But that's not the case today,
as sharp bettors have pivoted and focused attention to one of today's biggest early afternoon matchups, pounding the number multiple times in early betting.
Not exact matches
Early
sharp action pushed the line down to -7 — but
as usual,
bettors are getting down on the favorite.
Entering the season there were many well - respected,
sharp bettors picking Iowa
as a longshot candidate to win the national championship.
As it gets closer to game time, we'll see if there are some
sharp bettors looking to «buy back» on the other side.
However, that couldn't be further from the truth
as this game has attracted plenty of attention from
sharp NFL
bettors.
Additionally,
bettors need to understand they shouldn't be chasing steam unless they're able to get the same number
as the
sharps.
In order to have long - term success,
bettors need to understand they shouldn't be chasing steam unless they're able to get the same number
as the
sharps.
It will be intriguing to see how
sharp bettors feel about USC this week,
as there may be some value on Cal if they get up to +7.
Even though the public doesn't like the Cowboys» chances,
sharp bettors jumped on the opportunity to get Dallas +3.5,
as we've tracked three bet signals on them and none on Philly.
As you can see, over 30 % of games we analyzed finished with a 3 - point or 7 - point margin of victory, showing exactly why
sharp bettors consider these to be «key numbers».
As an added bonus, you can also fade the public, follow the
sharp bettors and place yourself on the side of the books.
As of now, it doesn't appear that
sharp bettors have taken a stance on this game.
As you can see from the line history above, public
bettors on FSU +7.5 or +7 were already taking the «
sharp» side.
While the current data shows that
sharp and public
bettors are lining up on different sides, there's still plenty of time for that to change, especially if this line gets to Philadelphia +3 and inspires buyback
as limits continue to increase.
Right now, this movement appears to be based on public money
as opposed to
sharp money, so there is added value on the Dolphins based on square
bettors.
As noted in an earlier article, the Pinnacle MLB steam move has been incredibly profitable for
bettors and it's one of the best identifiers of
sharp money.
Betting market: After this game opened Steelers -10,
sharp bettors quickly grabbed the Texans
as double - digit dogs, moving the line to -9.
Our
Sharp Report agrees as Washington is currently the favorite play of sharp bettors and it's not even c
Sharp Report agrees
as Washington is currently the favorite play of
sharp bettors and it's not even c
sharp bettors and it's not even close.
Given the discrepancy between the betting percentages and money percentages
as well
as the line movement,
sharper bettors believe that Oregon State will cover the spread.
This proved to be too short
as both public and
sharp bettors have bet Bama up to -24 where they're currently at around the market.
Not only has the spread taken a beating from professional
bettors, but
sharp money has pounded the opening total of 54
as well.
In fact, according to our
Sharp Action Report (available to all Sportsbook Insider subscribers), Alabama is now listed as one of the Top 5 sides played by sharp bettors for today's ac
Sharp Action Report (available to all Sportsbook Insider subscribers), Alabama is now listed
as one of the Top 5 sides played by
sharp bettors for today's ac
sharp bettors for today's action.
While NFL fights, the end of Eli and Notre Dame / Miami have dominated the mainstream sports conversation over the last two days,
sharp bettors went right back to work and quickly pinpointed tonight's Bowling Green at Buffalo matchup
as one offering multiple valuable betting opportunities.
Although hockey does not carry the same popularity
as basketball, football or even baseball, there is an incredible betting opportunity to
sharp bettors.
As you can see from the line chart, there have been three steam moves triggered on the Clippers which confirms that
sharp bettors like the chalk in this matchup.
It's tough to say exactly why
bettors have made their bets, but it appears
as if there has been some
sharp action on Minnesota given the line movement and betting percentages.
This reverse line movement indicates that
sharp bettors are taking the Eagles
as a home underdog.
The Broncos have since gone down to -3
as it seems that
sharp bettors don't have
as much faith in Lynch.
Most of the
sharper offshore sportsbooks have Alabama listed
as a 10 - point favorite, but
bettors can still find «Bama -9.5 at The Greek, Bovada, Carib and several others.
Line movement that contradicts our ticket percentages is known
as reverse line movement, and it's a strong indicator that
sharp money — i.e large wagers from respected
bettors or syndicates — is taking NC State plus the points.
As our readers know,
sharp sports
bettors often find value on underdogs.
Sharp bettors missed on the Wolverines
as double - digit dogs in Wisconsin last weekend, so will they stay away this weekend?
As an example, a $ 20,000 wager from a casual
bettor won't necessarily cause a sportsbook to adjust their lines, but a $ 5,000 wager from one of their
sharpest players often times will.
Because the public is heavily taking Houston, Sports Interaction (SIA), which is known
as a book that caters to public
bettors (
as opposed to
sharp or professional
bettors) has shaded the Texans to -3.5, instead of the -3 that is currently the market consensus.
Using the Jets / Patriots game
as our example, we can ascertain that even though most
bettors are taking New England, the more - respected
sharp players are siding with New York.
This is a classic example of Pro's versus Joe's with the public pounding the favored Crimson Tide and
sharp bettors pouncing on the Rebels
as a home underdog.
Bettors may be surprised to see that
sharp action is taking the Broncos, especially considering that Peyton Manning will be out and that Tom Brady has gone 53 - 34 ATS (60.9 %)
as a visitor.
This would indicate that
sharp bettors like the Broncos
as a home underdog.
Friday's edition of The Daily Steam includes a MONSTER betting and DFS guide for NFL Week 14, a college basketball matchup drawing two - way action and proof that
sharp bettors don't care what they're betting on
as long
as it offers value.
While recreational
bettors can't get enough of the «over»,
sharp bettors see this
as an opportunity to buyback the public overreaction by playing the «under».
I'd guess that
sharp bettors are done betting on the Ducks seeing
as they're a two - touchdown favorite at this point.
Despite Spieth getting the majority of dollars for The Masters, it appears that
sharper bettors don't like his chances
as much to win a major this season.
Although this one could likely go either way,
as Atlanta and Matt Ryan haven't fared great in the playoffs (Ryan is 0 - 5 ATS in his playoffs career),
sharp bettors feel that the soon - to - be NFL MVP is due.
As you can see, public
bettors are on the Warriors but
sharper bettors are on the Spurs.
Since then we have seen steady
sharp money on the Patriots pushing the line back to -2 -107,
as bettors expect George Mason playing close to home to overcome the Wichita State Shockers.
As always, Dave Mason from BetOnline.AG joins to talk about where the public and
sharp bettors are laying down their coin on draft night.
As NFL games are played weekly, it's important to know what drives line movement to determine whether it's provoked by
sharp bettors or overzealous — and overconfident — square
bettors.
For the purposes of this column, we consider public money to be wagers made by recreational
bettors as opposed to those made by professionals, or «
sharps.»
Casual
bettors liked Golden State -9 after winning the opening game of the series, 113 - 92, but the pros took San Antonio,
as evidenced by reverse line movement and Steam Move Bet Signals triggered at Pinnacle — a
sharp sportsbook.
They are okay if the public loads up on one side
as long
as sharps don't join in because they are able to predict who
bettors will like for each game, and set the lines accordingly.