Further estimates of internal variability can be produced from long control simulations with climate models... Expert judgments or multi-model techniques may be used to incorporate as far as possible the range of variability in climate models and to
assign uncertainty levels, confidence in which will need to be assessed.»
But the first issue here is: where is the logic in
assigning such a specific value and
uncertainty range to something that the IPCC declares to be associated to a * low *
level of scientific understanding?
The Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of
Uncertainties impose upon the lead authors to
assign subjective
levels of confidence to their findings: «The AR5 will rely on two metrics for communicating the degree of certainty in key findings: 1 Confidence in the validity of a finding, based on the type, amount, quality, and consistency of evidence (e.g., mechanistic understanding, theory, data, models, expert judgment) and the degree of agreement.