Sentences with phrase «assumptions about economic growth»

For one thing, as I've said before, the economic models from which IPCC and others draw these numbers are just this side of wild guesses, based on assumptions about economic growth, resource prices, and technological development decades in the future.

Economic projections decades into the future can fluctuate dramatically in response to small changes in assumptions about economic growth, demographic predictions or technological changes.

Not exact matches

Just as important, at a time when fears over China's slowing economy are widespread and there's evidence of retail saturation in the country's major metropolitan areas, nearly half of survey participants said they expect to be better off financially in the next 12 months — and they are eager to spend, contrary to gloomy assumptions about the drag of sluggish economic growth on consumer sentiment.

Translating the intensity target into emissions requires assumptions about the path of Chinese economic growth.

For each category of emissions, an RCP contains a set of starting values and the estimated emissions up to 2100, based on assumptions about economic activity, energy sources, population growth and other socio - economic factors.

Which is something of a body blow to those telling us that we must cease economic growth if calamity is to be averted: the very assumptions built into the whole proof that climate change is something we should worry about say exactly the opposite.

The current IPCC consensus forecast is that, under fairly reasonable assumptions for world population and economic growth, global temperatures will rise by about 30C by the year 2100.

All such projections involve assumptions about the future that can not be tested, so the authors spread their bets: they considered a range of scenarios involving crude population growth, levels of economic growth with time, and a series of predictions of sea level rise, as icecaps and glaciers melt, and as the oceans warm and expand according to predictable physical laws.

Using assumptions about future population, economic growth, trading conditions and technological progress, the trade model estimated plausible prices of food commodities on the international market given supply as defined by the production estimates.

Because the models have been built to test man's possible impact on the climate via greenhouse gas emissions, they begin with an econometric forecast of world economic growth, and, based upon assumptions about fuel sources and efficiencies, they convert this economic growth into emissions forecasts.

Uncertainty about the baseline is associated with assumptions adopted for rates of technological change and economic growth, and future prices of fossil fuels.