully.

There are four here which use ratio, Pythagoras, time, fractions, probability, percentages and measures as well as other topics.

Topics included are: Area of a regular shape Simplifying algebraic expressions Solving simple equations removal of brackets Finding the percentage of a quantity Expressing as a percentage Compound interest Fractions (add, multiply, divide) Probability of a single event Probability when a spinner is spun twice Dividing into a given ratio Conversion of metric units Distance, Speed, Time Density, Mass, Volume

INCLUDES: 36 Student Activity Books (1 copy of each of the six titles per grade level, 32 - pages each) 4 Answer Cases 1 Teacher Guide FEATURES: Flexibility for task centers, independent or partner work, or one - on - one tutoring / remediation Clearly stated objective for each activity that allows you to differentiate Focus on foundational skills and concepts Engaging puzzle format for a fun challenge Immediate feedback for self - checking Titles: Grade 1: Number and Operations: Counting and Place Value Addition and Subtraction: Properties and Situations Addition and Subtraction: Strategies and Equations Addition and Subtraction: Beyond 20 Measurement and Data: Length, Time, and Analysis Geometry: Shapes and Attributes Grade 2: Addition and Subtraction: To 20 and Beyond Foundations of Multiplication: Equal Groups and Arrays Addition and Subtraction: Properties and Place Value Measurement and Data: Length, Time, and Analysis Measurement and Data: Time, Money, and Analysis Geometry: Shapes and Attributes Grade 3: Number and Operations: Multiply and Divide Multiply and Divide: Problem Solving Fractions: Fractions as Numbers Measurement and Data: Use and Interpret Data Geometric Measurement: Perimeter and Area Geometry: Shapes and Attributes Grade 4: Number and Operations: Whole Numbers Number and Operations Multi-Digit and Fractions Fractions: Equivalence and Ordering Fractions: Operations Measurement and Data: Convert and Solve Problems Geometry: Angles and Plane Figures Grade 5: Operations and Algebraic Thinking: Expressions and Patterns Number and Operations: Whole Numbers and Decimals Fractions: Add and Subtract Measurement and Data: Convert and Interpret Geometric Measurement: Volume Geometry: Graphing and 2 - D Figures Grade 6: Ratio and Proportions: Ratios and Problem Solving The Number System: Rational Numbers The Number System: Factors and Multiples Expressions and Equations: Write, Solve, and Analyze Geometry: Problem Solving Statistics and Probability: Variability and Displays

While every state and school district differs slightly, below you will find useful detail surrounding some of the Math concepts children will likely be covering in 3rd Grade Math such as: Addition and Subtraction Math Facts, Adding and Subtracting Larger Numbers, Multiplication and Division Math Facts, Skip Counting and Using a Hundreds Board, Money, Place Value, Telling Time, Measurement, Shapes and Solids, Lines and Angles, Symmetry, Fractions, Data Management and Analysis, Estimating, Area and Perimeter, Capacity and Weight, Decimals, Patterns, Circumference and Diameter, Long Multiplication, Percentages, Ordered Pairs on a Coordinate Grid, and Probability.

Specifically, we estimate split population models that simultaneously estimate the impact of individual characteristics and student teaching experiences on the timing and probability of initial hiring as a public school teacher.

Student achievement is improved by using high - probability instructional practices in the classroom, including establishing clear learning targets for students based on state standards and giving students ongoing feedback on their achievement so that performance improves as mastery of learning is assessed over time.

There is also the probability of this device to be eventually priced for as low as $ 129 in due time.

Credit scores do nothing more than give a probability that a borrower will make good, based primarily on his history of paying other people back, but also considering such measures of financial stress as how many times he has asked for a loan recently and the credit lines to credit used ratio mentioned above.

These targets are price action setups, and you should think of them as higher - value on the higher time frames, because in reality the higher the time frame the higher - probability the setup becomes.

In other words, it is a numerical representation of «What's the probability that the lender will get its money back, on time, as agreed, and in full?»

The cost of the policy is certain to be higher than the actuarial cost (cost of claim x probability of claim during insured time period) of repair / replacement of a failed system, as the insurer would need to cover sales costs, operating expenses and profit in addition to the direct policy cost of system replacement.

Sticking to higher time frame charts will help you put the probabilities of success in your favor as you trade.

Focusing on the higher time frames is probably the easiest thing you can do to immediately increase the probability of making money in the market as you trade.

You will also be able to combine price action with market structure to pinpoint higher - probability reversal periods as well as Time and Price target objectives.

These short lease lengths lead to greater returns during boom times, as occupancy rates rise and rental rates increase more quickly, but a slowdown in the health care industry would hurt as tenants typically have less credit than large tenants at investment properties, leading to greater probability of default.

As you'll see in this article, the performance of the SMI strategies, properly combined, has been such that any marginal benefit gained from timing isn't worth the significant emotional toll, not to mention the high probability that a person will make some mistakes identifying appropriate exit and re-entry points.

If you are still a little unclear as to what I mean by «randomly distributed», it simply means that you never know when you'll hit a winning trade and when you'll hit a losing trade, EVEN IF you are following your high - probability trading strategy to the T. Thus, the outcomes of your trades will be randomly distributed, but if you ARE following your trading strategy to the T, over time, you should be profitable.