Sentences with phrase «at climate change predictions»

Not exact matches

Stefan Rahmstorf at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, and colleagues, compared the predictions made in the 2001 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change with the actual subsequent data.

To get some idea of what climate change will likely mean for the reefs, the World Heritage Centre asked coral experts at NOAA and elsewhere to produce what they claim is a first of its kind study «that scientifically quantifies the scale of the issue, makes a prediction of where the future lies, and indicates effects up to the level of individual sites,» says Fanny Douvere, marine program coordinator at the center.

Based on a peatland model developed at the University of York and latest climate change predictions, the researchers warn that by 2051 - 80 the dunlin could see a 50 % decline in numbers, with the golden plover down 30 % and the red grouse down by 15 %, all driven by declining abundance of the birds» crane fly prey.

By looking at the climate changes that took place thousands of years ago, we can improve predictions for future climate.

The impact of these results is wide - reaching, and Dr Pullen suggests that it may even change how we think about global climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.»

Scientists looked at modeled predictions of climate change and reproductive data from lesser prairie - chickens from 2001 - 2011 to determine how weather conditions affect reproductive success in the Southern High Plains.

This prediction emerges from a new study by Richard Zeebe at the University of Hawai'i who includes insights from episodes of climate change in the geologic past to inform projections of human - made future climate change.

Under future climate change predictions, different reefs on the GBR will lose their protective mechanism at different rates.

However, the general circulation models are, at present, timeconsuming and expensive to run, and, despite the known shortcomings of the one - dimensional models, most available predictions of climate change have been made using the simpler models.

The IPCC predictions of global warming imply that, at the very least, millions of people will die as a result of climate change, much like the casualty numbers in World Wars I and II.

While RealClimate has called into question the soundness of the paper's quite narrow conclusions of discrepancy between model predictions and measurements of the relative rate of warming of different levels of the atmosphere over the tropics, this paper is being touted by the deniers as showing that the models are wrong to predict any warming at all, and that predictions of future warming and climate change can be entirely discounted.

These are all things that climate change model should take into account to arrive at better predictions of the future, but the full effects of this nitrogen fertilization aren't yet entirely clear.

'' -LSB-...][T] here is no substantive basis for predictions of sizeable global warming due to observed increases in minor greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and chlorofluorocarbons,» Lindzen told a gathering at the Heartland Institute's International Conference on Climate Change.

This is dramatically worse than even the dire predictions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which predicts at least a 5 - degree Celsius increase by 2100 as its worst - case scenario.»

Most climate change predictions, when they incorporate population growth at all, have been based on the long - standing assumption that the planet's burden of humans will peak around 2050, and then begin a slow decline.

Phil Mote, director of the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute at Oregon State University, is skeptical of McPherson's predictions: «I've been connected to national and international assessments of the state of the science of climate change, and although my colleagues and I are generally very concerned about what challenges climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.Climate Change Research Institute at Oregon State University, is skeptical of McPherson's predictions: «I've been connected to national and international assessments of the state of the science of climate change, and although my colleagues and I are generally very concerned about what challenges climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.&Change Research Institute at Oregon State University, is skeptical of McPherson's predictions: «I've been connected to national and international assessments of the state of the science of climate change, and although my colleagues and I are generally very concerned about what challenges climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.climate change, and although my colleagues and I are generally very concerned about what challenges climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.&change, and although my colleagues and I are generally very concerned about what challenges climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.climate change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.&change is bringing to humankind, no expert that I have read has used language like «extinction of the human race.»

This, given the climate change requirements, and technology cost forecasts for wind and solar, the emergence of battery storage and home management systems, as well as solar thermal plus storage at utility scale, not to mention the fuel cost of coal and gas, and the financing risk attached to that, seems an extraordinary prediction.

Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate change detection.

Michael Mann is Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science at Pennsylvania State University and author of The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars, Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change, and just out in September, The Madhouse Effect, with The Washington Post editorial cartoonist Tom Toles.

Michael Mann is Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science at Pennsylvania State University and author of The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines and the recently updated and expanded Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change.

The goal of the Framework is to enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change and adaptation to climate change at all levels, through development and incorporation of science ‐ based climate information and prediction into planning, policy and practice.

