Sentences with phrase «assumption about forcing»

Not exact matches

And knowing that government agencies that do budget projections are forced to make assumptions about an unknowable future, we shouldn't be too critical of them.
Over the next few weeks, each of them went around asking employees about their needs, researching past expenditures, testing the production scheduler's assumptions, checking with the various buyers, forcing Carrigan to defend his calculations.
While the assumptions about the future unemployment rate may be affected by policy, the fact is that slower U.S. population growth, coupled with an aging population, place substantial limits on labor force growth, which will leave U.S. GDP growth almost entirely dependent on changes in productivity.
Yes, Bigfoot would force us to modify our map of known species, but it wouldn't completely invalidate the Standard Model and all of our working assumptions about the observed properties of the natural world.
But the picture is so utterly lacking in any serious theological vision that all the audience hears is a mishmash of words gleaned from popular culture's assumptions about the man called Jesus — references to love, kingdom, power, sin, guilt, anger, forgiveness, not to mention that constant, most oppressive of all forces, the one who makes ultimate demands, God himself.
Not only did these converts encounter resistance within the Church, they were forced to rethink many of their own assumptions about the inscrutable ways of God.
I've also started listening to NPR's Invisibilia about the unseen or unconscious forces that shape us like our ideas, assumptions, beliefs, and emotions.
Invisibilia (Latin for all the invisible things) is about the invisible forces that control human behavior - ideas, beliefs, assumptions and emotions.
Police forces and authorities had generally made reasonable assumptions about the financial challenge ahead, and used these to work out their budgets for the next four years.
(When they try to knit together large - scale and small - scale forces, such as gravity and those that hold atoms together, the assumption of space - time leads to mathematical inconsistencies, a clue that something's amiss with current assumptions about the universe.)
Similarly, many studies that attempt to examine the co-variability between Earth's energy budget and temperature (such as in many of the pieces here at RC concerning the Spencer and Lindzen literature) are only as good as the assumptions made about base state of the atmosphere relative to which changes are measured, the «forcing» that is supposedly driving the changes (which are often just things like ENSO, and are irrelevant to radiative - induced changes that will be important for the future), and are limited by short and discontinuous data records.
I understand it's not an overtly direct extrapolation, but fundamentally it more or less still is if the underlying assumptions about the feedbacks are presumed to not only be correct but also operate proportionally the same to the forcing from the LGM as they do in reponse to future forcings in the current climate.
The disappearance of a ten - year - old boy forces Dexter to question his assumptions about Trinity, while Cody defends one of Dexter's lies and Masuka is unable to face what he witnessed on Thanksgiving.
And yes, I felt I could offer them something unique, something that challenged them and forced the audience to revisit assumptions they might have about Richard Gere's career, or Dennis Quaid's.
Because of that, I never gave the first Attack on Titan game the time of day, but after playing it's sequel, I realize just how wrong my assumptions about that game and Omega Force's talents were.
The problem: Participants are forced to make a lot of assumptions about their students because they're not given a chance to include those students in the process.
The city's reforms force us to question basic assumptions about what K 12 publicly funded education can and should look like.
With layers of visual metaphor, Mutu likes to force her viewers to question assumptions about race, gender, geography, history and beauty.
The Malaysian - born, London - based artist uses the overly precious setting of the gallery space to pull objects — cooking utensils, kitchen fittings, plastic tubs, sheets of jute, etc — out of their utilitarian context in such a way as to force viewers to think about them as discrete objects, or things in and of themselves, while in the process challenging the assumptions we make about their functionality and attendant concerns such as, for example, the social status of the person who might own such an object, its role in their lives and that relation in respect to one's own style of living.
Combining the scientific with the arbitrary, at times juxtaposing the two in order to force the viewer to question their assumptions about rules in the natural and formulaic world, Abdul - Aziz is methodical in her explorations.
Although nearly one hundred years have passed since the birth of Dada in Zurich and much has changed in terms of the initial purpose of the movement (which was founded to diminish social pretensions, ridicule the human situation, and force audience self - awareness by attacking their common assumptions about art), there are contemporary artists, like Boller, who employ similar forms, gestures and attitudes towards materials which like a steady heart seem to keep the beat of the movement alive.
Presumably the water vapour feedback in models is dealt with by determining / estimating / calculating the radiative forcing from water vapour and then making some assumption about the water vapour response to atmospheric warming (e.g. assuming constant relative humidity).
