The first attempt
at a consensus estimate of the equilibrium sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations appeared in 1979, in the U.S. National Research Council report of J.G. Charney and associates.
Not exact matches
While the NRF no longer provides an
estimate in dollar amounts of how the key weekend went, the
consensus among analysts and economists is that the 2017 holiday season got off to a great start for the retail sector
at large.
Tableau reported revenue
at $ 200 million versus an expectation of $ 201 million, according to Thomson Reuters
consensus estimates.
That's short of analyst targets, which a FactSet
consensus estimate pegged
at $ 1.8 billion.
Timmer: Yeah, so it's interesting because generally the earnings
estimates, if you look
at the aggregated
consensus numbers, they tend to start high and drift lower.
He also expects to see EPS come in
at $ 0.32, which is right around
consensus estimates.
However, its revenue was a bit light, coming in
at $ 206 million, versus expectations for $ 214 million, according to a
consensus estimate from Thomson Reuters.
Meanwhile, Google could report $ 16.53 billion in revenue, below the $ 16.6 billion
consensus estimate, said analysts
at Bernstein Research.
Yet, it still trades
at 38X this year's
consensus estimates (30 X 2019
consensus); great food, great concept, great growth story, just expensive.
Similarly, looking
at it from an enterprise value basis, assuming a free cash flow margin of 25 % for FY18 (
consensus estimates are
at 24 %) on sales growth of 12 % (in - line with
consensus) along with a EV / FCF multiple of 11x (in - line with the peak multiple leading up to the iPhone 6 cycle), we come up with a stock value in the mid $ 160s as well.
For the March interim, share net came in
at $ 2.73, topping our $ 2.69
estimate and Wall Street's
consensus view of $ 2.67, and rising 30 % above the year - earlier tally.
The week's most anticipated economic release came out in pre-market trading today, and the US CPI perfectly matched the
consensus estimate at a monthly rate of...
A real - time GDP tracker from the Atlanta Fed suggests that the economy only expanded
at a 1 percent annualized rate in the third quarter, well below the current
consensus estimate of 2.5 percent.
In its earning statement Monday, the video - on - demand company reported that second - quarter revenue came in
at $ 2.79 billion versus $ 2.76 billion expected by a Thomson Reuters
consensus estimate.
Of course, a new
consensus that Canada's productivity is actually better than previously
estimated shouldn't discourage the adoption of measures in government and industry targeted
at improving productivity growth.
At $ 2.73 a share, earnings were five cents higher than the
consensus estimate.
This scenario assumes ACXM can grow revenue by
consensus estimates in EY1 and EY2, and grow revenue each year thereafter
at the same level as the EY2
estimates.
Provided that the
estimates entered on the forecast page are based on market
consensus projections, the market - implied GAP represents the forecast horizon needed in a DCF model to arrive
at a value equal to the current market price.
«Although the
consensus acknowledges the arrival of the millennial generation (those born 1981 - 2000) into the workforce, few appreciate the sheer size of this wave, which is
estimated at 83 million and doesn't really tail off even as we enter «Generation Z,»» says Shalett.
Regarding economic data, the positive tone that has been in place for several months continued, with third - quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures coming in ahead of
consensus estimates at an annualized rate of 3 %, marking the first increase of
at least 3 % in consecutive quarters since 2014.
In terms of headline numbers, revenues for the period that ended in July topped Wall Street
at $ 467 million, compared to
estimates of $ 464 million, and earnings that came in
at $ 0.36 a share, which met
consensus.
Sanderson Farms profit fell well short of expectations, coming in
at $ 3.20 a share versus the
consensus estimate of $ 3.62 a share.
At $ 4.21 a share, earnings topped the
consensus estimate of sell - side analysts of $ 3.61.
Broader inflation data painted a similar picture: core consumer price growth for July was 0.1 % month - on - month — falling short of
consensus estimates and marking the fourth consecutive monthly rise of 0.1 % — to leave the annual rate unchanged
at 1.7 %.
Square reported its adjusted revenue for 2Q16
at $ 171 million, well ahead of the
estimate and the
consensus.
Adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter came in
at $ 0.17, whereas
consensus estimates compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence had Freeport's earnings coming in
at $ 0.20 per share.
Data from these many and varied sources results in different climate projections; hence, the need arises to combine information across data sets to arrive
at a
consensus regarding future climate
estimates.
