Sentences with phrase «at forecasting future»

Instead, I'm trying to superimpose «reverse engineering» of a highly complex mechanical system (motor / gears) ===== there are an infinite number of «black boxes» that will recreate the past perfectly, but have no skill at forecasting the future.

On the other hand, they require always more funding so they can get better at forecasting the future.

Hence, it is usually assumed by the beginning investor that to be successful, one must first become an expert at forecasting future market trends.

In that paper, three financial economists — Itzhak Ben - David of Ohio State University and John R. Graham and Campbell R. Harvey of Duke — found that chief financial officers of major American corporations are not very good at forecasting the future.

Not a single one showed that Shiller or Hussman or anyone else who specializes in a 20 - 20 view of the past was better at forecasting future earnings.

A few weeks ago I wrote a piece arguing that forward earnings estimates were better at forecasting future earnings than were the popular backward looking methods.

That is why the post emphasizes that it is unclear that the model that does best at reproducing the LGM also does best at forecasting the future.

Not exact matches

Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia - Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore said a «beaming economic forecast along with stout compliance from OPEC (to withhold production) is providing convincing support.»

If you want to know what the break - even price for new oilsands projects is (at least for the marginal project), look at the forecast of future oil prices.

Given the feedback you've given us on this particular conversation, we may look at Scandinavian countries for a number of reasons to see if we can't include them in future forecasts.

Try test marketing your product on a small scale so you can realistically forecast how much you can sell in the future, suggests Edward Hess, professor and Batten Executive - in - Residence at the University of Virginia Darden School of Business.

In February, the Bank of England cut its forecast for British wage growth, which Governor Mark Carney named as a key determinant of future interest rates in a speech at the start of the year.

Crude oil futures are at just over $ 44 / barrel, after the International Energy Agency forecast prices would stay in the doldrums through 2020.

The SEP also includes the dot plot, which is an aggregated forecast of where Fed officials see interest rates at various points in the future.

According to analysts, demand is being driven by end users in the power generation market, which is urgently trying to secure supply into the future with demand forecast to outstrip supply for at least the next 10 years.

This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results.

At times, the government has taken this into consideration and adjusted the average private sector economic forecasts, based on the Department of Finance's assessment of future economic developments.

He based his forecast on seasonal changes in buying and selling patterns and the fact that large speculators» net long position is now at 445,000 futures contracts, which suggests there is not much space for more buying before the seasonal selling starts.

The material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results.

If there is anyone in this room that believes that a reasonable forecast for the U.S. or British economy at any future date would be represented by a trend line constructed through to 2007 from any previous point, I have a bridge I want to sell you,» Summers quipped.

At the same time, Poloz already laid the groundwork for any future hikes at the July 12 rate decision, which was also accompanied by new forecasts and a press conference, by saying the next move would be «guided by incoming data.&raquAt the same time, Poloz already laid the groundwork for any future hikes at the July 12 rate decision, which was also accompanied by new forecasts and a press conference, by saying the next move would be «guided by incoming data.&raquat the July 12 rate decision, which was also accompanied by new forecasts and a press conference, by saying the next move would be «guided by incoming data.»

Assumptions and forecasts used by SSgA FM in developing the Fund's asset allocation glide path may not be in line with future capital market returns and participant savings activities, which could result in losses near, at or after the target date year or could result in the Fund not providing adequate income at and through retirement.

So it makes no sense to forecast where the market might be say, 3 months or 6 months into the future, because we don't know whether a new Climate will be operative at that point, or how strongly the current one will express itself.

The real bubble was caused by the fact that the Alberta government's forecast for light oil was far above what the markets were predicting at the time based on the 3 year NYMEX strip used by Sproule Associates to forecast future oil prices.

Future demand is projected by Roskill to grow at an annual base rate of at least 9.7 % until 2025 with optimistic forecast at 15.7 % per annum consumption growth.

Simply assuming a company can grow earnings at high rates into the future, and then relying on a valuation based on those optimistic forecasts, exposes the investor to undue capital risk should those optimistic forecasts not be met.

Next, we will look at the other side of the popular market analysis techniques commonly employed by spread betting traders when they are looking to forecast future price moves and place trades that are based on those forecasts.

