Not exact matches
Looking
at shifts
in Manley's winter
temperatures from year to year, he says, gives a good reading of important natural cycles that influence climate, such as
changes in ocean circulation like the North Atlantic Oscillation.
The research team compared the
temperature changes at Mt. Hunter with those from lower elevations
in Alaska and
in the Pacific
Ocean.
New research published today
in Nature Geoscience by Richard Zeebe, professor
at the University of Hawai'i — Mānoa School of
Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), and colleagues looks
at changes of Earth's
temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since the end of the age of the dinosaurs.
Tamsin Edwards, a climatologist
at the Open University
in the UK, says it is too early to tell, since
changes in the PDO can only be detected through statistical analysis of large amounts of data on
ocean surface
temperatures.
Rising
ocean water
temperatures and increasing levels of acidity — two symptoms of climate
change — are imperiling sea creatures
in unexpected ways: mussels are having trouble clinging to rocks, and the red rock shrimp's camouflage is being thwarted, according to presenters
at the AAAS Pacific Division annual meeting
at the University of San Diego
in June.
Starting
in the 3rd year of his 5 - year degree
at the University of Vigo, Ourense,
in Spain, Añel spent 4 hours a week
in Luis Gimeno's Group of Atmospheric and
Ocean Physics
at the university's Department of Applied Physics, computing climate
change quantifiers using simple parameters such as precipitation and air
temperature.
«The range of pH and
temperature that some organisms experience on a daily basis exceeds the
changes we expect to see
in the global
ocean by the end of the century,» notes Rivest, an assistant professor
at VIMS.
«Since oxygen concentrations
in the
ocean naturally vary depending on variations
in winds and
temperature at the surface, it's been challenging to attribute any deoxygenation to climate
change.
«
Changes in ocean conditions that affect fish stocks, such as
temperature and oxygen concentration, are strongly related to atmospheric warming and carbon emissions,» said author Thomas Frölicher, principal investigator
at the Nippon Foundation - Nereus Program and senior scientist
at ETH Zürich.
This is not only
in excellent agreement with the observed
temperature changes at the surface (blue stars), it also correctly reproduces the observed heat storage
in the
oceans — a strong indicator that the model's heat budget is correct.
In applying them, they found that a more realistic representation of the marine ecosystem helped the ocean to take up and store carbon at similar rates regardless of global changes in physical properties, like temperature, salinity and circulatio
In applying them, they found that a more realistic representation of the marine ecosystem helped the
ocean to take up and store carbon
at similar rates regardless of global
changes in physical properties, like temperature, salinity and circulatio
in physical properties, like
temperature, salinity and circulation.
With its mention of the
ocean and the pursuit to reduce global warming to well below 2, even 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial
temperatures, the agreement adopted by all 196 parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC)
in Paris on December 12, 2015, is appreciated by scientists present
at the negotiations.
Therefore they investigated Lophelia pertusa «s reactions to various aspects of climate
change in the laboratories
at GEOMAR:
ocean acidification, rising water
temperatures and a
change in food supply.
Changes in ocean temperature combined with the absorbtion of some of the excess atmospheric CO2 we're producing is killing coral everywhere, not just
at over-trafficked tourist sites.
One has to be careful to distinguish the extreme drop
in Greenland with the more moderated drop over Europe, but still, it is far from clear
at present that any real GCM, with the
ocean - atmosphere dynamics properly represented, yields a
temperature change of comparable magnitude to the YD.
If we knew
ocean heat uptake as well as we know atmospheric
temperature change, then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance
at the top of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication of how much warming is «
in the pipeline» given current greenhouse gas concentrations.
It is no coincidence that shifts
in ocean and atmospheric indices occur
at the same time as
changes in the trajectory of global surface
temperature.
Intuitively it seems to me that measuring the
temperature at a large number of points
in the
oceans is the most reliable way of assessing
temperature change.
I also used my implementation to break up a quick land response from a slow
ocean response to see if the
change in sign of the derived
temperature derivative coming
at a place where it is not intersecting the instantaneous
temperature might be explained by the derived
temperature being an average.
This is not only
in excellent agreement with the observed
temperature changes at the surface (blue stars), it also correctly reproduces the observed heat storage
in the
oceans — a strong indicator that the model's heat budget is correct.
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and
ocean in general, but significant
at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also significant (
in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity
in the crust and somewhat
in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core)
in parts of the Earth's interior)
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
The
change in radiation balance is more heating of the
oceans at one side (specifically high
in the subtropics, as expected), but more heat released
at higher altitudes, thus somewhere acting as a net negative feedback to higher sea surface
temperatures.
(8) Since
at least 1980
changes in global
temperature, and presumably especially southern
ocean temperature, appear to represent a major control on
changes in atmospheric CO2.»
Both are
at different time scales, where any (theoretical) influence of CO2 need to
change the
ocean temperatures over a sufficient long period (10 - 30 years), to be visible
in the statistics.
Nor does it seem a coincidence that shifts
in ocean and atmospheric indices occur
at the same time as
changes in the trajectory of global surface
temperature.
Sea surface
temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites
in considerable spatial detail and
at high frequency, is increasingly required for use
in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the
ocean, for assimilation into coupled
ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications
in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate
change detection.
It seems we are still
at a very early stage
in acquiring knowledge on the deep
oceans temperature changes.
My opinion expressed elsewhere is that almost all the
temperature changes we observe over periods of less than a century are caused by cyclical
changes in the rate of energy emission from the
oceans with the solar effect only providing a slow background trend of warming or cooling for several centuries
at a time.