There seems to be no
consensus on the answer, although a range of
estimates were presented
at a conference called last month * by a key federal watchdog agency to announce a $ 1 million grants program to investigate the prevalence of fraud, data fabrication, plagiarism, and other questionable practices in science.
As of July 12, the S&P 500 is trading
at 15.9 times trailing 12 - month operating results, including the June 2013 EPS results projected by Capital IQ
consensus estimates.
EBITDA beat by a significant degree
at $ 37 million versus the $ 18 million
consensus estimates.
Though we use a variety of methods, the
consensus estimate is
at about 5.6 % annually.
Morningstar Inc. («MORN» — $ 65.97) trades
at 3.4 times 2015
consensus revenue
estimate.
Trading
at 12x
consensus earnings
estimates for 2017, the institution is trading
at a discount to peers.
An optimistic view toward first quarter earnings was the driving factor behind much of these gains as
consensus estimates indicated S&P 500 companies were expected to grow earnings
at greater than 17.0 % — the highest level since 2011.
While
consensus estimates were not broadly trimmed by analysts, the softer than expected smart phone sales
at Apple and Samsung already reported had already resulted in reduced expectations from Qualcomm by the Street.
FB shares currently trade
at 69.9 x FY13 and 51.9 x FY14
consensus earnings
estimates.
Based on those
consensus estimates and assuming that Southern Company would trade
at a reasonable P / E ratio of 15 out to fiscal year - end 2018, I came up with a total annual rate of return expectation of 5.22 %.
Yet
consensus estimates peg 2009 aggregate operating earnings for companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 - stock index
at about $ 94 a share, according to Thomson Reuters.
Other ways that the standard or «
consensus» calculations bias the climate sensitivity upward also exist and are also not negligible (or
at least there is no scientific case that they are negligible), but for now it is sufficient to think about, and try to
estimate, the magnitude of the increase in H2O and latent heat flow from surface to upper troposphere.
The obvious answer (from someone who is indeed receptive to arguments for lower - than -
consensus climate sensitivities) is that it was on a par with recent hot years because temperatures
at US latitudes of the globe really weren't as much cooler in the 1930s / 1940s (compared to the present) than GISS / Hadley's best
estimates (from often sketchy global coverage) suggest.
I've done a fair amount of calculations trying to
estimate this bias, and in the case of paleoclimate 3C
estimates, an upward of
at least 0.5 C due to this bias is not unreasonable, especially when the «
consensus» position is to basically ignore milankovitch cycles when explaining temperature changes over the pleistocene, even though milankovitch cycles are the ultimate causes of those temperature changes.
This warming can not have been caused by the sun, you see, because as numerous «
consensus» scientists have noted, solar activity was not going up over this period, but only persisted
at a high level (whether extraordinarily high, as Usoskin
estimates, or merely high, as Muscheler
estimates).
Clearly, existing GMST
estimates at «climate scale» are not long enough because they still show ENSO, AMO and PDO «oscillations», as witnessed by
consensus explanations (note plural and speculative) of the pause.
Subjects were asked to provide an
estimate (0 % — 100 %) of the perceived level of scientific
consensus on human - caused climate change
at both the beginning (pre-test) and
at the end of the survey (post-test).
Last summer, climate communication researchers
at George Mason University and Yale University published a commentary urging the science community to reiterate the scientific
consensus on climate change — that 97 percent of scientists support the conclusion that climate change is real, and humans are causing it — citing studies showing that exposing individuals to this message can increase their
estimates of the scientific
consensus by 10 to 20 percent.
There is a
consensus process
at IPCC aimed
at getting actionable
estimates of this sort of likelihood, but it is certainly not above criticism.
However, there is not yet
consensus on the best approach to
estimate the drift correction
at global and
at regional scales.
fewer than half of them
estimated the
consensus at over 80 percent — and one in five simply (but sadly) answered, «I don't know.»
Based on Nelder's findings
at the conference, he noted that there was a strong
consensus among experts (not Wall Street analysts and oil - happy bloggers), that the global peak of production is
estimated to occur between 2010 and 2013.
... While our FY18 iPhone unit
estimate is relatively in - line (GSe 243mn vs.
consensus at 242mn), we see significant upside in iPhone ASPs [average selling prices].»