Sentences with phrase «associated uncertainty»

It is essential to better understand the observed nonstationarity of the temperature - mortality relationship and the role of adaptation and its limits, both physiological and technological, and to address associated uncertainties in studies dealing with climate change projections of temperature - related mortality.

Much of Dr. Christy's testimony focused on our «ignorance» about the detailed workings on the global climate, and the large amount of associated uncertainty.

They want to make the last few days» double - dealing, backroom negotiations and associated uncertainty a fixture after every future general election.

«Storm surges globally lead to considerable loss of life and billions of dollars of damages each year, and yet we still have a limited understanding of the likelihood and associated uncertainties of these extreme events both today and in the future,» said Thomas Wahl, an assistant engineering professor in the University of Central Florida who led the study.

The flare rates are given below, together with the associated uncertainties, assuming that the flare rates follow a Poisson distribution (Table 1).

to project both how global average temperature will respond to future emissions and the associated uncertainty in those projections.

Under government plans, conversion to a sponsored academy (and the associated uncertainties around the benefits this will bring) will be seen as the last resort.

The Lyman et al (2010) results (illustrated in the OHC figure above), are the best estimate yet of OHC trends and the associated uncertainties in the product.

These conclusions are based upon proxy data such as the width and density of a tree ring, the isotopic composition of various elements in ice or the chemical composition of a growth band in corals, requiring analysis to derive temperature information and associated uncertainties.

Nevertheless, climate models use the available data to account for their influence, and their projections include the associated uncertainties.

Figure 1: Gillett et al. attributable temperature changes due to greenhouse gases (red), other anthropogenic effects (green), and natural effects (blue) over each of the periods indicated in °C, based on the standard regression over the 1851 — 2010 period, with their associated uncertainties (vertical black lines).

Every temperature value has an associated uncertainty which is calculated by propagating the measurement uncertainties, the ERA5 ensemble SDs, and the ERA5 representativeness uncertainty through the retrieval chain.

As many impacts studies focus on extreme events, the inference of small probabilities and the computation of their associated uncertainties quickly become challenging.

There is of course uncertainty associated with forcing from land use changes, but in the IPCC summary for policy makers, there is a bar graph which compares the estimated values for all kinds of forcing, along with their associated uncertainties.

«However, Fig. 15 and the associated uncertainties discussed in Section 3.4 show that long term estimates of time variable sea level acceleration in 203 year global reconstruction are significantly positive, which supports our previous finding (Jevrejeva et al., 2008a), that despite strong low frequency variability (larger than 60 years) the rate of sea level rise is increasing with time.»

to project both how global average temperature will respond to future emissions and the associated uncertainty in those projections.

By using continuous gridded datasets as inputs to the randomForest models, a wall - to - wall 30 m resolution map of aboveground woody biomass density across the tropics was produced as well as the associated uncertainty layer.

It is possible to construct a clear Fact about changes in global mean surface temperature changes and the associated uncertainties.

The 19 - page guide states clearly,» It is not possible to determine exactly how much the Earth will warm or exactly how the climate will change in the future, but careful estimates of potential changes and associated uncertainties have been made».

Ironically, their main argument against climate modeling is its associated uncertainty (mistaking it for knowing nothing, and ignoring that uncertainty goes both ways).

The first step is to asses the sensitivity of each tipping element to global warming and the associated uncertainties, including the confidence of the community in the argument for tipping element status.

What are the associated uncertainties?

Results from the expert elicitation are used to rank a subset of these tipping elements in terms of their sensitivity to global warming and the associated uncertainty.

However, Shakun et al. were quite explicit about the associated uncertainties throughout the paper (for example, see the uncertainty ranges depicted in Figures 1 and 4 above).

Given an ensemble of models from which an observable variable takes the mean value m 1 = 0 (without loss of generality) and standard deviation s 1, and an observation of this variable which takes the value m 2 with associated uncertainty s 2, the observation is initially at a normalised distance m 2 / s 1 from the ensemble mean.