Sentences with phrase «at forecasting election»
Statisticians, political scientists and data journalists have become pretty good at forecasting election outcomes.
http://www.canadianbusiness.com/ Not exact matches
He sounds victorious, but remember that under these forecasts he will have a # 73bn deficit at the time of the next election, rather than the # 0 he promised.
Opportunistically timed elections allow governments to ask voters to assess their performance at the most favorable time as far as the incumbents can forecast.
Since our first forecast combining different indicators of the election outcome last week, the Conservatives and particularly Labour have edged up in the polls at the expense of UKIP and the Liberal Democrats.
My forecasting model for seat gains / losses at local elections has previously been a simple model based on change in party support in the polls.
We should be cautious though in interpreting the forecast for the Liberal Democrats — for the simple reason that it has never happened before it is impossible to know what the effect of being in government is going to be on the performance of the Liberal Democrats at local elections relative to their eventual performance at the next general election.
This forecast (which, incidentally, is almost identical to Steve Fisher's latest forecast — based on polling data — for all parties except the Liberal Democrats) suggests that the Conservatives are likely to be the largest party at the next election.
Acrimonious Contest It further predicted an acrimonious contest between the ruling NDC and the opposition NPP in November saying, «Ongoing economic weakness at a time of approaching elections will expose Ghana to a notable risk of political and social instability early in the forecast period.»
Opportunistically timed elections allow governments to ask voters to assess their performance at the most favourable time as far as the incumbents can forecast.
In an article for today's Platform, Mike Smithson of PoliticalBetting.com forecasts a hung parliament at the next General Election.
As expected, the current fiscal year budget deficit is forecast to come in at just shy of $ 30 billion ($ 29.4 billion, to be exact) and to fall only a bit next year (to $ 29.0 billion), nearly three times the size of deficit promised during the election campaign.
In late 2013, Wylie, a Canadian data scientist who was then finishing his PhD in fashion forecasting at the London College of Fashion, was mulling over his next move after SCL, a government and elections contractor where he was working as a research director.