Not exact matches
As a result, avian
temperature responses generally involve moving up or down in elevation rather than stretching or shrinking their ranges
over land.
Terrestrial ecosystems have encountered substantial warming
over the past century, with
temperatures increasing about twice
as rapidly
over land as over the oceans.
They found that the business -
as - usual scenario comes with large climate changes the world
over and would create entirely new patterns of
temperature and precipitation for 12 to 39 percent of Earth's
land area.
Using updated and corrected
temperature observations taken at thousands of weather observing stations
over land and
as many commercial ships and buoys at sea, the researchers show that
temperatures in the 21st century did not plateau,
as thought.
Whilst it's natural to start with air
temperatures, a more thorough examination should be
as inclusive
as possible; snow cover, ice melt, air
temperatures over land and sea, even the sea
temperatures themselves.
However, for the globe
as a whole, surface air
temperatures over land have risen at about double the ocean rate after 1979 (more than 0.27 °C per decade vs. 0.13 °C per decade), with the greatest warming during winter (December to February) and spring (March to May) in the Northern Hemisphere.
The Nature article comes
as climate scientists published what they said today was the «best ever» collection of evidence for global warming, including
temperature over land, at sea and in the higher atmosphere, along with records of humidity, sea - level rise, and melting ice.
The former is likely to overestimate the true global surface air
temperature trend (since the oceans do not warm
as fast
as the
land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the ocean is predicted to rise at a slightly higher rate than the ocean
temperature.
Temperature changes relative to the corresponding average for 1901 - 1950 (°C) from decade to decade from 1906 to 2005
over the Earth's continents,
as well
as the entire globe, global
land area and the global ocean (lower graphs).
With higher precipitation, portions of this snow may not melt during the summer and so glacial ice can form at lower altitudes and more southerly latitudes, reducing the
temperatures over land by increased albedo
as noted above.
There are some various proposed mechanisms to explain this that involve the surface energy balance (e.g., less coupling between the ground
temperature and lower air
temperature over land because of less potential for evaporation), and also lapse rate differences
over ocean and
land (see Joshi et al 2008, Climate Dynamics),
as well
as vegetation or cloud changes.
Here we show that, globally,
temperatures over land have risen
as much on windy nights
as on calm nights, indicating that the observed overall warming is not a consequence of urban development.
---- It would actually be really interesting to see a series of plots that show how the datasets of measured sea and
land temperatures have evolved
over time
as they have been improved with adjustments such
as this.
«The combined average
temperature over global
land and ocean surfaces tied with 2010
as the highest on record for April, at 58.09 °F (14.47 °C) or 1.39 °F (0.77 °C) above the 20th century average.»
Now since relative humidity remains roughly constant at the ocean surface and the air's capacity to hold water increases with
temperature, relative humidity will actually decrease
over land, particularly
as one enters the continental interiors.
The former is likely to overestimate the true global surface air
temperature trend (since the oceans do not warm
as fast
as the
land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the ocean is predicted to rise at a slightly higher rate than the ocean
temperature.
Seems to me the debate about AGHG global warming and increasing TC frequency / intensity / duration boils down to the fact that
as sea surface
temperatures,
as well
as deeper water
temperatures rise, the wallop of any TC
over warmer seas without mitigating circumstances like wind sheer and dry air off
land masses entrained in the cyclone will likely be much more devastating.
As far as I am aware, temperatures of the atmosphere close to the surface, rather than the actual surface, are usually measured over land, unless measured remotely by satellites, in which case the temperature of the material overlaying the Earth's surface is measured, rarely the surface itsel
As far
as I am aware, temperatures of the atmosphere close to the surface, rather than the actual surface, are usually measured over land, unless measured remotely by satellites, in which case the temperature of the material overlaying the Earth's surface is measured, rarely the surface itsel
as I am aware,
temperatures of the atmosphere close to the surface, rather than the actual surface, are usually measured
over land, unless measured remotely by satellites, in which case the
temperature of the material overlaying the Earth's surface is measured, rarely the surface itself.
Verify using data collected only
over the 1/3 of the planet that is covered with
land strikes me
as odd, particularly because we expect the
land temperatures to rise faster than ocean
temperatures.
Notably, by studying the clouds
over a limited region of the atmosphere
over the eastern Pacific Ocean,
as well
as over nearby
land masses, the team at the university's International Pacific Research Centre have declared themselves firmly in the latter camp, warning that,
as temperatures continue to creep steadily upwards
over the next 100 years, cloud cover will become thinner and more - sparse, thereby serving to exacerbate the problem.
Latent heat flux at the
land surface varies with soil moisture — drought condition result in an apparent increase in surface
temperature — such
as over this century and in 2016.
From his blog, post # 11: «if you fix the
temperature,
as over the ocean here, you have to let the flux adjust to be consistent with that
temperature — if you fix the flux (which is effectively zero
over land) you have to let the
temperature adjust to be consistent with that flux.»
MM04 failed to acknowledge other independent data supporting the instrumental thermometer - based
land surface
temperature observations, such
as satellite - derived
temperature trend estimates
over land areas in the Northern Hemisphere (Intergovernmental Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Third Assessment Report, Chapter 2, Box 2.1, p. 106) that can not conceivably be subject to the non-climatic sources of bias considered by them.
95 % confidence that 50 % of the warming since 1951 is due to some form of human activity is not likely to be falsified using «Global» surface
temperature since about 30 % of the warming is
over land and GISS interprets high latitude and higher altitude warming
as «surface» warming.
-- Increased urbanization and
land use changes since WWII
as a possible partial cause of warming of global surface
temperature over land.
