At the same time policymakers need to know the future of sea - level rise, and they need
as robust a prediction as we can give,» said Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton's Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs and the Princeton Environmental Institute and first author of the paper.
The process seems to be accelerating all across the world, though, and it seems about
as robust a prediction as that of rapid polar melting.
Not exact matches
Furthermore, the fact is (
as shown in Figure 1) that hurricane intensity has increased in recent decades
as SST has risen (at least in the North Atlantic for which trends are most reliable) and this
prediction is based on fairly fundamental and
robust thermodynamic arguments explored by Emanuel and others for decades now.
And about
as robust and reliable
as Gypsy Rose Lee's
predictions of meeting a tall dark stranger.......................
The model results should be accepted
as robust ONLY when model
predictions (i.e. the hypotheses) can not be shown to be falsified with real world data.
Even so, Mann said, certain
predictions are based on physics and chemistry that are so fundamental, such
as the atmospheric greenhouse effect, that the resulting
predictions — that surface temperatures should warm, ice should melt and sea level should rise — are
robust no matter the assumptions.
«
As a process committed to acceptance of deep uncertainties,» they say, «CIDA does not attempt to reduce uncertainties or make
predictions, but rather determine which decision options are
robust to a variety of plausible futures.»
Regarding your blog entry on the V+S paper, one statement needs clarification: ``... hurricane intensity has increased in recent decades
as SST has risen (at least in the North Atlantic for which trends are most reliable) and this
prediction is based on fairly fundamental and
robust thermodynamic arguments explored by Emanuel and others for decades now.»