Here is a great summary of last year's marketing predictions, what worked and what didn't, plus a look
at early predictions for 2014 from some fabulous industry experts, and a checklist of marketing Must - Dos for 2014.
Not exact matches
Along with several other analysts on Friday, including Steve Milunovich
at UBS, Sacconaghi also said it was becoming clear that the latest lineup of iPhones had not sparked a massive wave of consumers with older models upgrading their phones, a
prediction dubbed the «super cycle,» which had helped drive Apple's stock price up 45 % since
early 2017.
Brian Wilcove, partner
at Artiman Ventures, an
early - stage venture fund in Silicon Valley that invests in companies aiming to disrupt multibillion - dollar markets, seconds this
prediction.
It's too
early for a price
prediction and indeed, investors are no doubt too excited for price
predictions at the moment.
It is imperative that we do not concede
early, which is something we have not been very good
at lately, especially away from home, but I am going to go for a bold
prediction of 1 - 0 to Arsenal.
Arsène said
at the start of last season that it was Theo's time to emerge as a great player — his
prediction was accurate, but just 12 months
early!
Match
Predictions: Barcelona's two defeat in the league this season include that historic win by Alaves
at Camp Nou
earlier in the season and Luis Enrique will be hoping to avoid such result again.
«The
predictions go back to the
early 1930s,» says Tom Heinzl, a theoretical physicist
at Plymouth University in the United Kingdom.
If these trends continue, the population of the world may reach 9 billion by 2050 and level off
at around 10 billion by the end of the century — 1 or 2 billion fewer than
earlier predictions.
In a new study due this week in the
Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Rice University theoretical physicist Qimiao Si and colleagues
at the Rice Center for Quantum Materials in Houston and the Vienna University of Technology in Austria make
predictions that could help experimental physicists create what the authors have coined a «Weyl - Kondo semimetal,» a quantum material with an assorted collection of properties seen in disparate materials like topological insulators, heavy fermion metals and high - temperature superconductors.
Long - term data from a wind farm
at San Gorgonio, California, confirmed his
earlier model
predictions: surface temperatures behind the wind turbines were higher than in front during the night, but as much as 4 °C lower by day.
The difference a year makes Forecasters with NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)
at Columbia University first raised the alert
early last year that an El Niño might be taking shape.
«We observed those transits and we noticed that some transits occur a little bit
earlier or a little bit later than theoretical
predictions,» says lead study author Gracjan Maciejewski, an astronomer
at the Friedrich Schiller University of Jena in Germany.
Distinct brain volume changes correlating with clinical stage, disease progression rate, mutation size, and age
at onset
prediction as
early biomarkers of brain atrophy in Huntington's disease
Reading the tea leaves, scanning the racing form, looking
at earlier competitions and going with a hunch or two, here's my
predictions for the winners in the major categories:
It's one thing to read
early Academy Award
predictions to see what folks like myself think will happen
at the end of the year, but it's another thing entirely to actually know which films will be in contention.
Best Picture is obvious (I've already had it in my # 1 slot
at one point this season in terms of
early predictions), along with Best Director, where Reitman has already been nominated twice before.
Academy Award
predictions at this
early juncture are still very much a complete guessing game.
Having made its debut
at the Geneva motor show, the new B7 is now available in the UK - and its top speed has climbed from the
early prediction of 193mph, to 205mph.
This perspective is in line with
earlier predictions for the industry made
at the end of last year that stated quite plainly that booksellers have got to stop trying to compete with Amazon on the existing sales model.
Everytime I hear another prognostication about the death of books on paper, I'm reminded of all the
predictions in the
early 1970s that no one would go to movie theaters any more if they could watch a movie
at home on cable, and when that proved untrue, the
prediction in the
early 1980s that home video would spell the death of movie theaters.
But hey, will readers be
at any loss if Switch's
prediction happens a month or a year
earlier?
Research In Motion reported strong financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2011, again refuting some
predictions of its imminent demise
at the hands of Apple and Google - but along with those positive numbers came rumblings that the PlayBook, its tablet PC due in
early 2011, will be released later than some pundits and analysts expected.
Adam Sheffer, a partner
at Cheim & Read (whose press release notes that its booth, featuring works by Louise Bourgeois, Jenny Holzer, and Lynda Benglis, is «in honor of the women's march and the sea of pink hats»), wrote in an email that «while we're still in the
early days of the new administration, any
predictions of how potential policies or reforms may impact the art market are too speculative.»
In the article, Mann states, «And so I was rather crestfallen
earlier this summer when I finally got a peek
at a review copy of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many
Predictions Fail — but Some Don't.