Michael Mann, another prominent climate scientist, recently said of the unexpectedly sudden Atlantic slowdown, «This is yet another example of where observations suggest that climate model predictions may be too conservative when it comes to the pace at which certain aspects of climate change are proceeding.»

A look at the scientific evidence that supports the fact that climate change is occurring, as well as future predictions for the warming planet.

For instance, T. Palmer, a scientist at the European center for medium - range weather forecast, writes in the journal «Weather» that climate predictions using GCMs could be grossly misleading because the computer simulations may be unable to accurately predict long - term changes in the frequency of weather patterns.

Projections of these changes of risk using models in which changes in the background climate are incorporated, and applied using models that do a fair job at the short time scale (like high resolution weather prediction, or hydrological discharge, or...) is thus a viable procedure, and does yield added value.

Are skillful (value - added) regional and local multi-decadal predictions of changes in climate statistics for use by the water resource, food, energy, human health and ecosystem impact communities available at present?

The IPCC 2007 Fourth Assessment of climate change science concluded that large reductions in the emissions of greenhouse gases, principally CO2, are needed soon to slow the increase of atmospheric concentrations, and avoid reaching unacceptable levels.However, climate change is happening even faster than previously estimated; global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions, Arctic sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted, and the rise in the sea level has become more rapid.

Here are my climate change predictions bases on my own model (which I won't share with anybody because they might either try and take the credit for it or try and find something wrong with it) and on no data at all beyond vague memories of weather I have experienced and what I remember reading.

-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.

It was not about climate change at all — it was simply about the utter futility and absurdity of trying to make long - term predictions in chaotic systems with more unknowns than knowns..

A rational public and private sector response to the threat of storm damage in a changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits of planning for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination of societal trends and the most confident aspects of climate change predictions makes future economic impacts substantially more likely than does either one alone.

And we're the Number One climatology bestseller, with our companion volume Climate Change: The Facts at Number Nine, and both books kicking the butt of Michael E Mann's Dreary Predictions, down at Number 18.

Then the biggest - ever study of climate change, based at Oxford University, reported that it could prove to be twice as catastrophic as the IPCC's worst predictions.

The climate change debate is finally arriving at this third stage, with unsettling predictions about populations displaced by sea - level rise, drought and storm damage, etc..

Do you at least agree that the better analogy for climate prediction is seasonal change than weather patterns?

«There has been over-claiming or exaggeration, or at the very least casual use of language by scientists, some of whom are quite prominent,» Professor Hulme told BBC News -LSB-...] «My argument is about the dangers of science over-claiming its knowledge about the future and in particular presenting tentative predictions about climate change using words of «disaster», «apocalypse» and «catastrophe»,» he said.

The meeting showed that climate predictions and seasonal climate outlooks at present have the highest potential to be more readily used, while predictions of climate variability and change are not yet ready to be applied from an engineering point of view.

Climate models, unfortunately, are still unable to provide skillful predictions of changes in regional climate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the detail desired by the impacts commuClimate models, unfortunately, are still unable to provide skillful predictions of changes in regional climate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the detail desired by the impacts commuclimate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the detail desired by the impacts communities.

No climate model can predict climate changes at a local level where the effects are felt - predictions are only made for averages collated at a continental spatial scale and over periods of decades.

5 (c) McGraw Hill Ryerson 2007 Albedo and Climate, Making Predictions About Climate Change The albedo at Earth's surface affects the amount of solar radiation that region receives.

At timescales beyond a season, available ensembles of climate models do not provide the basis for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change.

Murphy is the head of climate prediction at the Met Office, the official center for climate change research in Britain.

The divergent findings, says hurricane expert Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, «indicate that care needs to be taken in being too explicit with climate predictions of changes in tropical cyclone frequency at this stage.»

Dr. Wei - Hock «Willie» Soon, a solar physicist at the Harvard - Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, came under attack by environmentalists after co-authoring a peer - reviewed paper explaining «the widening discrepancy between prediction and observation» in climate change models, and members of Congress soon took sides.

More usefully in terms of future predictions, a recent paper in PNAS by Van Vuuren and co-workers (including a friend of mine, Tom Wigley, who is an Adjunct Professor at the University of Adelaide), assessed the impact on climate change of some plausible real - world actions.

However, note that past CO2 concentrations have never been as high as they are at present (currently above 360 ppm), which changes the basic conditions under which our climate operates and makes it difficult to base future predictions on past behavior.»