Wall Street looks
at bond spreads and P / Es.
Not exact matches
Bond prices made a high for the year on Tuesday, and credit
spreads are
at year low's.
Type 3: The value -
at - risk (VAR) shock in Japan in 2003 occurred when fears
spread that the Bank of Japan, which was already doing QE before it was called QE, would taper its purchases of Japanese Government
Bonds.
For the uninitiated, a
bond ladder is a way to
spread out interest rate risk by buying
bonds that mature
at different times.
The
spread between Australian and US
bond yields has contracted from nearly 450 basis points
at the beginning of the 1990s to an average of about 25 basis points more recently.
Credit
spreads have tightened globally, and U.S. credit
spreads are
at the narrow end of their 17 - year range against government
bonds — even after a recent widening.
That decline in yields chipped away
at the
spread between 2 - year Treasuries US2YT = RR, which yield 2.282 percent, and longer - term
bonds.
What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks in the world, along with all the land and other assets for sale, in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging
at less than 1 % interest cost?
-- Goethe What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks in the world, along with all the land and other assets for sale, in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging
at less than 1 % interest cost?
The BofA Merrill Lynch high - yield index is trading
at roughly 600 basis points versus government
bonds, but if energy, metals and mining is excluded, it's about 80 basis points less in terms of
spread.
Here, we take a look
at the more recent June «
Bond Market Group» minutes; the main concern was that, despite a functioning JGB market, there has been a notable increase in bid - ask
spreads and general decrease in liquidity since the start of aggressive «QQE» last October.
«Should the Portuguese situation continue to deteriorate, risk aversion contagion could quickly
spread to other euro zone member states»
bonds and other asset classes,» Adrian Miller, director of fixed - income strategy
at GMP Securities LLC in New York, wrote in a note to clients.
The resulting increase in corporate
bond issuance has pushed up swap
spreads, with the
spread on US 10 - year (bank / government) swaps, for example, recently
at its highest level for several years (Graph 7).
After providing double - digit returns for many years, REITs are now well off the previous highs and trade
at an estimated 15 % discount to net asset value (Source: TD Securities) and yielding an average of 7 %, a
spread of 2.75 % over 10 - year
bonds.
Investors will also look
at credit
spreads for clues as to where the
bond and other markets may be headed.
This led to quite a sharp narrowing in the
spread in
bond yields between the two countries, from around 130 basis points
at the time of the previous Statement to a low of 85 basis points in early December.
There is a common misconception that looking
at credit
spreads gives you a complete picture of the credit risk of one
bond compared to another.
If you are looking
at a 10 year corporate
bond which is yielding 5 % for example, and
at the same time the 10 Year treasury
bond is yielding 2 %, then the credit
spread is 300 basis points (3 %).
By looking
at how the credit
spread for a category of
bonds is changing, you can get an idea of how «cheap» (wide credit
spread) or «expensive» (tight credit
spread) the market for those
bonds is related to historical credit
spreads.
As you can see the credit
spread for JCPenney
Bonds at 769 basis points is much «wider» than the spread for Exxon Mobile bonds at 119 basis points (a much «tighter» or «narrow» spread than JCPe
Bonds at 769 basis points is much «wider» than the
spread for Exxon Mobile
bonds at 119 basis points (a much «tighter» or «narrow» spread than JCPe
bonds at 119 basis points (a much «tighter» or «narrow»
spread than JCPenny).
European
bond markets initially welcomed the deal made
at the July summit, although the narrowing of
spreads for peripheral
bonds over German Bunds was relatively muted, perhaps signaling a measure of skepticism among investors about the ability of the eurozone to survive in the absence of a formal mechanism that ensures the sharing of liabilities among member states.
In addition to looking
at credit
spreads for individual
bonds, investors will also look
at the credit
spread of different categories of
bonds.
Investors typically evaluate corporate
bonds by looking
at their yield advantage, or «yield
spread,» relative to U.S. Treasuries.
U.S. high - yield
bond spreads are 34 basis points, or hundredths of a percentage point, tighter; cover
spreads are 21 basis points tighter, and emerging - market credit excess returns are
at 3.6 %.
