Not exact matches
The
assumption of high dividend
growth existing only in case
of sound profit
growth seems plausible.
O'Neil said he's skeptical about the
assumptions that a Trump agenda
of increased government spending and tax cuts will be fully enacted and lead to faster
growth,
higher inflation and bigger budget deficits.
Higher growth rates are not impossible,
of course, but to get the arithmetic to work for me it would take some fairly implausible
assumptions — mainly that Beijing engineers the transfer
of 2 - 3 %
of GDP every year from the state sector to the household sector — for China to achieve
growth rates anywhere near 6 % for the next decade.
I based my
growth expectations on what I think were conservative estimates
of consumption
growth and the
growth in productive investment (with which the reported data is currently consistent, although do not prove my
assumptions one way or the other), but I always pointed out that as long as credit
growth accelerated, the
growth in non-productive investment would remain
high, in which case reported GDP would also remain
high for much longer.
«The Russian budget now is including $ 100 per barrel for the next three years and some more optimistic
assumptions on economic
growth, which are probably over-optimistic,» Guriev, who is currently a professor
of Economics at Sciences Po, a French public research and
higher education institution, told CNBC at the UBS European Conference in London.
We need to understand the
assumptions regarding future
growth in passenger numbers, and hence, future capacity needs, if we are to consider transferring passengers from the most profitable services on existing routes to the
high speed line, the economics
of the other lines will be degraded.
However, in the spirit
of Chairman Smith's request, this report analyzes the Clean Power Plan in the context
of the AEO2015
High Economic
Growth and High Oil and Gas Resource cases as well as the Reference case in order to examine indicators of the proposed rule's impacts on energy markets under varying assumptions regarding economic growth, electricity demand, and fuel p
Growth and
High Oil and Gas Resource cases as well as the Reference case in order to examine indicators
of the proposed rule's impacts on energy markets under varying
assumptions regarding economic
growth, electricity demand, and fuel p
growth, electricity demand, and fuel prices.
Using the UN's «medium fertility» population
growth rate projection and the assumed
higher per capita carbon footprint plus the
assumption that 50 %
of the emitted CO2 will «remain» in the atmosphere, we arrive at an estimated atmospheric CO2 concentration
of 640 ppmv by 2100.
The exposed population could grow by 3 million between 2000 and 2030 and an additional 1.2 million by 2060 to reach 32.4 million under scenario D. Scenario D proved to be the
highest - end -
of -
growth scenario for «richer economies», which is due to the underlying
assumptions made in the scenarios (see Table 1).
By 2060, the LECZ population is likely to approach 1.4 billion people (534 people / km2) under the
highest - end
growth assumption, which would be 12 %
of the world's population
of 11.3 billion (scenario C).
What is more, in the small print describing the
assumptions of the «representative concentration pathways», it admits that the top
of the range will only be reached if sensitivity to carbon dioxide is
high (which is doubtful); if world population
growth re-accelerates (which is unlikely); if carbon dioxide absorption by the oceans slows down (which is improbable); and if the world economy goes in a very odd direction, giving up gas but increasing coal use tenfold (which is implausible).
The
assumption (and that is all it is) that «The only real impact it would have is to limit the
growth of our standard
of living» is not justified, and allmost certainly false if
high end projections
of temperature increase by the end
of this century are realized (or if
high end projections
of economic impacts are realized with central estimates
of temperature increase).