In reporting
asset class returns for 2012, we wondered how long REITs can keep rocketing up.
As I noted in an earlier post (See
Asset Class Returns for 2009), Canadian REITs were red - hot last year, posting a total return of 55.3 %.
If you are interested in
asset class returns for previous years, Norbert Schlenker of Libra Investments maintains a spreadsheet of total returns for various asset classes going back to 1970.
As I noted in an earlier post (See
Asset Class Returns for 2009), Canadian REITs were red - hot last year, posting a total return of 55.3 %.
Not exact matches
Private firms like Amur have proliferated in the past few years, which is hardly a surprise, given that Canada's stubbornly low interest rates have pushed investors into alternative
asset classes, and residential real estate has generated stunning
returns for investors and homeowners alike.
CPPIB says farmland is an «attractive
asset class»
for the board because it delivers historically «stable, risk - adjusted
returns» as demand
for agricultural products continue to grow.
Yields on the securities have climbed to their highest levels in six years, and total
returns were negative 2.6 percent
for the first two months of 2018, making
for the worst start of a year
for the
asset class since 1981.
Fixed - income investors should be realistic in expecting this to be a year of relatively low
returns across
asset classes in general — a year in which small ball becomes much more important than swinging
for the fences.
«Stocks certainly look more attractive than bonds, but the case
for stocks versus other
asset classes is less clear... «So while
returns may compress from the outsized gains we have seen over the last several years, we remain constructive on equities.
The logic is straightforward: When interest rates are rising, there will be wider dispersion of
returns across different
asset classes, thus creating more trading opportunities
for the alpha - capturing hedge fund managers.
Based on modern portfolio theory and the efficient frontier,
return is maximized
for a given level of risk through
asset class diversification.
However, within a given portfolio, an investor can maximize
return for a given level of risk by diversifying among several uncorrelated
asset classes.
It'd be hard
for any fixed income
asset class to match the 2016 performance of the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid High Yield Index, which
returned 15.31 % (source: Bloomberg).
Every year, a quantitative group within Franklin Templeton Multi-
Asset Solutions reviews the data and themes driving capital markets in order to build
asset return expectations
for different
asset classes for the next five to 10 years.
While there is no such thing as «the right amount» when it comes to cash or any other
asset class, investors need to consider both their
return objectives and risk tolerance when making allocation decisions that are right
for them.
I believe you think we are heading
for a long period of low
returns, but still, with such a long investment horizon ahead of you, don't you think it could make sense to be more exposed to public equities, maybe in passive index funds, and trust the long term wealth building power of that
asset class without so much attention to continuous portfolio rebalancing trying to anticipate short term
returns?
I'm shooting
for a 8 % — 15 %
return on my investments as real estate is my favorite
asset class to build long - term wealth.
For the rest, a better approach may be seeking more modest
returns with lower volatility, via a focus on portfolio construction, risk exposures and less traditional
asset classes.
Total
returns were muted
for most fixed income
asset classes thus far this year.
While investors should never seek median
returns in any
asset class, the hard truth is that the pooled, net
returns for the entire venture
asset class have outperformed when compared to other investment opportunities.
These trends have accelerated in the current decade and are fueling burgeoning interest in new paradigms in venture capital that better align the interests of investors and fund managers and that provide the potential
for outsized investment
returns for which the
asset class is known.
Before the end of April, when the market started its gut - wrenching descent, «the combination of
return generation and risk diversification was part of a broader virtuous circle
for fixed income, which also included significant inflows to the
asset class and direct support from central banks,» El - Erian writes at the start of his viewpoint, noting that in addition to delivering solid
returns with lower volatility relative to stocks, the inclusion of fixed income in diversified
asset allocations also helped to reduce overall portfolio risk.
The lack of liquidity and higher leveraging of investments via crowdfunding platforms relative to REITs makes them much riskier, yet their incrementally higher promised
returns and incrementally lower implied correlations with other
asset classes don't seem to compensate
for the added downsides.
First, per the findings of «
Asset Class Diversification Effectiveness Factors», we measure the average monthly
return for DBV and the average pairwise correlation of DBV monthly
returns with the monthly
returns of the above
assets.