The «Perils of Extrapolation» of the title finally comes to rest on a discussion of «extrapolation» which explicitly names AMEG
at its outset, and concludes that, «
Predictions of
earlier ice - free dates (he means, before 2037) so far seem to be confined to conference presentations, media - coverage, the blogosphere, and testimony before to the UK parliament.»
«Max Mayfield, director of the Tropical
Prediction Center
at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Fla., also heightened awareness of the tropical multi-decadal signal when testifying
at a congressional hearing
earlier this year (Sept. 20, 2005).
[Response:
At the time (1988), there were no suggestions that climate should be following a linear trend (though if you know of some
prediction along those lines from the 1980s, please let me know — the
earliest I can find is from 1992, and the
prediction was for 0.1 degC / dec).
I wrote a paper titled:
Earlier in the Year Snowmelt Runoff and Increasing Dewpoints for Rivers in Minnesota, Wisconsin and North Dakota for presentation
at the NOAA Climate
Prediction Center and Desert Research Institute conference, Oct 20 - 22, 2003, Reno, NV.
Not surprisingly, short term
predictions at individual stations tend to do better when they are given less time to diverge from their own
earlier values.
Although
at first he was dismissed as a madman, almost all his
early predictions, disturbingly, have proved conservative in relation to what has actually happened.»
One of the very
early predictions of global climate models when looking
at rising greenhouse gas levels was warmer night time temperatures.
As with the Hansen 1988
predictions, this inaccuracy in
early line - by - line radiative codes led to some overestimation of climate sensitivity and warming in those
earlier GCMs - which, mind you, was not specifically due to errors in the GCMs, as they were using the best values available
at the time.
I witnessed a good example
early at a conference in Edmonton on Prairie Climate
predictions and the implications for agriculture.
Although these new global land - use histories remain
at an
early stage of development, their quantitative and spatially detailed global
predictions offer an unprecedented opportunity to investigate the global extent, timing, driving forces, and impacts of land use as a process transforming the Earth System over the Holocene.
Today, scientists
at the NOAA Climate
Prediction Center released the latest El Niño Southern Oscillation Diagnostic Discussion, which highlights the
early stages of a weak La Niña episode developing in the tropical Pacific and, for now, are expected to remain in place for three to six months.
The IRI's May ENSO forecast puts the chances of El Niño conditions
at just under 70 % for
early next fall (see image
at right), a slight decrease from IRI's April forecast and from NOAA / IRI's official
prediction issued on May 8.
Predictions account for natural variability... Forecasts are experimental, so
at this
early stage of development skill levels vary from place to place and for different variables.
I always expected it to be enacted into law into 2010 and kick in around 2013
at the
earliest, so that isn't a particularly shocking
prediction.
«I first made a
prediction about global warming (GW) in 1980 and it was that GW would become the major environmental issue...... I am now predicting that if this fallacious «Kaya identity» is not rejected
at this
early stage then it will become the major propaganda tool used in attempt to revive the ailing GW - scare.»
At that time (and particularly the
early to mid 70's) climate science was ambiguous about predicting the future, although the 1975 NAS report summarised the state of the science pretty well: that we didn't know enough to make useful
predictions and needed to study more.
At that time, there was insufficient observational data to test this
prediction, but temperature measurements from weather balloons and satellites have since confirmed these
early forecasts.
Hansen's
earliest 1981
predictions are pretty famously accurate in terms of anticipating the modern warming,
at a time when it wasn't obvious.
Initially, I predicted the launch would come
earlier this year
at Techshow, but I later revised that
prediction to say it would come
at the 2015 ILTA conference that opened yesterday in Las Vegas.
And
at the risk of making an incorrect
prediction, I think that device is launching
early next year.
Earlier this week Zac Bowden and I made our
predictions about next week in New York City
at Microsoft's event.
Many prospective clients also indicate
early on that they have had their resumes reviewed by The Ladders, and been dismayed
at the obvious attempt to scare them into engaging their resume writing service through grossly exaggerated criticisms and
prediction of dire job search results.
Table 4 (bottom left panel) shows that this index of mother's multiple mental health problems (
at t) significantly contributed (IRR = 1.18; p < 0.001) to the
prediction of child's multiple mental health problems
at t + 1 (ages 9 to 11) even when
earlier child multiple mental health problems and demographic factors were taken into account.
Although this finding was not consistent with our
predictions, it may suggest that
at least during
early childhood, the greater use of behavioral control may have a protective effect on health, resulting in lower rates of ambulatory care (i.e., nonemergency care and ER visits).