Sentences with phrase «as usual scenario»

Today we are already in the process to trigger a large scale climate change because of the quantities of CO2 equivalent emissions released and what is projected under business as usual scenarios.

They noted how under business as usual scenarios, global temperature is likely to rise at least 3.5 C.

The study warns that the new carbon market is unlikely to deliver South Korea's target of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30 per cent below a business as usual scenario by 2020.

Thus, «likely» doesn't mean «likely» in an absolute sense, it means «likely» if (a) business as usual turns out to produce even greater amounts of CO2 than most business as usual scenarios expect, and (b) the model spread accurately represents the uncertainty given a particular evolution of concentrations.

Riahi, K., and R.A. Roehrl, 2000: Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics as usual scenario of economic and energy development.

If it warms like IPCC thinks (bus as usual scenario — .3 degC per decade), or about 2 - 3 deg by 2100, then that translates to 2 - 3 ft by 2100, which is significant but it would happen gradually.

The aggregate of these provincial measures will reduce the country's coal consumption by 655 million tonnes from a business as usual scenario by 2020.

In the business as usual scenario for the GHG emissions per barrel of bitumen, the total oil sand GHG emissions until 2020 are as follows: (Herweyer 2007).

With the necessary level of support, as detailed in the INDC, Indonesia will reduce emissions by 41 % against the business as usual scenario by 2030.

Here is how the Business as Usual scenario would meet those priorities.

«With the business as usual scenario, roughly half of the Amazon will be deforested in 2050, leading to similar losses in mean species abundances.»

In a business as usual scenario, warming could go as high as 4.5 °C above pre-industrial temperatures by 2100.

Gladstone et al. (2012) also investigated the future of PIG, and they too found ongoing ice mass loss to be likely under a «business as usual scenario» (IPCC), with full collapse of the main trunk of PIG during the 22nd century still a possibility.

[Response: By the end of the century temperatures could be higher by 3 or 4 or more degrees C under reasonable (i.e. not worst case) business as usual scenarios.

Attempting to stabilise atmospheric CO2 as soon as possible is therefore rational and prudent, especially since mucyh of what one would do to achieve that also carries with it other tangible public benefits that a business as usual scenario would forfeit.

I wonder whether this been factored into business as usual scenarios?

Scientists project a sea level rise of between 0.9 and 1.6 meters by the end of the century under a business as usual scenario.

On any plausible business as usual scenario, emissions will grow substantially, while for any plausible climate science model, we need to reduce emissions substantially if we are to avoid highly damaging climate change.

By comparison, the expected business as usual scenario was for biofuels of 8.6 % of EU transport energy by 2020; current usage is at 4.7 %, having declined in 2013.

With a business as usual scenario, aviation emissions are expected to grow by up to 300 % by 2050!

Under a business as usual scenario, with rising prices, investment ramps up again.

Now the whole world is poor, so «let's at least stick to business as usual scenarios — because else we may make the economy even angrier with us.»

Business as usual scenarios are projecting that by 2030, over 600 million people across sub-saharan Africa will remain without access to modern forms of energy.

We're not worried about the relatively modest warming and climate change over the past century, we're worried about the dangerous change to come over the next century because of the rapid rise in global greenhouse gas emissions in the «skeptics» favored business as usual scenario.

While the PNMC carbon budget to 2020 targets a reduction of approximately 30 % in emissions against as a business as usual scenario, it still represents an absolute increase of over 100 % on 2005 levels, providing some scope for domestic pre-salt oil consumption.

These models project a large, 8.3 °C warming by the end of the century under a business as usual scenario, further highlighting the need for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.

In our case, catastrophe is not just possible, it is the most likely outcome if we continue in a business as usual scenario.

Benefits and Costs of Policies That Limit Carbon Emissions, relative to Business as Usual Scenario

In most, if not all, catastrophic AGW papers, RCP 8.5 (or an equivalent) is invoked as a «business as usual scenario.»

«Investors need to challenge companies who are ignoring the demand destruction that the market sees coming through much sooner than the business as usual scenarios being cited by the industry.

GAS — In a 2C world gas growth will be «at a lower level than expected under a business as usual scenario», the report finds.

One likelihood for a scenario is however given: In the absence of strong changes in policy, the business as usual scenario is deemed the most likely path of future climate forcings.

Additionally, the rate of greenhouse gas emissions escalated way beyond business as usual scenarios.

But the scientific report in Nature Climate Change suggests that under the «business as usual scenario» − whereby no steps are taken to address climate change, and the expanding the use of coal, oil and natural gas dumps ever greater quantities carbon dioxide in the atmosphere − then such conditions could occur once every decade or so before 2100.

However, when China has made it clear that they plan to cap coal use at 4 billion tons, you know that the business as usual scenario isn't going to happen.

If we take «the spread of possible future outcomes» in a business as usual scenario, then it's fair to say that if it's bad, it's really bad, and if it's good, it's still pretty bad.

Arctic Currents Weaken or Stop With Double CO2 Levels What they found was that under a business as usual scenario, with CO2 levels doubling by 2070, the Transpolar Drift stops and other Arctic currents weaken due to, among other factors, melting of sea ice and changed wind patterns in a warmer world.

Dr. John Nielsen - Gammon: I agree that RCP 8.5 can correspond to a business as usual scenario, but not «the» business as usual scenario or even a central business as usual scenario.

The IPCC does not characterize this as «business as usual» and it was selected because it was near the high end (90th percentile) of various non-mitigation scenarios, all of which could be considered to be business as usual scenarios.

Some countries are pledging not to reduce their emissions but to make reductions compared to a business as usual scenario.

US emissions have risen approximately 15 % since 1990, so let's assume in a business as usual scenario, they will continue to rise at that rate.

It has become more important than ever for scientists, their allies, and public officials to speak out in no uncertain terms about the risks we face under a business as usual scenario.