In their October 2017 paper entitled «Value Timing: Risk and
Return Across
Asset Classes», Fahiz Baba Yara, Martijn Boons and Andrea Tamoni examine the power of value spreads to predict
returns for individual U.S. equities, global stock indexes, global government bonds, commodities and currencies.
Using adjusted monthly
returns for DBV and the above nine
asset class proxies from September 2006 (first
return available
for DBV) through April 2013 (79 monthly
returns), we find that: Keep Reading
For all
asset classes (but focusing on currencies), they define bad market conditions as months when the excess
return on the broad value - weighted U.S. stock market is less than 1.0 standard deviation below its sample period average.
For investors, the plot thickens: Across the globe, «
returns across
asset classes have been unusually high relative to their levels of volatility,» says Morgan Stanley Global Strategist Andrew Sheets.
Major
Asset Classes with Positive Total
Returns US Reits — 2.62 % US Large Caps (SP500)-- 2.2 % Munis (3 yr)-- 1.16 % Emerging Market Bonds — 1.08 % US Bonds — 0.76 % Cash — 0.02 % Unfortunately, 2015 was not a great year
for diversified portfolios.
The
return assumptions are based on hypothetical rates of
return of securities indices, which serve as proxies
for the
asset classes.
For example, FIBR invests only in
asset classes that have historically had high risk - adjusted
returns.
Moreover, different forecasts may choose different indices as a proxy
for the same
asset class, thus influencing the
return of the
asset class.
When investors look
for less yield and more total
return (capital appreciation) in certain
asset classes, the equity sensitivity also plays an increasing role in absolute risk.
Value and small cap stocks are great diversifiers and
return enhancers as you can see from the All Stock
Asset Class, but be prepared
for large losses as well.
We see the potential
for EM stocks to again outperform in 2018 on rising profitability, higher valuations and investors
returning to the
asset class.
The reported
return of each of the sample portfolios was derived using what we, as of the date hereof, deemed to be the most appropriate available benchmark indices
for the
asset classes making up that portfolio.
Reflecting on this financial year just past, it may be helpful to look at the
returns of the major
asset classes over this year and then
for the last 20.
Our
return expectations across most
asset classes are at post-crisis lows, but we believe investors are getting compensated
for taking on risk in equities, selected credit / emerging markets (EM) and alternatives.
The potential of PV solar as an
asset class is especially attractive
for investors who are looking
for long - term, stable
returns.
Does fourth quarter global economic data set the stage
for asset class returns the next year?
Sure, there will be years here and there when the
return on equities is negative, but over the long run, equities have dominated other
asset classes and we see no reason
for that to change.
For time - series portfolios, they take an equal long (short) position in each
asset within a
class - strategy according to whether its expected
return is positive (negative).
They examine three measures of
return comovement
for each
asset class: average pairwise correlation, average beta relative to the world market and average idiosyncratic volatility.
Using monthly
returns for the
asset class proxies during January 1995 through October 2015 and longer samples to estimate ten - year
returns and
return correlations, they find that: Keep Reading
If the
returns for frequently and seldom traded art differ, there would be a disconnect between measured
returns and overall
asset class performance.
A subscriber, noting an article on slowing down intrinsic (absolute or time series) momentum
for SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) when its
return volatility is relatively high, suggested doing the same
for the Simple
Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS).
Using monthly total
returns in pounds sterling
for the selected
asset classes and values of the UK consumer price index during 1970 through 2015, they find that: Keep Reading
For an illiquid
asset class such as art, many individual
assets do not trade within commonly used
return measurement intervals (such as a year).
Investors appear more confident that equities are the best
asset class for delivering long - term
returns.
For cross-sectional portfolios, they rank assets within each class - strategy and form portfolios that are long (short) the equally weighted six assets with the highest (lowest) expected returns, rebalanced daily except for currency carry and value trad
For cross-sectional portfolios, they rank
assets within each
class - strategy and form portfolios that are long (short) the equally weighted six
assets with the highest (lowest) expected
returns, rebalanced daily except
for currency carry and value trad
for currency carry and value trades.