Sentences with phrase «at forecasts given»

This is a series looking at forecasts given the general public (outside the literature) about climate.

Not exact matches

«At the bottom is a tip sheet — last month's gross, this month's gross last year, our forecasts, what's on the projections we give the bank.»

Given the feedback you've given us on this particular conversation, we may look at Scandinavian countries for a number of reasons to see if we can't include them in future forecGiven the feedback you've given us on this particular conversation, we may look at Scandinavian countries for a number of reasons to see if we can't include them in future forecgiven us on this particular conversation, we may look at Scandinavian countries for a number of reasons to see if we can't include them in future forecasts.

With new capabilities, the company hoped to improve its demand forecasting — specifically by narrowing the focus from warehouses down to individual customers to better predict how much of which products was needed on any given day at any particular store or vending machine.

He gave a forecast for Q3 revenue of between $ 51.5 billion and $ 53.5 billion at the midpoint, stronger than what the street had modeled.

Chair Janet Yellen will give a quarterly economic and interest rate forecast at a meeting between June 16th and the 17th.

Many factors could cause BlackBerry's actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward - looking statements, including, without limitation: BlackBerry's ability to enhance its current products and services, or develop new products and services in a timely manner or at competitive prices, including risks related to new product introductions; risks related to BlackBerry's ability to mitigate the impact of the anticipated decline in BlackBerry's infrastructure access fees on its consolidated revenue by developing an integrated services and software offering; intense competition, rapid change and significant strategic alliances within BlackBerry's industry; BlackBerry's reliance on carrier partners and distributors; risks associated with BlackBerry's foreign operations, including risks related to recent political and economic developments in Venezuela and the impact of foreign currency restrictions; risks relating to network disruptions and other business interruptions, including costs, potential liabilities, lost revenues and reputational damage associated with service interruptions; risks related to BlackBerry's ability to implement and to realize the anticipated benefits of its CORE program; BlackBerry's ability to maintain or increase its cash balance; security risks; BlackBerry's ability to attract and retain key personnel; risks related to intellectual property rights; BlackBerry's ability to expand and manage BlackBerry ® World ™; risks related to the collection, storage, transmission, use and disclosure of confidential and personal information; BlackBerry's ability to manage inventory and asset risk; BlackBerry's reliance on suppliers of functional components for its products and risks relating to its supply chain; BlackBerry's ability to obtain rights to use software or components supplied by third parties; BlackBerry's ability to successfully maintain and enhance its brand; risks related to government regulations, including regulations relating to encryption technology; BlackBerry's ability to continue to adapt to recent board and management changes and headcount reductions; reliance on strategic alliances with third - party network infrastructure developers, software platform vendors and service platform vendors; BlackBerry's reliance on third - party manufacturers; potential defects and vulnerabilities in BlackBerry's products; risks related to litigation, including litigation claims arising from BlackBerry's practice of providing forward - looking guidance; potential charges relating to the impairment of intangible assets recorded on BlackBerry's balance sheet; risks as a result of actions of activist shareholders; government regulation of wireless spectrum and radio frequencies; risks related to economic and geopolitical conditions; risks associated with acquisitions; foreign exchange risks; and difficulties in forecasting BlackBerry's financial results given the rapid technological changes, evolving industry standards, intense competition and short product life cycles that characterize the wireless communications industry.

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

Once a given Climate is identified, we don't believe it's possible to go that one step further, and forecast whether a specific market movement over a specific time period will be positive or negative (which puts us strongly at odds with investors who believe that these movements can or should be «timed»).

Thousands upon thousands of fans ahead of me — makes me realise I must have been mad giving them up — work and medical problems at the time — so all the forecasts saying droves of empty seats were caused by angry fans deserting the Arsenal are just ********.

This article aims to explain why the club's net spend in recent seasons has appeared to be so relatively low, examines the story behind the infamous # 200m war chest and looks at forecast revenue for this season to give an indication of how much money will be available to spend this summer.

This forecast assumes a «normal» pattern for the Liberal Democrat vote, which of course may well not be the case (the alternative of giving the Lib Dems the same incumbency effect as found for the other two main parties has them returning to around their 2010 vote share, which at this stage of the game seems unlikely).

Although a geomagnetic storm forecast today is more accurate than in the past, it can only give an accurate warning up to a few hours, at most.

The research is timely given the extreme winter of 2017 - 2018, including record warm Arctic and low sea ice, record - breaking polar vortex disruption, record - breaking cold and disruptive snowfalls in the United States and Europe, severe «bomb cyclones» and costly nor'easter s, said Judah Cohen, director of seasonal forecasting at AER and lead author of the study.

NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

The new research, led by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), could potentially enable forecasts of the likelihood of U.S. heat waves 15 - 20 days out, giving society more time to prepare for these often - deadly events.

Given the duration and extremity of this solar minimum, forecasters at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center are revising their 2007 predictions for the next solar cycle; their forecast of the start, peak, and intensity of the next cycle will be announced tomorrow.

I think nearly every single weather forecast we have looked at has given us like 90 percent chance of rain.

I think nearly every single weather forecast we have looked at has given us 90 percent chance of rain and that at some point in the race tomorrow it will be wet.

Wajax also trades at a low price - to - earnings ratio of 11.5, based on this year's forecast profits, and its recent 35 % dividend increase gives it a high 6.8 % yield.

Along the same lines I'm always surprised by the number of people who pooh - pooh the notion of delaying Social Security for a higher benefit because they're convinced they can come out ahead by taking their benefits as soon as possible and investing them at a 6 % to 8 % annual return (although why anyone should feel confident about earning such gains consistently given today's low rates and forecasts for low returns is puzzling).

