Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Army is 6 - 1
as road underdogs, yet 7 - 18 as an underdog of 3.5 - 10.0, 2 - 8 to teams with a winning record.
Forensic ATS information on this game: Charlotte 0 - 14 in same season revenge for home loss in which Tryus Thomas was held to single digit scoring, 6 - 25 versus an opponent averaging 20 or fewer assists per game, 4 - 17 off game
as road underdogs
64 % of tickets have come in on Kentucky
as road underdogs, but 63 % of the money wagered has been on Tennessee.
For comparison sake, they have gone just 289 - 494 -LRB--91.24 units)
as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay (+165 at the market - setting Cris sportsbook) is receiving just 19 % of moneyline wagers
as a road underdog, making it a potential Best Bet this evening.
The Canadiens are currently receiving just 18 % of moneyline bets
as a road underdog, which means they fit the criteria for our 2014 NHL Playoffs: Betting Against the Public article.
The OVER is 4 - 1 in Boston's last five games
as a road underdog.
Public bettors seem to be done backing the Seminoles this year as they're getting just 33 % of spread tickets
as a road underdog.
Betting Nuggets Arkansas closed with 69 % of tickets
as a road underdog in one of the most bet games of the day, but lost at Auburn 56 - 3.
- Following their relatively easy cover at Northwestern (closed +18, lost by 5), Ball State moved to 35 - 13 ATS
as a road underdog since 2005.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Minnesota is 3 - 8 their last 11 road, 4 - 15
as a road underdog of 0.5 - 3.0, 1 - 8 as underdog.
Not exact matches
Pittsburgh has injury woes,
road woes and faces a team that has been very tough
as an
underdog.
New York is 8 - 2 in its last 10 games on the
road and 5 - 2 in its last seven games
as the betting
underdog according to the OddsShark MLB Database.
Public bettors have noticed this,
as 67 % of early tickets are taking the
road underdogs.
Although it's not the sexiest matchup, Tulsa opened
as 1 - point
road underdogs at Bookmaker for Saturday's showdown with Navy.
Despite their 4 - 0 record and last week's 30 - 6 upset victory over Michigan State, # 8 Wisconsin opened
as 10.5 - point
road underdogs against # 4 Michigan.
In this year's Iron Bowl, Auburn opened
as 18 - point
road underdogs at Pinnacle.
On Thursday morning, Boston opened
as 1 - point
road underdogs at the market - setting Pinnacle sportsbook.
Although the Warriors were originally listed
as 2 - point
underdogs for the Game 3 lookahead line, they actually opened
as 2 - point
road favorites at the market - setting Bookmaker.eu.
Both teams are currently
road underdogs receiving less than 25 % of spread bets
as they travel to Pittsburgh and San Francisco, respectively.
As a result, the betting public remains just slightly in favor of the
underdog Bengals keeping it within a field goal on the
road against the AFC South champion Texans.
Unfortunately, using a simple favorite versus
underdog filter provided no additional value, and betting against
road teams playing in their second game in
as many nights actually produced a win rate above 50 %, but failed to cover the necessary vig needed to produce a winning system.
-- The Minnesota Wild are currently receiving just 28 % of moneyline bets
as a +175
road underdog today against the Chicago Blackhawks.
There have been contradicting bet signals triggered on this game, but almost every historical trend points towards value on the Warriors
as a small
road underdog.
In one of this week's most heavily bet games, Texas Tech opened
as 4.5 - point
road underdogs at Pinnacle.
With Gobert's status still questionable, the Jazz opened
as 6.5 - point
road underdogs at the market - setting Bookmaker.eu.
Without their star player, the Celtics closed
as 3 - point
road underdogs and received just 36 % of spread tickets.
--
As we wrote in a recent article,
road underdogs receiving less than 35 % of moneyline wagers have gone 76 - 104 (+24.35 units, 13.5 % ROI) since 2005.
You all recently posted an NBA trend about
underdog road teams receiving 30 % or less of the wagers
as a winning betting strategy.
This information provides yet another reason to like the Heat
as a large
road underdog tonight — especially
as they ride a three - game losing streak.
After opening
as 13.5 - point
road underdogs, the Bulls announced that Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade would both be sidelined due to injuries.
Over the past season the Warriors have closed
as underdogs in just five of 98 games, all of which came on the
road.
The Mountaineers opened
as 1.5 - point
road underdogs at the market - setting Pinnacle sportsbook and, according to our public betting trends, they have received 39 % of spread tickets and 38 % of total dollars wagered.
Kenta Maeda will get the
road start for the Dodgers, facing Zack Godley and the Diamondbacks
as +105 home
underdogs.
As you can see from the table below, the sweet spot for
road dogs this season comes when we focus on
underdogs of +130 or less.
After upsetting the Rams on the
road as 6.5 - point
underdogs, the Falcons are one step closer to you cashing that ticket.
In Week 2 of the season, the Patriots (who closed
as 2 - point
road underdogs) defeated the Bills 40 - 32.
Somehow the Bengals were listed
as 2.5 - point
road underdogs even though they were also listed
as 2 - point
road favorites for their Week 13 showdown.
The Dolphins opened
as 1 - point
road underdogs at Bookmaker, but they have received 82 % of spread tickets and 91 % of total dollars wagered.
In a battle of 1 - 2 teams, the Eagles opened
as 3 - point
road underdogs at CRIS and have received 83 % of spread bets.
I'm really intrigued by both Monaco and Leicester City
as underdogs, but again I'm hesitant to place a bet before they play their opening games on the
road.
The Raiders opened
as 1.5 - point
road underdogs at the market - setting Pinnacle sportsbook, but they have received 83 % of spread bets and 92 % of total dollars wagered.
For the second straight day, early sharp money has jumped on the Brewers
as road moneyline
underdogs.
As you can see from the Bet Labs screenshot below,
road underdogs have provided value in games with low totals.
Who is the most profitable ATS coach
as an
underdog, on the
road or betting against the public?
Road underdogs are historically undervalued,
as are teams coming off a loss.
The Tigers - Cats upset the Lions back in Week 2, pulling out a 31 - 28
road victory
as a 13 - point
underdog.
But Green Bay is a
road underdog to Atlanta this week and the lookahead lines have the Cheeseheads
as dogs to the winner of Patriots - Steelers.
They have received a comfortable draw even though they are out on the
road as well,
as they get to take on heavy
underdogs Lincoln from the National League.
If a team fails to cover
as an
underdog and then is a
road underdog in the next game the line is often inflated.