Treasuries extended declines from October, pushing 10 - year yields to a five - week high,
as the probability of a Federal Reserve interest - rate increase by year - end hovered near 50 percent.
We will define risk
as the probability of losing money.
The probability of the existence of god is about the same
as the probability of the existence of magic gnomes or flying pink unicorns.
The 0.5 % death rate of a higher - risk home birth is the same
as the probability of a child dying between the ages of 1 and 18 from any cause at all.
Costs associated with a moderately morbid neonatal outcome, as well
as the probabilities of infant morbidity occurring, heavily impacted our results.The cost - effectiveness of VBAC depends on the likelihood of successful trial of labor.
In the strange world of quantum physics, an electron can also be represented as a wavefunction that encodes information about the particle, such
as the probability of finding it in a particular spin state.
Because of this, the carbon budget is expressed
as the probability of staying below a certain temperature, rather than a guarantee that's what will happen.
This factor is important
as the probabilities of hooking up with these people are very high.
If your home is located near a fire hazard, for example, a large forest in California, you may be charged higher premiums
as the probability of your home being lost or damaged due to fire is high.
Investment risk could be interpreted
as the probability of suffering a loss, lower returns, higher volatility resulting in additional costs, etc..
Risk can be defined
as the probability of losing your principal.
Our results suggest that such an investment is rational as long
as the probability of a RM happening soon is high.
Most students are not borrowing more than they can afford to pay back, they argue, but students need to take their likely future earnings, as well
as their probability of graduating, into account when taking out a student loan.
As the probability of the stock price moving goes down, the delta of in the money options approaches 100, eventually reaching 100 at expiration.
TradeLAB gives investors a profit / loss / break - even snapshot on a single screen as well
as the probability of any profit, based on the current stock price and the current implied volatility.
Essentially, the insurance value gradually increases as you get older and
as the probability of living that long decreases.
Figure 8 - 11 shows the strong relationship between risk, return and the growth of $ 1
as the probability of default increases.
Isolate the infected cat from others, however, maintain your own physical contact with the cat
as the probability of your cat's recovery are increased by receiving affection from you; this infection has an extremely depressing effect on both the mental and physical health of your cat and your cat «s recovery will benefit considerably from your affection and comfort.
If the shape were unchanged, we would expect that the probability of a n sigma event for the baseline (1951 - 1980) would be the same
as the probability of an (n +1) sigma event for 2001 - 2011.
The mapping of the downscaled results can be done for multi-model ensemble mean temperature trends as well
as probabilities of exceeding certain threshold values.
In my research group, we are focused on understanding whether global warming has influenced the probability of a given kind of extreme event (such
as the probability of a warm December in Alaska).
For example, while estimates concerning central tendencies of distributions of simulation outcomes are usually fairly robust because they are conditioned on ample data, estimates concerning the tails of distributions (such
as the probability of falling below a critical biomass) are usually conditional on few data and thus often rely on assumptions that have no strong knowledge base.
eCast's web - based interface allows easy access to meaningful forecast ranges, timescales and visualizations for maximum and minimum temperatures, as well
as the probability of precipitation, over the next 10 - days.
For our purposes here, «good» is defined
as the probability of getting a reasonable settlement offer before filing a lawsuit.
Scientific witnesses are often asked to give probability estimates for certain events, outcomes, or hypotheses, such
as the probability of a DNA match or the probability that a convicted offender will reoffend if granted parole.
Comments: Several commenters called for clarification of proposed language in the NPRM that would have permitted a covered entity to treat information as de-identified, even if specified identifiers were retained, as long
as the probability of identifying subject individuals would be very low.
In our experience,
as the probability of an event happening increases, fewer credit cards will actually cover it.
Work out the best - fit plan for you depending on the amount of times you use your car — as with the first point, if you use your car infrequently, you should get an auto insurance plan with a higher deductible,
as the probability of you getting into an accident is quite low.
In a nutshell, the theory goes that if you know the probability of A given B, as well
as the probability of A and the probability of B on their own, you can calculate the probability of B given A.
Caries risk assessment is defined
as the probability of an individual patient to develop caries lesions over a certain period of time.
Such models could also factor in key critical factors such
as probability of uptake and continued engagement by different population groups.
Not exact matches
«Given the evidence, we believe that the
probabilities of each candidate
of winning are
as follows: Fillon (40 percent), Macron (35 percent), Le Pen (20 percent) and (Benoit) Hamon (5 percent),» Citi added.
«Recent geopolitical developments have led me to raise my
probabilities of trade and other types
of wars, such
as capital wars, cyber wars (and possibly even shooting wars),» Dalio writes.
Sumpter expects to see an easing
of tensions and a growth in ties between the North and the South,
as well
as an uptick in the
probability of prolonged negotiation and diplomacy over denuclearization.
While the
probability of a trigger, such
as a severe recession, remains low, the bank said the severity
of such an event has increased since its December assessment.
It continues, «
As more real - world miles accumulate and the software logic accounts for increasingly rare events, the
probability of injury will keep decreasing.
Our Washington, D.C. economists view this escalation
as a negotiating tactic, but it increases the
probability of disruptive announcements in coming weeks.»
There is a high
probability the Dow will retreat and retest the upper edge
of the trading band near 18,300 before a rebound rally moves up to test the trend line
as a resistance level.
Someone once told me the
probability of an entrepreneur getting venture capital is the same
as getting struck by lightning while standing at the bottom
of a swimming pool on a sunny day.
Ginsberg, however, suggests that the most accurate measure
of probability actually lies in commercial betting websites, such
as Irish bookmaker Paddy Power's.
This
of course differs sharply from the monetary policy in the US where markets now assign 70 % +
probability of a rate hike next month (
as discussed here back in October).
As a result, the implied probability of 4 (or greater) rate hikes in 2016 (as predicted by the dot plot) dropped from 4.7 % on Wednesday to under 1 % on Frida
As a result, the implied
probability of 4 (or greater) rate hikes in 2016 (
as predicted by the dot plot) dropped from 4.7 % on Wednesday to under 1 % on Frida
as predicted by the dot plot) dropped from 4.7 % on Wednesday to under 1 % on Friday.
While it will be merely the exception that proves his rule — namely, that there is no such thing
as 100 % certainty in the science
of probability — his (mainly Republican) haters will jump on this
as evidence he's a huckster and a fraud.
The current rally is a new test
of the resistance level but this rally has an increased
probability of developing into a strong breakout above $ 18.75
as shown by the GMMA relationships.
This is a low
probability outcomes
as the bulk
of the consolidation activity takes place near the 2130 level and this suggests an overall bullish bias to the market.
As more real - world miles accumulate and the software logic accounts for increasingly rare events, the
probability of injury will keep decreasing.
The most recent presidential election in the United States proved that predicting — or
as my guest today calls it, «
probability calculation» — is a dangerous way
of reading an audience.
considering the
probability of a liquidity event such
as the sale
of the Company or an IPO and the potential impact
of such an event on the exercise pattern.
So
as long
as the guiding principles
of management teams do not change, then corporations with strong histories
of increasing dividends have high
probabilities of doing so in the future.
While statistical margins
of error are arguably not applicable to online panels / online studies
of this nature, we have assumed that the same margins
of error apply
as if it were a true unweighted random
probability sample with a margin
of error
of + / - 3.7 percentage points, nineteen times out
of twenty.