This may be me advertising my ignorance but if the OHC is of interest
as against the SST why do we use a parameter of «global
temperature» which is an amalgam of SST and air
temperature over land rather than a total heat content or a
temperature normalised say for mass or thermal density (normalise to the properties of water say)?
Average air
temperature over the
land and sea surface was 0.56 degrees Celsius above the long - term average, tied with 2010
as the joint warmest year on record.
Deriving a reliable global
temperature from the instrument data is not easy because the instruments are not evenly distributed across the planet, the hardware and observing locations have changed
over the years, and there has been extensive
land use change (such
as urbanization) around some of the sites.
From that link's words, the DMI «green line» IS the best way to consistently compare the daily estimate of NORTH areas of the arctic — those areas north of 70 latitude to 83 north latitude NASA - GISS extrapolates «surface» ground - based
temperatures as far
as 1200 km from where their
land - based measurements were made from 60 - 70 latitude
over the ever - greening (and darker) tundra and forests OUT to the open sea where where the arctic sea ice actually is present.
However,
over long time periods, the variation of the global average
temperature with CO2 concentration depends on various factors such
as the placement of the continents on Earth, the functionality of ocean currents, the past history of the climate, the orientation of the Earth's orbit relative to the Sun, the luminosity of the Sun, the presence of aerosols in the atmosphere, volcanic action,
land clearing, biological evolution, etc..
It is that the actual real rise in inducted
Land surface KE,
as is the total KE «systemic additions» actually made
over the past 400 years, are much higher than is noted by simple measure of
temperature (in the cumulative manner these additions are really produced).
Land temperatures themselves are of interest, but
as far
as I know the only widespread measurements of them have started
over the last decade, a period too short to do much trend analysis.
«In our mor recent global model simulations the ocean heat - uptake is slower than previously estimated, the ocean uptake of carbon is weaker, feedbacks from the
land system
as temperature rises are stronger, cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases
over the century are higher, and offsetting cooling from aerosol emissions is lower.
Mears and others said that the satellite measurements should not be taken seriously because they only infer the
temperature from measurements of radio emissions by Oxygen molecules - AND - that these final numbers never match actual
temperature measurements made
over land and water (ground stations
as well
as radiosonde).
Over the oceans
as well
as on
land, the average global
temperature for the 12 - month period that began last December was 14.65 ˚C.
As can be seen from the curve below, the HadCRUT3 «globally and annually averaged
land and sea surface
temperature anomaly» shows slight (if statistically insignificant) cooling
over the past 15 years (180 months).
(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270 Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading for 400 Million: No Cause for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western Economic Model Will not Work for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S.
Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record
Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use of Water» (3/13/03) «Global
Temperature Near Record for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising
Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing for
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I don't mean to step on Michael Tobis» toes, but the level of CO2 has always so far
as the various ice core and like data strongly suggest (above 99.5 % with consilience) been seasonally variable
over land due to interaction of plants and
temperature as proven by NH / SH trends, just
as it is diurnally variable due to photosynthesis.
No such complete meta - data are available, so in this analysis the same value for urbanisation uncertainty is used
as in the previous analysis [Folland et al., GRL 2001]; that is, a 1 sigma value of 0.0055 deg C / decade, starting in 1900... The same value is used
over the whole
land surface, and it is one - sided: recent
temperatures may be too high due to urbanisation, but they will not be too low.
Surface
temperature is
as measured by weather stations on
land, SST
over ocean.
If this is the best such
land area surface
temperature assessment system on the planet (covering,
as well, a broad range of metropolitan, suburban, and rural areas), and the quality of the system is now proven to be demonstrably more prone to error than had been previously assumed — with the preponderance of error shown to produce the impression of warming in excess of real conditions prevailing — what may be reliably inferred about surface
temperature monitoring systems data from even less reliable thermometers all
over the rest of the world?
As noted above, Cowtan and Way (followed by Hausfather) combined CMIP5 models for TAS
over land and TOS
over ocean, for their comparison to HadCRUT4 and similar
temperature data.
A recent analysis of a number of different proxy
temperature records suggests that Northern Hemisphere decadal - scale averages
over land may have been
as much
as approximately 0.2 — 0.4 °C above the 1850 — 2006 mean from roughly 950 — 1150 AD (32).
The same should be true for climate change we should evaluate the changes in
temperature (not anomalies)
over time at the same stations and present the data
as a spaghetti graph showing any differing trends and not assume that regional or climates in gridded areas are the same — which they are not
as is obvious from the climate zones that exist or microclimates due to changes in precipitation,
land use etc..
As a result, only 1 out of 7 Global or
Land / Ocean (ie, global less polar regions)
temperature indices shows a negative trend
over that period (HadCRUT4 -0.002 + / - 0.059 C / decade).
Surface
temperature varies with water availability
as a result of changing lapse rates
over land.
Land use changes
as well
as deterioration of urban siting versus NOAA standards [http://www.surfacestations.org/] have resulted in a bias toward
over - reporting / erroneous reporting of high
temperature records and an under - reporting of low
temperature records.»
Theoretically it should be and it looks like that way,
as an increase (1998 El Niño) or decrease (1992 Pinatubo) in
temperature has about the same effect in opposite direction, and the ~ 1 °C wobble in
temperature over the seasons (due to the difference in
land area between the NH and SH) also shows a similar effect.
However, for changes
over time, only anomalies,
as departures from a climatology, are used, most commonly based on the area - weighted global average of the sea surface
temperature anomaly and
land surface air
temperature anomaly.
The SST was largely irrelevant in these scenarios,
as the small change in ocean
temperature pales in comparison to the large change in atmospheric
temperature over the
land in the central US.