Sentences with phrase «at decadal prediction»

Comparing to models with initialized states, ie attempts at decadal prediction, would be more interesting.

Not exact matches

The new research used the Met Office Hadley Centre's Decadal Prediction System and found that the model was good at predicting summer Sahel rainfall over the forthcoming five years.

It's quite clear that if we could run our models at a higher resolution we could do a much better job — tomorrow — in terms of our seasonal and decadal predictions.

While each of the scientists not involved with the Met Office said they saw the potential usefulness of decadal forecasting, they said that any particular predictions at present aren't at the stage where they can be used for any kind of decision - making.

«International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction» are to be held 17 - 21 Sep 2018 at NCAR, Boulder, USA.

IMHO, the reason this made huge news at least in Europe (where I am now) is because it is mostly in Europe that the large weather prediction centers are pushing this idea of «decadal predictions».

This seemed to me like perhaps a more realistic effort at decadal climate prediction.

As these things are fitting in category of predictable - and global decadal volcanic prediction isn't as an amusing game at this time - though the «right» volcanic events could change this into a new poplar fetish.

Jan 15, 2018: For the MiKlip II project (short for «decadal climate predictions»), a magnetic tape library has been put into operation at the DKRZ to store the resulting project data.

Professor Adam Scaife, the head of monthly to decadal prediction at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: «The end of the recent slowdown in global warming is due to a flip in Pacific sea - surface temperatures.

On the one hand you say «I don't know how to assess skill of decadal trends» and on the other hand you also claim that the «prediction of mean temperature at the regional scale can be done fairly well given the robust temperature trend».

I agree that the ambition to make (regional) climate predictions even at decadal or longer time scales can not be supported by the current apparent feasibility, given the studies that demonstrate the lack of predictive skill.

Within the confines of our work with RASM and CESM, we will: (i) quantify the added value of using regional models for downscaling arctic simulations from global models, (ii) address the impacts of high resolution, improved process representations and coupling between model components on predictions at seasonal to decadal time scales, (iii) identify the most important processes essential for inclusion in future high resolution GC / ESMs, e.g. ACME, using CESM as a test bed, and (iv) better quantify the relationship between skill and uncertainty in the Arctic Region for high fidelity models.

Ensemble decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) can skillfully predict past decadal rates of Atlantic winter sea ice change because they do well at predicting THC - driven ocean heat content change in the vicinity of the winter sea ice edge in the Labrador, Greenland, Irminger, and Barents Seas.

The models do nt attempt to predict weather, are poor at regional prediction and have no skill at even decadal level prediction.

It doesn't seem surprising to me that GCM simulations don't give useful decadal predictions on regional scale (or at least they are just beginning to get to the point where decadal scale predictions have useful skill IIRC).

For decadal scale variations a 60 year cycle, which seems to correlate temperatures and the PDO, is well established see the post» Global Cooling - Methods and Testable Decadal Predictions» at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspdecadal scale variations a 60 year cycle, which seems to correlate temperatures and the PDO, is well established see the post» Global Cooling - Methods and Testable Decadal Predictions» at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspDecadal Predictions» at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com.