Cabot Options Trader Editor looks at the long - term market average and gives his forecast of the market direction for the next year.

While Dimensional funds are easily parsed into index categories based on geography, market - cap size and value / growth dimensions, there are other rules that drive the decision to invest in one company at a given time — none of which are based on short term forecasts or speculation, and all of which are based on those pre-determined rules of construction, including the firm's willingness to assess how badly a seller needs to part with their shares, and the seller's desire to sell the lot quickly, and at a discount.

The idea that one should ignore it must sound preposterous to most investors, given how much time people spend looking at price trends, watching CNBC, and seeking «expert» forecasts.

The above table gives the weather forecast for Kicking Horse at the specific elevation of 1818 m.

If you're experienced at cross referencing maps with swell forecasts, you'll find it quite easy to pin point where to head on a given day around Taghazoute.

People didn't run out and by DMC4 and drives because Capcom also had to drop sales forecasts for that entry as well, and if you look at consumer reception in 2008 the run up to the release fans weren't really happy with DMC4, that's the whole Damn reason the IP was rebooted in hopes of giving a focused story and action that was manageable to fans and new comers alike.

My local NOAA weather page, at the moment, reports that because two models used give rather different longrange results, the forecast is:

Again, you need to be talking to meteorologists — I judge their (daily) weather forcasts to be generally close, rarely perfect, or better than my own — I judge their intermediate term forecasts to be coin tossing, even the 7 day forecast changes daily, and at any given time it's rarely close in retrospect, or again, better than my own.

I'll soon be posting (long overdue) a video interview I did with Brulle at the climate talks in Mexico in which he gives his rather dark forecast for how this will play out.

I'll soon be posting a video interview I did with Brulle at the climate talks in Mexico in which he gives his forecast for how this will play out, given his insights into how the human mind, and human communities, absorb information and act, or fail to act.

A chaotic system simply moves in a trajectory in its phase space and it is impossible (impossible not because of lack of data, but because it is — well — impossible) to forecast precisely where it will be at a given moment in the future.

At the same time, there are particular areas of uncertainty, or of lower precision, that give rise to some ranges and degrees (within limits) of uncertainty when it comes to making forecasts of the degree of warming.

One should not mix up a scenario with a forecast — I can not easily compare a scenario for the effects of greenhouse gases alone with observed data, because I can not easily isolate the effect of the greenhouse gases in these data, given that other forcings are also at play in the real world.

Concerning climate - change forecasting, we can not expect that increased computer power and improved climate models will in the future «give more precise probability distributions of outcomes at the regional and decadal scales».

The vulnerability in any given year is increasing because of our increasing population at risk (suburban «sprawl» and increasing recreational use of some areas), but it seems that this has been mostly offset by better forecasts and warnings, improved methods of communication of the threat when it develops, and infrastructure enhancements promoting natural hazard preparation (at least until the past decade or so).

Roughly speaking, the initial condition at a given time (let's call it T) is derived by combining current observations with the previous forecast (started from the initial condition valid at time T - 1).

Check out (and give feedback) on the effort to provide objective principles for scientific forecasting and to audit against them at: Public Policy Fforecasting and to audit against them at: Public Policy ForecastingForecasting.

That means: in fairness, at a minimum, you need to give modelers credit for trying to provide true forcasts based on the forcing estimates for aerosols, and those forecasts were tested against data.

This, given the climate change requirements, and technology cost forecasts for wind and solar, the emergence of battery storage and home management systems, as well as solar thermal plus storage at utility scale, not to mention the fuel cost of coal and gas, and the financing risk attached to that, seems an extraordinary prediction.

I will be giving a talk on March 16th at 7:30 PM in Kane Hall on the UW campus on the history, science, and technology of weather forecasting as a fundraiser for KPLU

If done correctly, the «leave - one - out» procedure will give the coefficient forecast standard error (2.1 * sqrt (1/13) = 0.58 dC at the mean of the TEX86 values), rather than the relevant total forecast standard error, but they have somehow come up with something even smaller than that.

The forecast thus is given at the start of the melt season and provides an assessment of the amount of glacier runoff that will be generated.

If the projections have no skill at predicting changes in regional climate statstics, but we give these changed forecasts to the impact and policy communities implying they are robust, we are not being honest with them.

What Brown and Caldeira have contributed is a look at the large set of climate models that are used for climate forecasting, and which of the set were the most successful at predicting present conditions given conditions in recent times.

If the software fails to give accurate forecasts and models global warming incorrectly, that could cause trillions of hard - earned dollars from the American public to die a horrible death — mostly at the hands of bureaucrats.

For April - June the daily persistence at 85 - day lead time looks like a nice forecast (and is giving better results than a 50 - day lead time), however, this is pure coincidence.

Economists are peripherally involved (mostly in broad market theory and long term economic forecasts along with interpretation of what any given government report means to the economy at large).

So NOAA's official thinking appears to be that AMO is going through a warmer phase that will last 10 to 20 years (a forecast as vague as the graph), I guess I can see that by averaging out anomalous spikes, but this AMO is not at all like ENSO, either ongoing or dormant, brings to mind external influences giving that 1 degree C fluctuation.

Given what is happening in Russia and Pakistan at this very moment, and the highest temperatures ever recorded being observed all over the Earth, not to mention the recently observed ongoing die - off of oceanic phytoplankton, just to mention a few «current events», arguments about «forecasts» seem surrealistic.