Specifically, Trenberth must find mechanisms
in the
oceans that are characteristic of the
oceans but not caused by
changes in temperature or radiation
at the
ocean's surface.
Recent
changes in Pacific
Ocean temperatures have been comparable to the decline seen
at the end of the 1998 El Niño, although
temperatures remain warmer than
at the end of the most recent El Niño
in 2010.
The researchers suspect warmer
temperatures in the tropical Pacific
Ocean amplify warming
at high elevations
in the Arctic by
changing air circulation patterns.
And there are appreciable artifacts
in the record as a result of
changing soil moisture and thus
changing ratios of sensible and latent heat
at 2m from the ground — plausibly causing an increasing land /
ocean temperature divergence during periods of widespread drought.
To point out just a couple of things: —
oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time);
at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase
change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but
in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that
in last years land
temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but,
in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part
in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands»
temperatures are often measured
in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity
in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters»
temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities
temperature trends actually show an increase
in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live
in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI
in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but,
in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (
at least
in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough
in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
But given the time constants for heating (or cooling) the
oceans, there's
at least a half - century time lag between a large
change in forcing and a final
temperature equilibrium.
Oct 15, 2013 by ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies http://www.youtube.com/user/CoralCoE/videos Presentation given
at the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies 2013 Symposium: Coral Reefs
in the 21st Century ~ James Cook University,
in Townsville Australia by Professor Ove Hoegh Guldberg (21 mins Lecture) Global
Change Institute University of Queensland, Brisbane QLD 1) The AR5 IPCC Process 2) Recent
changes in the
Ocean 1950 - 2009 3) Projected
changes in temperature and other variables 4) Implications for Coral Reef Ecosystems
There are plenty of ways of looking
at the surface air
temperature record that all show no statistically significant
change in trend from earlier decades, so any study that concludes sensitivity is different just with the addition of the past decade must be automatically suspect, and that's not even taking into account the heat going into the
oceans.
Elsewhere on this site there is a graph of overall
ocean heat content which is building indicating that while the sst is decreasing slightly the overall
ocean is warming, It is likely that this overall
ocean warming which has nothing to do with
changes to the atmospheric
temperature because it is the sea surface and not the deep
ocean that is
in contact with the atmosphere is what is resulting
in the overall rise
in atmospheric CO2 concentration which is currenly increasing
at 2ppmv / year.
Spencer / Braswell and Lindzen / Choi look
at the relationship between
changes in ocean heat, cloud cover (directly affecting the amount of heat lost to space), and global surface
temperature over recent decades.
If you are implying that because the
ocean surface
temperature does remains stable
at 26.85 C there is no
change in OHC, then the long term effect is to pump heat into the atmosphere.
Recently, Willis (2010) used satellite observations of sea surface height and sensor buoy observations of velocity, salinity and
temperature of the Atlantic
Ocean at 41oN and found no significant
change in the AMOC strength between 2002 and 2009.
Both of the Nature Climate
Change studies used a combination of direct measurements of
temperature at various depths, a measurement of the altitude of the top of the
ocean (sea level) from highly accurate satellite instruments, and measures of the mass of the water
in the
ocean, from the GRAIL gravity research project.
«Professor Mojib Latif, (lead author of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)-RRB- from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences
at Kiel University
in Germany, has been looking
at the influence of cyclical
changes to
ocean currents and
temperatures in the Atlantic, a feature known as the North Atlantic Oscillation.
It is possible that the main reason why the time - integral of solar variability is of more importance to global
temperature change in the medium to long term than short - term solar - energy variability is that, over time, half of any net increase
in heat will accumulate
in the
oceans (the rest will radiate out to space), and the
oceans, being a little warmer, will maintain the atmosphere
at a warmer
temperature than it might otherwise have exhibited.
«Much of our confidence stems from the fact that our model does well
at predicting slow
changes in ocean heat transport and sea surface
temperature in the sub-polar North Atlantic, and these appear to impact the rate of sea ice loss.
Well, I was one of the first persons
in the blogosphere
at the time to evaluate that, because I compared the dip
in the
temperature of sampled water with the dip
in the
temperature of near - surface air measured on ships, and observed that approximately half or so of the dip was explainable by instrumentation
changes and the remainder by some other mechanism — probably a
change in internal
ocean dynamics (PDO, AMO, etc..)
22 Land areas are projected to warm more than the
oceans with the greatest warming
at high latitudes Annual mean
temperature change, 2071 to 2100 relative to 1990: Global Average
in 2085 = 3.1 o C
However, if the model doesn't contain mistakes,
at least I have provided more support for Hypothesis C — that the back radiation absorbed
in the very surface of the
ocean can
change the
temperature of the
ocean below, and demonstrated that Hypothesis B is less likely.
However, the uncertainty
in the reconstructed sea level is tens of metres and the uncertainty
in the Mg / Ca
temperature is sufficient to encompass the result from our δ18O prescription, which has comparable contributions of ice volume
change and deep
ocean temperature change at the Late Eocene glaciation of Antarctica.
Changing global
temperatures induce air circulation
changes as the air seeks to restore the sea surface / surface air
temperature equilibrium and
at the same time resolve
ocean induced variations
in the sun to sea / air to space equilibrium.
Scientific confidence of the occurrence of climate
change include, for example, that over
at least the last 50 years there have been increases
in the atmospheric concentration of CO2; increased nitrogen and soot (black carbon) deposition;
changes in the surface heat and moisture fluxes over land; increases
in lower tropospheric and upper
ocean temperatures and
ocean heat content; the elevation of sea level; and a large decrease
in summer Arctic sea ice coverage and a modest increase
in Antarctic sea ice coverage.