Sentences with phrase «at election prediction»

When host Kwami Sefa Kayi sought to find out the basis of Mr. Pratt's assertions, the latter noted that he is «very good at election prediction.

Not exact matches

Using the same data a logit regression model improves the predictive power of local elections to tell us who will win the most votes at the next general election, making correct predictions 86.21 % of the time.

2) The rise of UKIP at the 2013 local elections dramatically alters the predicted UKIP vote share, lowers both the Conservative and Labour vote shares but also increases the margin of error around the predictions.

Although local election and general election results tend to be quite similar to begin with (the two are 90 % correlated) a statistical prediction might offer a better indicator of what is likely to happen in the future then simply taking the results at face value.

Stay tuned for more of the final week of the race, including a look at labor endorsements and our prediction as primary election day approaches.

And a final caveat — this is purely a prediction of how the votes would have fallen out if the votes at the last election were counted on the new boundaries.

They are certainly NOT a prediction of what would happen at the next election.

Speaking on Monday, Clegg insisted that he wants to lead the Lib Dems until at least 2020 as he brushed off the bad set of opinion polls and predictions of a wipeout at next month's European elections.

On Thursday evening at Fordham Law School, there will be a panel discussion on «Predictions and Expectations for the Administration of Donald Trump» featuring Manhattan Borough President Gale Brewer; City Council Member Eric Ulrich; political commentator Gerson Borrero; former Bill Clinton speechwriter Tony Edwards; and moderator Jerry Goldfeder, an election law professor.

The Conservatives shocked everyone by winning a small majority at the 2015 General Election, despite predictions of a hung parliament and the possibility of constitutional wrangling over who had legitimacy to form the next Government.

Newsnight looks at why published polls ahead of the general election proved to be a bad prediction of the results.

Despite a tumultuous presidential election and the constant drumbeat of predictions about a softening art market, the sales at Sotheby's, Christie's and Phillips set highs for a range of artists, including Wassily Kandinsky, Willem de Kooning, Laszlo Moholy - Nagy, John Currin and Carmen Herrera, not to mention Monet, whose grainstack sold for $ 81.4 million.

As for the charge of cherry picking, 538 was the only source I spent any time looking at prior to the election — I made no search for the «best» predictions after the fact.

Look at the polling predictions in the last US elections almost all opinion research is designed to push an agenda... the agenda of them that's paying the freight

I have already put down my prediction that the Rudd - ALP will win a strong victory at the 2010 election.

The 2016 election Trump again reminded everyone that the vast majority of experts, pundits and journalists are not only terrible at short - term and long - term predictions, but also their failed prognostications usually, and directly, lead to public reactions that would not have occurred otherwise, such as the post-election anti-Trump riots.

The Elections are over: What it means for Consumer Arbitration Five things to look for in 2015 By George H. Friedman * Back when I was Director of Arbitration at FINRA, we used to have a «Crystal Ball Contest» where the staff would weigh in on predictions for the coming year.