Sentences with phrase «as usual scenarios»

The IPCC does not characterize this as «business as usual» and it was selected because it was near the high end (90th percentile) of various non-mitigation scenarios, all of which could be considered to be business as usual scenarios.

Additionally, the rate of greenhouse gas emissions escalated way beyond business as usual scenarios.

Business as usual scenarios are projecting that by 2030, over 600 million people across sub-saharan Africa will remain without access to modern forms of energy.

Today we are already in the process to trigger a large scale climate change because of the quantities of CO2 equivalent emissions released and what is projected under business as usual scenarios.

I wonder whether this been factored into business as usual scenarios?

[Response: By the end of the century temperatures could be higher by 3 or 4 or more degrees C under reasonable (i.e. not worst case) business as usual scenarios.

Here is how the Business as Usual scenario would meet those priorities.

In a business as usual scenario, warming could go as high as 4.5 °C above pre-industrial temperatures by 2100.

Gladstone et al. (2012) also investigated the future of PIG, and they too found ongoing ice mass loss to be likely under a «business as usual scenario» (IPCC), with full collapse of the main trunk of PIG during the 22nd century still a possibility.

Attempting to stabilise atmospheric CO2 as soon as possible is therefore rational and prudent, especially since mucyh of what one would do to achieve that also carries with it other tangible public benefits that a business as usual scenario would forfeit.

Action of emerging economies could take several forms, such as sustainable development policies and measures, an improved and strengthened clean development mechanism, the setting up of plans for the sectors that generate most pollution so as to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions compared with a business as usual scenario.

In this case you need to demonstrate that destruction and death will be significantly more widespread under business as usual scenario compared to mitigated.

Only the Business As Usual scenario with regulation CO2 is worrisome.

On any plausible business as usual scenario, emissions will grow substantially, while for any plausible climate science model, we need to reduce emissions substantially if we are to avoid highly damaging climate change.

Given that the U.S. car fleet is likely to have grown to over 400 million vehicles by then, we may still end up using more oil in the future than we do today in a business as usual scenario.

With a business as usual scenario, aviation emissions are expected to grow by up to 300 % by 2050!

Under a business as usual scenario, with rising prices, investment ramps up again.

The study warns that the new carbon market is unlikely to deliver South Korea's target of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30 per cent below a business as usual scenario by 2020.

Riahi, K., and R.A. Roehrl, 2000: Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics as usual scenario of economic and energy development.

While the PNMC carbon budget to 2020 targets a reduction of approximately 30 % in emissions against as a business as usual scenario, it still represents an absolute increase of over 100 % on 2005 levels, providing some scope for domestic pre-salt oil consumption.

These models project a large, 8.3 °C warming by the end of the century under a business as usual scenario, further highlighting the need for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.

The aggregate of these provincial measures will reduce the country's coal consumption by 655 million tonnes from a business as usual scenario by 2020.

In our case, catastrophe is not just possible, it is the most likely outcome if we continue in a business as usual scenario.

In most, if not all, catastrophic AGW papers, RCP 8.5 (or an equivalent) is invoked as a «business as usual scenario.»

GAS — In a 2C world gas growth will be «at a lower level than expected under a business as usual scenario», the report finds.

But the scientific report in Nature Climate Change suggests that under the «business as usual scenario» − whereby no steps are taken to address climate change, and the expanding the use of coal, oil and natural gas dumps ever greater quantities carbon dioxide in the atmosphere − then such conditions could occur once every decade or so before 2100.

However, when China has made it clear that they plan to cap coal use at 4 billion tons, you know that the business as usual scenario isn't going to happen.

Arctic Currents Weaken or Stop With Double CO2 Levels What they found was that under a business as usual scenario, with CO2 levels doubling by 2070, the Transpolar Drift stops and other Arctic currents weaken due to, among other factors, melting of sea ice and changed wind patterns in a warmer world.

If some policy maker (who could well be a British treasury official) thinks that the Business as Usual scenario is too pessimistic (read, too optimistic regarding developing world economic growth), he or she is free to choose one of the lower emission scenarios, of which there are many.

In the business as usual scenario for the GHG emissions per barrel of bitumen, the total oil sand GHG emissions until 2020 are as follows: (Herweyer 2007).

Dr. John Nielsen - Gammon: I agree that RCP 8.5 can correspond to a business as usual scenario, but not «the» business as usual scenario or even a central business as usual scenario.

This NASA visualization is based on the latest IPCC report, and uses the business as usual scenario, where carbon dioxide concentrations rise to 936 parts per million — more than double today's levels of 400 parts per million — by the year 2100.

With the necessary level of support, as detailed in the INDC, Indonesia will reduce emissions by 41 % against the business as usual scenario by 2030.

US emissions have risen approximately 15 % since 1990, so let's assume in a business as usual scenario, they will continue to rise at that rate.

It has become more important than ever for scientists, their allies, and public officials to speak out in no uncertain terms about the risks we face under a business as usual scenario.

During the next 40 years, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in a business as usual scenario will produce changes to river flow.

Quirke: In one of your posts, you mentioned that your best estimate for warming under a business as usual scenario — which I guess is unsuccessful mitigation and somewhere between the IPCC's RCP 6.5 and 8.5 emissions scenarios — is 3 °C by 2100.

It is shown that for the «A2» business as usual scenario, every model exhibits an increase in the eddy length scale in the future compared with the simulation of 20th Century climate.

The study, which will be published on May 7 in Nature Climate Change, predicts that under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 emissions scenario, better known as the «business as usual scenario,» Marine Protected Areas will warm by 2.8 degrees Celsius (or 5 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100.

Not exact matches

Under a «business as usual» scenario in which past trends continue, the expected temperature increase in 2100 is 4.2 degrees Celsius (7.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

The analysis presented in the companion technical report published with our Clean Economy and Jobs Plan also clearly compares job growth relative to a business - as - usual scenario.

I expect neither of these to be true for long, but as usual, we'll respond to the evidence as it unfolds - without the need to forecast any particular scenario.

Second scenario is we suffer crushing defeat first leg and we win second leg with impressive footbal, but still out on goal difference (as usual) Third scenario we trash them both legs and than bottle it in the final.

(In a «business as usual» scenario, I think Jackson would have spent most of this season in the G - League).

As the parties gather for their autumn conferences this year, they'll know their potential worst - and best - case scenarios are much further apart than usual.

There's a 50 percent chance that temperatures will rise 4 degrees Celsius under a business - as - usual scenario

They used modeling to analyze a «business - as - usual» scenario, as well as 25 %, 75 % and 100 % reductions in agricultural nitrogen levels.

He cited several studies showing that a large number of species on the planet would become extinct in a «business as usual» global warming scenario.

The model compares and contrasts two main paths that China's energy consumption could take: One, which the paper calls the «Continued Effort» scenario, is a business - as - usual trajectory.

The model produces different jobs and growth projections for a business - as - usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.