The
spread between Australian 10 - year
bond yields and comparable US yields narrowed from 250 basis points a year ago to about 100 basis points
at present (Graph 30).
As a result, the current
spread between Australian and US 10 - year
bond yields, of around 115 basis points, is much the same as
at the time of the last Statement.
With the cash rate up by 50 basis points in late 2003 and yields on 10 - year
bonds down a little over recent months, the
spread has narrowed since early November to stand
at around 50 basis points (Graph 67).
The healthy state of corporate balance sheets overall is also apparent in corporate
bond spreads, which remain
at relatively low levels.
«For the most part, investors can buy green
bonds at similar
spread levels to conventional
bonds after adjusting for sector, curve and currency,» says Tang.
A liquid
bond ETF tends to trade
at a
spread of 1 basis point (Source: Bloomberg, as of 6/12/2017).
Bond has obtained government grants and crafted a special curriculum
at his college to study multiple issues related to PFOA contamination, from its levels in local maple syrup to how far pollution plumes have
spread around various factories in the region.
On the heels of selling her swanky condo
at 41
Bond St., the ex-wife of former NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg has bought a two - bedroom
spread on the Upper West Side for $ 4.95 million.
The second and third
bonds were issued under the NDC in 2013 and 2014
at higher
spreads of 5.4 % and 5.72 % respectively.
In contrast, a
bond issued by a smaller company with weaker financial strength typically trades
at a higher
spread relative to Treasuries.
For example, if the five - year Treasury
bond is
at 5 % and the 30 - year Treasury
bond is
at 6 %, the yield
spread between the two debt instruments is 1 %.
For example, a
bond issued by a large, financially healthy company typically trades
at a relatively low
spread in relation to U.S. Treasuries.
If the 30 - year
bond is trading
at 6 %, then based on the historical yield
spread, the five - year should be trading
at around 1 %, making it very attractive
at its current yield of 5 %.
Less trading volume results in larger bid / ask
spreads, and thus
bond funds trade
at premiums and discounts to the actual value of the
bonds backing up the fund.
I learned from a dear friend of mine who manages high yield
at Dwight Asset Management (one of the largest fixed income management shops that you never heard of), that with high yield
bonds,
spreads over Treasuries aren't the most relevant measure for riskiness of the
bonds.
Fundamental
bond investors (like me) have been worried for a while, but usually it takes a few years of lending
at low
spreads before something breaks.
So,
at the time that the strategy needs the most help, option costs are high (or payouts are chintzy and lapse rates go up), and corporate
bond prcies sag due to wider
spreads.
I learned from a dear friend of mine who manages high yield
at Dwight Asset Management (one of the largest fixed income management shops that you never heard of), that with high yield
bonds,
spread...
2) More yield - seeking —
spreads on mortgage
bonds over Treasuries are
at a 17 - year low, and as I measure it, and all - time low.
At the same time, the long June 10 - year Treasury note / Short June 30 - year Treasury
Bond spread has closed in favour of the 10 - year note between February 8 and April 17 in 17 of the last 19 years!
Of note, the new Chinese muni
bonds were priced tight
at issuance and they continue to trade
at tight credit
spreads above the sovereign
bond yields.
The proximate cause of this sell - off is a reappraisal of risk in the credit markets, starting first
at subprime but now having
spread to the riskier parts of corporate credit, namely high - yield
bonds and loans to finance buy - outs.
I would have called, but there aren't any X Corp
bonds to buy
at levels you would have liked — the
bonds are
at least 0.30 % tighter in
spread terms than when I last called, and I'm not sure that I can produce
bonds here.
I look
at the
spreads offered for various classes of domestic
bond risk.
That loss can be taken
at maturity or it can be
spread out over the life of the
bond.
They can either switch to another five - year fixed rate preferred share security (with the rate being set
at the then five - year Canada
bond yield plus the initial
spread) or a five - year floating rate preferred share with the yield set
at the then 3 - month Treasury bill rate plus the initial
spread.