This material represents the portfolio manager's opinion and is an assessment of the market environment at a specific time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results.

This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results.

That's not something that can be known in advance, which is why it's impossible to reliably forecast future equity returns, at least on horizons shorter than a few decades.

Finally, there is a risk that the ECB hints at such a system and does not implement it immediately, but either way the door should remain open to more cuts in the future (we forecast another deposit rate cut to -0.50 % by June).

Asserting that we do not yet have either the facts or the methods to make forecasting a precise art, Michael argues that there are three basic reasons for continuing to make or act upon them: (1) some forecasts are likely to be close to the mark, (2) poor forecasts provide a better basis for planning than no prediction at all, and (3) well - done forecasts help to illuminate the many factors that interact to produce the future.

According to a recently published report by Future Market Insights, the global lactose - free dairy products market is forecast to be valued at US$ 17.8 billion ($ 14.5 bn) by 2027 end.

Smithers Pira's (smitherspira.com) latest report, «The Future of Flexible Packaging to 2022» forecasts this market will grow during 2017 - 2022 at annual rate of 4.1 % to 33.5 million tonnes.

Sesotec GmbH from Schönberg not only presented itself with a trade fair stand but also with a specialist lecture held by Michael Perl, head of Business Unit Sorting Recycling, whose personal forecast for the future of PET recycling was: «We are at the beginning of a new phase in which companies must effectively and efficiently find the way from singular sorting solutions towards multi-sensor-supported and networked PET sorting.

I spent my Saturdays watching Arsenal at Woolwich while he was wasting time forecasting the future.

No, at this time, Line Predictor only forecasts spread and moneyline moves, but we are currently refining our Over / Under models and do plan on offering them in the future.

And as we pointed out when Darling made his growth forecasts back in April at the budget, predicting the economic future is a tricky business - though we can compare his predictions with others.

Factoring in the 15 % or so of urban kids who fall at the low end of IQ scores, Rozelle makes a stunning forecast: About 400 million future working - age Chinese, he says, «are in danger of becoming cognitively handicapped.»

Agreeing that science is cool again implies that it can easily lose that designation in the future, either arbitrarily or after science's next public blunder — say, when a pigeon drops a challah into the particle accelerator at CERN, or after an inaccurately forecast pandemic (Lemur Flu 2018!).

The committee also recommends that some future event attribution activities could be incorporated into an integrated weather - to - climate forecasting efforts on a broad range of timescales, with an ultimate goal of providing predictive risk - based forecasts of extreme events at lead times of days to seasons.

From cyber security, trace chemical detection, and turning sewage into fuel, to understanding real - world energy processes and forecasting future electric needs, PNNL was part of developing five advancements honored at a recent award event in Las Vegas.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

Global ice - sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic sea - ice is disappearing much faster than recently projected, and future sea - level rise is now expected to be much higher than previously forecast, according to a new global scientific synthesis prepared by some of the world's top climate scientists.

The report found that global ice sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic sea ice is thinning and melting much faster than recently projected, and future sea - level rise is now expected to be much higher than previously forecast.

Following a positive reception of the initial analysis, SENS Research Foundation initiated in 2012 a more comprehensive biodemographic project at the University of Denver, building on the widely used International Futures forecasting system.

After hearing the chair of the Global Wellness Institute's Wellness Architecture Initiative's industry forecasts at a conference earlier this year, where wellness kitchens were identified as a trend, we caught up with her to learn more about how the homes of the future will be better for us and better for the planet.

James Sutherland, director at Bett Futures 2015 start - up company, The Publishing Foundry says: «Bett Futures has helped us form some invaluable relationships; from the wealth of information, knowledge and experience that we gained from Bett we have developed our offering further and have seen our growth in business exceed 220 % of forecast ytd.

And if our Mars observer would also have knowledge about the explosive population growth, about the weapons» power of destruction more and more perfected and about the division of humankind into a few political sides, he wouldn't probably forecast for us a future any brighter than that of a few rat societies being at war on a foodless boat» (p. 256).

And if our Mars observer would also have knowledge about the explosive population growth, about the weapons» power of destruction more and more perfected and about the division of humankind into a few political sides, he wouldn't probably forecast for us a future any brighter than that of a few rat societies being at war on a foodless boat»