Scenarios showing higher temperature increases by 2100, such as Climate Interactive INDC Strict,
assume no continued progress after the INDCs are achieved.
Not exact matches
Some scientists
continue the assumption of the rationality and goodness of man; with such confidence in
progress one does not need to be concerned about the uses that will be made of one's work, since it is
assumed that the end result of all discovery is beneficial.
Also, while I think that science and technological
progress and capitalism have done a pretty good job of avoiding permanent resource scarcity so far (eg, the Simon / Ehrlich bet), I don't think we should
assume that they can do so forever, or that economic growth will
continue at the current several percent rate forever - they might, betting against human ingenuity is always dangerous, but a good, robust strategy would take into account the possibility that there might be limits to growth even if it is difficult to pinpoint any one given constraint.
It also means we still have about 50 years of reserves in the ground,
assuming continued technological
progress.
The INDCs in the Paris Agreement,
assuming no further
progress with the pledges, would put the world on track for a global temperature increase of 3.5 °C (6.3 °F) above pre-industrial levels, with a range of uncertainty from 2.1 to 4.7 °C (3.7 to 8.4 °F), down from the 4.5 °C (8.1 °F) of warming expected if nations
continue business - as - usual.