[UPDATE, 2:30 p.m.:] One other thing to note about this paper, as Dot Earth contributor George Mobus just pointed out in an email, is that it shows scientists» willingness to keep testing their assumptions and pushing to refine understanding of the many forces influencing conditions on the planet.
«A plausible description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key relationships and driving forces (eg, rate of technology changes, prices).
Steve, all praise to you and your work, but you are correct in your assumption about your readers thinking that tree rings and temperatures are a forced marriage with strange offsprigs of little use in climate change analyses.
More likely, the solar - astronomical forcings have been misinterpreted by the IPCC and by the climate models given the fact that those models made specific assumptions about solar forcings that are quite reductive and contradicted by alternative solar proposals also available in the scientific literature but ignored.
You seem to be saying that it doesnâ $ ™ t matter if the assumptions about driving forces are unsound as long as the emission rates themselves are plausible.
It is about a third of the increase in forcing on the assumptions used above, but will vary with different assumptions.
3 - These assumptions themselves are based on assumptions (that internal forcings have no influence and that forcing is external and that we understand the effects this will have - inc. climate sensitivity) 4 - THESE assumptions are based on the assumption that we know enough about the system to make these sort of judgements.
The majority of people actively doing something about climate are aware that the climate issue forces one to think more fluidly about a lot of things and question one's own assumptions.
Differences in future atmospheric burdens and radiative forcing for aerosols are dominated by divergent assumptions about emissions from South and East Asia.
The governing assumption in the vast majority of GCM / climate studies is that natural variability is a) small, b) integrates to zero over time and therefore its un interesting when it comes to answering the questions we care about: How much warming will human forcing cause.
Is there a consistent assumption about unforced variability and naturally forced variability that works for both?
Scenario - A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships.
Point 8 might best say «can plausibly be explained» since one needs to make assumptions about some of the forcings.
Again, I want to point out that these aren't my assumptions, they're not made up out of whole cloth by some denialist, these are the assumptions which the very scientists who tell us about climate change themselves think are the driving forces and likely outcomes.
In these runs, however, the difference between the high - and low - end carbon budgets is largely due to varying assumptions about mitigation of non-CO2 forcing on climate change.
Scenarios provide plausible, albeit simplified, descriptions of how the future may develop, based on a coherent set of assumptions about key driving forces.
If you want to generate a pdf of the resulting Calendar Date given the RC Age measurement, you are forced to make some assumption about «weighting» these results.
All that aside, we are talking about the output of a complex non linear system, the worst assumption you can make about such systems is that the output will be a linear response to the forcing function.
It also depends on what assumptions you make about how effective carbon - emissions control is; Lenton and Vaughan calculate all the forcings in terms of what extra relief the carbon - dioxide drawdown provides in a world that is already making serious cuts in emissions).
These findings are not sensitive to a wide range of assumptions, including the time series used to measure temperature, the omission of black carbon and stratospheric water vapor, and uncertainty about anthropogenic sulfur emissions and its effect on radiative forcing (SI Appendix: Sections 2.4 — 7).
These optical depths can be used in conjunction with assumptions about aerosol radiative properties to calculate the direct forcing.
As noted previously, assumptions about non-CO2 emissions are extremely important, and yet the role and dynamics of non-CO2 gases and other forcings (e.g., black carbon and sulfate aerosols) are complex and often confusing.
Things like assumptions about linearity (which means more or less, they make the mistake of assuming that all forcings and feedbacks operate at similar ratios and strengths when the planet is an iceball as they do when Earth hits a rare warm phase).
Thus, there seem to be a lot of assumptions about ocean heat uptake which lead to the unsupported conclusion that there is «rapid equilibration of the climate system to applied forcings».
What I wish he would do - instead of making a priori assumptions about the value of ethanol for our energy policy - is put a task force together consisting of opponents and proponents - and let them document the pros and cons around all of the sticking points.
All groups otherwise share the same assumptions about the main driving forces.
In order to define future radiative forcings fully, it is necessary to make assumptions about how the emissions or concentrations of the other gases may change in the future.
Remember that the scientists believe their models and their assumptions about a strong CO2 effect, so they have modeled the non-anthropogenic effect by running their models, tuning them to historical actuals, and then backing out the anthropogenic forcings to see what is left.
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